SFP Ratings

Strength of Schedule Ratings
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Strength of Schedule is represented in several ways, including the per-possession opponent adjustment (OA) used to produce each team's overall FEI rating, the per-possession offensive opponent adjustment (OOA) used to produce OFEI Offense ratings, the per-possession defensive opponent adjustment (DOA) used to produce DFEI Defense ratings, and the per-possession special teams opponent adjustment (SOA) used to produce SFEI Special Teams ratings. Remaining columns represent schedule strength as a function of the FEI ratings of each team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. EL ratings represent the average number of losses an elite team (two standard deviations better than aveage) would have against the schedule. VGL ratings represent the average number of losses a very good team (1.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. GL ratings represent the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule. AAL ratings represent the average number of losses an above average team (0.5 standard deviations better than average) would have against the schedule. AL ratings represent the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule.

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

 

2010 Strength of Schedule Ratings (final)

 

Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Auburn 13-0   .32 1 .33 2 .32 2 .02 21   2.78 3 4.04 2 5.48 1 6.98 1 8.46 1
Oregon State 5-7   .29 2 .27 6 .29 4 .05 2   3.10 1 4.14 1 5.28 3 6.50 3 7.71 6
Arkansas 9-3   .29 3 .32 4 .23 8 .04 6   2.80 2 3.85 4 5.03 4 6.28 5 7.47 8
LSU 10-2   .24 4 .32 3 .16 17 .01 42   2.40 8 3.49 7 4.74 7 6.08 9 7.41 10
South Carolina 8-5   .24 5 .17 20 .33 1 .04 7   2.69 4 3.93 3 5.33 2 6.81 2 8.27 2
Washington State 1-10   .23 6 .25 8 .20 12 .03 10   2.33 10 3.36 10 4.53 11 5.77 14 7.01 19
Arizona State 4-6   .22 7 .18 18 .25 6 .05 5   2.21 16 3.10 24 4.11 31 5.21 39 6.28 50
Texas A&M 8-4   .20 8 .21 13 .14 26 .02 25   2.03 30 3.10 23 4.38 20 5.75 15 7.12 15
Minnesota 3-8   .20 9 .21 11 .16 19 .03 11   2.03 32 3.04 26 4.21 24 5.45 25 6.69 30
Florida State 9-4   .18 10 .34 1 .04 52 .01 50   2.26 12 3.42 8 4.78 6 6.25 6 7.75 5
Alabama 9-3   .18 11 .17 19 .16 16 .03 12   2.17 18 3.24 15 4.46 15 5.80 13 7.13 13
Notre Dame 8-5   .18 12 .14 22 .24 7 .02 33   2.05 27 3.18 20 4.52 12 6.02 10 7.57 7
Iowa State 4-7   .18 13 .21 12 .14 25 .02 31   1.91 37 2.90 35 4.04 34 5.32 36 6.61 36
Michigan 6-6   .18 14 .31 5 .04 55 .02 37   2.16 19 3.18 19 4.37 21 5.71 19 7.05 17
Arizona 6-6   .17 15 .18 16 .15 22 .03 14   2.27 11 3.29 12 4.46 16 5.74 16 7.08 16
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Miami 6-6   .17 16 .19 14 .14 24 .03 13   2.12 22 3.19 18 4.45 17 5.83 12 7.23 12
Clemson 5-7   .17 17 .23 9 .10 36 .01 54   1.87 39 2.86 37 4.07 32 5.42 27 6.82 24
Washington 7-6   .16 18 .22 10 .08 43 .05 3   2.52 6 3.66 5 5.00 5 6.47 4 7.94 3
Missouri 9-3   .16 19 .15 21 .15 21 .00 58   1.82 43 2.81 39 4.06 33 5.40 29 6.77 26
Mississippi State 8-4   .15 20 .00 61 .31 3 .02 36   2.24 13 3.28 13 4.48 14 5.74 17 7.03 18
Virginia Tech 11-2   .15 21 .12 28 .17 15 .02 27   2.42 7 3.30 11 4.43 18 5.71 20 7.01 20
Mississippi 4-7   .14 22 .13 26 .13 29 .01 41   2.07 25 2.96 33 3.98 38 5.10 44 6.24 51
Oklahoma 12-2   .14 23 .14 23 .12 32 .01 45   2.04 29 3.21 16 4.64 9 6.20 7 7.82 4
Penn State 6-6   .14 24 .13 25 .18 14 .00 66   2.15 20 3.11 21 4.26 22 5.52 23 6.84 23
USC 8-5   .13 25 .12 30 .14 23 .03 17   2.23 14 3.27 14 4.55 10 5.95 11 7.39 11
Stanford 11-1   .13 26 .12 29 .12 33 .05 4   2.01 33 2.98 31 4.12 30 5.42 26 6.77 27
North Carolina State 8-4   .13 27 .07 40 .16 20 .03 18   1.73 54 2.75 46 3.98 37 5.41 28 6.84 22
