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FEI Ratings
:: 2023 :: 2022 :: 2021 :: 2020 :: 2019 :: 2018 :: 2017 :: 2016 :: 2015 :: 2014 :: 2013 :: 2012 :: 2011 :: 2010 :: 2009 :: 2008 :: 2007

 

FEI Overall Ratings (FEI), Offense Ratings (OFEI), Defense Ratings (DFEI), and Special Teams Ratings (SFEI) are opponent-adjusted data representing the scoring advantage per possession a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Strength of schedule ratings represent the expected number of losses an elite team two standard deviations better than average would have against each team's schedule of opponents (ELS), the expected number of losses a good team one standard deviation above average would have against the schedule (GLS), and the expected number of losses an average team would have against the schedule (ALS). Mean Wins are the sum of individual game win likelihoods for all regular season games including games against FCS opponents (Total) and against FBS opponents only (FBS).

 

2023 PFEI Preseason Projections
:: What goes into the preseason projection model?

 

Opponent-Adjusted Efficiency

  

Strength of Schedule

  

Mean Wins
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
1 Georgia 1.19   1.18 3 1.26 1 .13 19   1.22 42 3.36 45 6.40 45   10.9 9.9
2 Alabama 1.14   1.21 2 1.12 4 .19 3   1.89 10 4.38 10 7.32 10   10.2 9.2
3 Ohio State 1.11   1.27 1 .97 9 .15 13   1.61 24 4.05 22 7.09 19   10.3 9.3
4 Michigan .99   .85 8 1.02 6 .19 2   1.30 39 3.28 50 6.32 47   10.4 10.4
5 LSU .85   1.02 5 .92 10 .07 81   1.79 12 4.35 5 7.47 4   9.1 8.1
6 Tennessee .79   .96 6 .51 30 .15 11   1.78 13 3.94 23 6.72 35   9.0 8.1
7 Penn State .78   .43 23 1.07 5 .14 18   1.41 31 3.43 40 6.12 55   9.4 8.4
8 Clemson .77   .30 28 1.12 3 .10 43   .70 66 3.04 57 6.16 56   9.9 8.9
9 Texas .75   .68 12 .79 17 .17 6   1.59 15 4.19 12 7.42 3   8.8 8.8
10 Utah .72   .59 14 .85 11 .08 62   1.18 44 3.43 44 6.51 43   9.3 8.3
11 Kansas State .60   .49 19 .73 23 .18 5   1.28 34 3.86 25 7.12 14   8.3 7.3
12 Notre Dame .59   .32 27 .80 14 .16 7   1.34 25 3.63 33 6.67 36   8.5 7.5
13 Oregon .58   .89 7 .47 32 .07 78   1.05 53 3.03 59 5.94 59   9.0 8.0
14 Oklahoma .55   .84 9 .30 49 .13 27   1.08 41 3.61 31 7.02 16   8.3 8.3
15 TCU .53   .42 24 .69 25 .16 10   1.17 35 3.71 30 6.84 26   8.1 7.1
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
16 Mississippi State .53   .22 32 .85 12 .12 29   1.71 17 3.92 26 6.89 30   7.9 6.9
17 Washington .50   .84 10 .26 53 .12 35   1.15 51 3.58 36 6.91 29   8.1 8.1
18 Florida .50   .58 16 .44 37 .14 14   2.13 3 4.60 1 7.38 8   7.1 6.1
19 Minnesota .49   .35 25 .73 22 .09 57   1.60 23 4.17 16 7.41 6   7.4 7.4
20 Iowa .48   -.57 97 1.16 2 .19 4   1.14 52 3.23 55 6.52 42   8.2 8.2
21 Wisconsin .48   .06 44 .98 8 .07 89   1.22 40 3.42 42 6.67 34   8.1 8.1
22 Florida State .47   .57 17 .46 33 .08 71   1.12 48 3.37 48 6.26 52   8.2 7.2
23 USC .45   1.04 4 -.18 93 .07 76   1.10 49 3.19 54 6.24 50   8.3 8.3
24 Auburn .44   .04 47 .83 13 .11 38   2.05 4 4.20 13 6.61 40   7.3 6.3
25 Ole Miss .42   .73 11 .24 58 .06 96   2.16 1 4.46 3 7.23 13   6.9 5.9
26 Texas A&M .38   -.09 59 .76 18 .14 16   1.94 8 4.23 14 6.94 25   6.9 6.0
27 Iowa State .34   -.12 61 .99 7 .04 114   1.54 19 4.24 8 7.40 5   6.5 5.5
28 Baylor .34   .34 26 .46 34 .07 79   1.55 22 4.14 15 7.21 12   6.6 5.7
29 UCF .33   .46 21 .25 54 .07 85   1.09 47 3.51 35 6.70 33   7.2 6.2
30 Kentucky .32   -.08 58 .79 16 .12 31   2.10 2 4.28 6 7.00 22   6.5 5.6
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
31 Oregon State .31   .24 31 .35 43 .13 22   .97 57 2.96 61 5.81 64   7.8 6.8
32 Oklahoma State .31   -.05 54 .64 27 .14 17   .90 54 3.35 39 6.51 39   7.2 6.3
33 Cincinnati .30   -.25 70 .75 19 .13 24   .90 55 3.30 46 6.53 38   7.2 6.3
34 Tulane .27   .19 36 .44 36 .09 51   .34 117 1.78 93 4.41 89   9.0 8.0
35 Texas Tech .27   .11 40 .45 35 .13 20   1.27 30 3.91 24 7.02 18   6.4 5.5
36 Air Force .27   .19 35 .35 42 .07 82   .20 124 1.23 120 3.60 119   9.6 8.7
37 Wake Forest .26   .57 18 .10 68 .08 69   .89 56 3.02 58 5.92 60   7.5 6.5
38 Missouri .25   -.17 64 .63 28 .12 33   2.06 6 4.57 4 7.46 7   5.8 4.8
39 Washington State .24   .09 42 .27 51 .13 25   .89 59 2.76 65 5.64 66   7.6 6.6
40 Illinois .24   -.34 77 .74 20 .10 49   1.09 50 3.53 37 6.81 32   6.6 6.6
41 South Carolina .24   -.06 55 .30 48 .21 1   1.98 5 4.49 2 7.28 11   5.9 4.9
42 UCLA .24   .68 13 -.05 82 .06 94   .76 68 2.63 67 5.48 68   7.7 6.8
43 Boise State .23   -.04 53 .48 31 .08 60   .67 81 2.25 71 4.97 71   8.2 7.2
44 Louisville .23   -.03 52 .42 38 .10 42   .54 76 2.59 68 5.55 67   7.7 6.7
45 Pittsburgh .22   -.30 74 .74 21 .09 53   .81 63 3.19 53 6.36 46   6.9 5.9
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
46 Arkansas .22   .20 34 .19 60 .10 47   1.87 7 4.30 9 7.12 15   5.9 5.0
47 James Madison .20   -.20 67 .80 15 .00 127   .11 133 1.42 110 3.92 109   9.1 8.2
48 Fresno State .17   -.02 50 .34 45 .10 46   .28 111 1.38 114 3.87 113   9.0 8.0
49 Memphis .15   .11 39 .24 57 .09 50   .41 101 1.72 102 4.46 91   8.4 7.4
50 Maryland .15   -.02 49 .28 50 .12 32   1.47 29 3.45 43 6.11 57   6.7 5.7
51 Purdue .14   .13 37 .17 62 .07 84   1.71 18 4.38 7 7.63 1   5.2 5.2
52 Michigan State .14   -.08 57 .33 46 .08 72   1.91 9 4.20 17 7.07 17   5.6 4.6
53 North Carolina .12   .59 15 -.35 106 .10 45   .77 62 3.16 56 6.26 51   6.4 5.4
54 NC State .11   -.57 95 .67 26 .16 8   .82 61 2.96 60 5.84 61   6.7 5.8
55 Appalachian State .11   .21 33 .20 59 .02 124   .20 126 1.51 107 4.11 99   8.4 7.5
56 SMU .09   .46 20 -.16 91 .05 101   .58 87 1.89 89 4.42 95   8.0 7.0
57 BYU .09   .45 22 -.21 100 .05 106   1.34 27 3.75 28 6.77 31   5.7 4.7
58 Houston .09   .26 30 -.06 83 .10 41   1.40 26 3.82 27 6.95 20   5.6 5.6
59 Syracuse .07   -.13 62 .27 52 .08 66   .84 60 2.80 64 5.77 63   6.6 5.6
60 West Virginia .05   .12 38 -.01 80 .11 37   1.48 21 4.20 11 7.50 2   4.7 3.8
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
61 Duke .05   -.02 51 .13 66 .12 30   1.08 45 3.39 41 6.36 44   5.9 4.9
62 Western Kentucky .04   -.07 56 .25 56 .04 111   .59 82 1.26 123 2.98 128   9.3 8.3
63 Troy -.04   -.45 86 .36 41 .06 95   .42 98 1.79 91 4.40 90   7.3 6.4
64 Indiana -.04   -.41 81 .19 61 .11 39   1.88 14 4.07 21 6.89 28   4.8 3.9
65 Louisiana -.04   -.30 73 .02 77 .13 26   .29 112 1.31 117 3.75 115   8.0 7.0
66 Marshall -.05   -.78 108 .70 24 .02 125   .20 115 1.62 103 4.32 88   7.4 6.4
67 Nebraska -.05   -.13 63 .03 74 .06 99   1.37 37 3.41 47 6.55 41   5.1 5.1
68 Army -.07   -.18 66 -.04 81 .08 59   .54 88 2.04 83 4.30 97   7.3 5.4
69 Navy -.07   -.32 75 .25 55 .04 107   .51 94 2.04 82 4.77 80   6.8 5.9
70 Kansas -.07   .28 29 -.39 109 .07 75   1.50 20 4.00 18 7.19 9   4.4 3.4
71 Arizona State -.08   .05 46 -.18 94 .09 58   1.33 32 3.62 34 6.69 37   4.8 3.9
72 California -.09   -.50 92 .37 40 .07 80   1.41 28 3.85 29 6.95 24   4.6 3.6
73 Miami -.12   -.48 90 .35 44 .12 34   .81 58 2.80 63 5.72 65   5.6 4.6
74 East Carolina -.13   .07 43 -.20 97 .04 109   .62 78 2.41 69 5.04 69   6.2 5.2
75 Virginia -.13   -.44 85 .31 47 .05 105   .67 69 2.81 62 5.81 62   5.4 4.5
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
76 UTSA -.15   -.09 60 -.19 95 .10 40   .53 86 2.02 85 4.83 78   6.3 6.3
77 UAB -.15   -.29 72 .08 72 .05 103   .82 67 2.36 70 5.08 70   6.1 5.1
78 Ohio -.15   .09 41 -.32 105 .08 63   .24 118 1.03 125 3.35 122   7.8 6.9
79 San Diego State -.17   -1.03 124 .54 29 .15 12   .60 77 2.03 81 4.82 75   6.2 5.3
80 Buffalo -.21   -.52 93 .11 67 .04 112   .28 114 1.38 113 3.72 114   7.1 6.2
81 Arizona -.21   .03 48 -.55 117 .07 88   1.23 38 3.31 49 6.21 53   4.7 3.8
82 Northwestern -.21   -.76 107 .39 39 .06 100   1.18 46 3.32 51 6.32 49   4.6 3.6
83 Stanford -.21   -.42 83 -.15 90 .16 9   1.19 43 3.27 52 6.22 54   4.7 3.7
84 Florida Atlantic -.22   -.41 82 .03 76 .05 104   .61 79 2.09 75 4.65 82   6.1 5.2
85 Toledo -.23   -.39 79 .01 78 .04 110   .21 125 .84 129 3.08 125   7.6 6.7
86 Tulsa -.24   -.33 76 .13 64 .00 132   .60 80 2.00 87 4.59 86   6.1 5.2
87 Liberty -.24   -.49 91 .14 63 .03 117   .12 128 .54 133 2.18 133   8.7 8.7
88 Vanderbilt -.24   -.45 87 -.17 92 .12 36   1.86 11 4.11 19 7.05 21   3.8 2.9
89 Virginia Tech -.24   -.57 96 .08 71 .10 44   .65 70 2.69 66 6.03 58   4.5 4.5
90 Georgia Southern -.25   -.17 65 -.48 115 .07 87   .37 104 1.63 98 4.29 93   6.3 5.4
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
91 San Jose State -.26   -.28 71 -.11 86 .00 130   .67 73 2.14 73 4.84 74   5.7 4.8
92 South Alabama -.27   -.55 94 .01 79 .07 73   .42 97 1.72 99 4.47 87   6.0 5.1
93 Wyoming -.27   -.79 110 .07 73 .08 67   .78 64 2.19 72 4.83 76   5.7 4.8
94 Coastal Carolina -.28   .05 45 -.50 116 .03 120   .29 109 1.54 106 4.08 101   6.4 5.4
95 Boston College -.30   -.63 101 .03 75 .05 102   .46 93 2.10 76 4.88 73   5.4 4.5
96 Georgia Tech -.31   -.66 102 .08 70 .00 131   1.29 33 3.47 38 6.27 48   4.1 3.2
97 Georgia State -.34   -.41 80 -.22 102 .03 118   .53 90 2.10 74 4.61 83   5.5 4.6
98 North Texas -.34   -.23 68 -.42 112 .08 68   .29 122 1.73 101 4.43 94   5.6 4.7
99 Utah State -.36   -.61 99 -.25 104 .13 21   .65 74 2.01 84 4.61 84   5.5 4.6
100 Eastern Michigan -.36   -.36 78 -.45 114 .09 52   .29 113 .88 126 2.94 127   7.2 6.3
101 Miami (OH) -.36   -.82 113 -.06 84 .13 23   .23 119 1.09 121 3.28 123   6.7 5.8
102 Southern Mississippi -.40   -.94 116 .09 69 .10 48   .58 84 2.08 78 4.81 79   5.0 4.1
103 Kent State -.42   -.24 69 -.69 124 .06 98   .40 99 1.50 104 4.00 104   5.7 4.8
104 Middle Tennessee -.43   -.73 104 -.21 101 .09 56   .71 71 1.55 109 3.38 124   6.8 5.9
105 Ball State -.45   -.81 111 -.21 99 .07 77   .76 65 1.75 92 4.11 98   5.5 4.6
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
106 Rutgers -.46   -1.08 127 .13 65 .12 28   1.79 16 4.06 20 6.91 27   3.0 2.1
107 Western Michigan -.47   -.76 106 -.13 89 .03 121   .48 92 1.70 90 4.30 92   5.0 4.1
108 Temple -.48   -.81 112 -.06 85 .01 126   .18 132 1.48 111 4.10 105   5.1 4.2
109 Central Michigan -.49   -.83 114 -.20 98 .06 91   .40 106 1.49 105 4.02 102   5.1 4.3
110 Arkansas State -.54   -.62 100 -.67 123 .14 15   .39 107 1.73 95 4.13 100   4.8 4.0
111 Northern Illinois -.57   -.66 103 -.60 119 .08 61   .11 129 .96 124 3.39 121   5.2 4.3
112 Nevada -.57   -.96 119 -.12 87 .08 64   .35 105 1.33 118 3.68 117   5.1 4.3
113 UNLV -.58   -.75 105 -.37 107 .04 115   .70 72 1.78 96 4.04 108   5.0 4.1
114 South Florida -.59   -.43 84 -.89 127 .08 65   .68 75 1.99 88 4.40 96   4.6 3.7
115 Louisiana Tech -.61   -.78 109 -.44 113 .06 90   .11 131 1.05 128 2.98 129   5.9 5.0
116 Old Dominion -.62   -1.05 125 -.24 103 .06 93   .30 108 1.99 80 4.80 72   3.6 2.7
117 Colorado -.62   -.94 117 -.38 108 .09 54   1.27 36 3.68 32 6.95 23   1.9 1.9
118 UL Monroe -.63   -.47 88 -.61 120 .00 133   .40 100 2.02 79 4.79 77   3.6 2.7
119 Colorado State -.63   -1.08 126 -.19 96 .07 86   .41 102 1.47 116 4.03 110   4.4 3.6
120 Hawaii -.68   -.61 98 -.81 126 .06 97   .44 96 1.56 108 4.09 103   4.9 4.0
 
Rk Team FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk SFEI Rk   ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk   Total FBS
121 Texas State -.70   -1.10 130 -.12 88 .06 92   .24 120 1.42 112 4.01 107   3.9 3.0
122 Rice -.74   -.95 118 -.40 110 .03 116   .50 89 2.08 77 4.62 85   3.5 2.7
123 UTEP -.79   -1.00 123 -.62 121 .07 83   .11 130 .78 132 2.67 132   5.1 4.3
124 Bowling Green -.83   -1.10 129 -.57 118 .08 70   .52 91 1.61 100 3.97 106   3.5 2.7
125 Charlotte -.85   -.48 89 -1.14 133 .02 122   .44 103 2.02 86 4.78 81   2.6 1.8
126 Connecticut -.86   -1.00 122 -.80 125 .03 119   .50 83 1.78 94 3.98 112   3.7 2.9
127 New Mexico -.90   -1.22 132 -.41 111 .07 74   .42 95 1.39 115 3.64 118   3.6 2.8
128 New Mexico State -.92   -.91 115 -.92 128 .02 123   .28 116 .95 130 2.75 131   5.1 4.4
129 Akron -.93   -1.11 131 -.64 122 .04 113   .23 121 1.18 122 3.66 116   3.1 2.4
130 Florida International -.98   -1.09 128 -.93 129 .09 55   .20 123 .92 131 2.81 130   3.9 3.2
131 Sam Houston -1.00   -1.00 120 -1.00 130 .00 128   .21 110 1.33 119 3.51 120   3.3 2.5
131 Jacksonville State -1.00   -1.00 120 -1.00 130 .00 128   .21 127 1.03 127 3.04 126   3.6 2.8
133 Massachusetts -1.14   -1.27 133 -1.08 132 .04 108   .57 85 1.74 97 3.93 111   2.5 1.8