San Jose State 0-11   .13 28 .04 53 .18 13 .02 32   2.58 5 3.49 6 4.52 13 5.57 22 6.61 35
Florida 7-5   .13 29 .19 15 .05 49 .04 8   1.98 36 2.99 30 4.22 23 5.59 21 6.98 21
Illinois 6-6   .12 30 -.03 68 .27 5 -.01 81   1.77 49 2.78 40 4.00 36 5.33 33 6.72 29
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
California 4-7   .12 31 .02 56 .22 11 .02 19   2.10 24 3.05 25 4.17 27 5.37 31 6.56 38
UCLA 4-8   .11 32 .08 38 .13 28 .04 9   2.18 17 3.21 17 4.39 19 5.72 18 7.12 14
Iowa 7-5   .10 33 -.02 66 .23 10 .00 64   1.85 42 2.84 38 4.01 35 5.32 37 6.67 32
Cincinnati 3-8   .10 34 .26 7 -.06 80 .02 26   1.42 77 2.29 71 3.39 68 4.62 64 5.91 67
Georgia 5-7   .10 35 .07 41 .16 18 .00 56   2.04 28 3.02 27 4.18 25 5.47 24 6.80 25
Oregon 11-1   .10 36 .06 46 .13 30 .02 23   2.06 26 3.01 29 4.13 29 5.37 32 6.67 33
Utah State 3-8   .10 37 .08 39 .11 34 -.01 72   2.12 23 2.94 34 3.91 43 4.93 53 5.98 63
UNLV 2-11   .10 38 .09 35 .10 35 -.02 96   2.34 9 3.41 9 4.70 8 6.09 8 7.46 9
Purdue 3-8   .10 39 -.04 69 .23 9 -.02 88   1.85 40 2.73 47 3.76 49 4.91 54 6.06 59
Michigan State 10-2   .09 40 .09 36 .10 37 .02 30   1.81 45 2.77 42 3.93 42 5.23 38 6.57 37
Boston College 6-6   .08 41 .08 37 .09 39 .02 29   1.69 58 2.60 52 3.81 46 5.12 43 6.47 45
Wake Forest 2-9   .08 42 .11 32 .05 51 .02 22   2.21 15 3.11 22 4.18 26 5.33 35 6.50 41
North Carolina 7-5   .08 43 .06 47 .06 44 .05 1   1.53 65 2.52 60 3.73 50 5.08 47 6.48 44
Kansas 3-8   .07 44 .05 51 .04 54 .02 24   1.47 71 2.36 67 3.43 66 4.59 67 5.81 72
Pittsburgh 7-5   .07 45 .18 17 -.05 77 .03 15   1.47 72 2.45 63 3.67 54 5.06 49 6.55 40
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Nebraska 9-4   .07 46 .10 34 .01 61 .01 49   1.78 48 2.76 44 3.97 39 5.33 34 6.77 28
Tennessee 5-7   .06 47 .11 31 .03 57 .02 34   2.03 31 3.01 28 4.17 28 5.40 30 6.67 31
Duke 2-9   .06 48 .05 52 .08 40 -.01 76   1.68 59 2.58 56 3.66 55 4.86 55 6.11 55
Ohio State 12-1   .06 49 .00 60 .14 27 -.02 103   1.75 51 2.72 48 3.90 44 5.18 40 6.56 39
Texas Tech 7-5   .06 50 .07 42 .02 59 .00 65   1.63 60 2.60 53 3.72 51 5.00 51 6.35 48
Baylor 6-6   .06 51 .10 33 .00 64 .01 52   1.98 35 2.88 36 3.96 40 5.17 41 6.45 46
Oklahoma State 11-2   .05 52 .00 64 .09 38 .00 61   1.46 73 2.43 65 3.66 56 5.10 45 6.63 34
Kentucky 5-7   .05 53 .05 50 .06 45 .01 40   1.85 41 2.77 41 3.88 45 5.17 42 6.49 42
Indiana 4-7   .04 54 .03 54 .08 42 -.02 98   1.74 52 2.56 57 3.53 61 4.58 68 5.72 74
Colorado 5-7   .04 55 .03 55 .06 46 -.01 70   1.74 53 2.68 49 3.81 47 5.07 48 6.41 47
Utah 10-3   .03 56 .06 49 .04 56 -.01 84   2.12 21 2.97 32 3.94 41 5.09 46 6.33 49
Virginia 2-8   .02 57 .00 65 .05 48 .02 35   1.41 78 2.22 75 3.16 78 4.22 81 5.37 87
Maryland 8-4   .02 58 .06 45 .00 65 .00 57   1.44 75 2.33 69 3.46 65 4.80 57 6.18 52
Wyoming 2-9   .02 59 .12 27 -.07 84 -.03 104   1.98 34 2.77 43 3.62 59 4.69 63 5.83 70
Texas 5-7   .01 60 .00 62 .02 58 .01 48   1.49 69 2.27 73 3.33 70 4.56 69 5.84 69
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
East Carolina 6-7   .01 61 .01 59 .01 60 .00 63   1.59 63 2.53 59 3.70 52 5.05 50 6.48 43
Fresno State 7-5   .01 62 -.11 85 .12 31 -.01 82   1.79 47 2.63 50 3.67 53 4.84 56 6.08 58
South Florida 7-5   .01 63 .13 24 -.10 91 .01 55   1.34 80 2.16 79 3.24 74 4.55 70 5.92 65
Kansas State 6-6   .00 64 .07 44 -.07 85 .01 43   1.28 82 2.17 78 3.30 72 4.60 66 6.00 62
Rutgers 3-8   .00 65 .01 57 -.01 71 -.01 78   1.11 90 1.93 88 2.98 85 4.20 82 5.53 80
Louisiana Tech 4-7   .00 66 -.02 67 .01 62 -.02 89   1.80 46 2.53 58 3.47 64 4.51 72 5.60 78
West Virginia 8-4   -.02 67 .07 43 -.13 94 .03 16   1.25 86 2.12 83 3.20 76 4.44 76 5.79 73
Vanderbilt 2-10   -.03 68 -.10 83 .04 53 .01 38   1.57 64 2.45 62 3.53 60 4.77 60 6.10 56
Wisconsin 10-2   -.03 69 -.10 82 .05 50 -.02 90   1.88 38 2.76 45 3.78 48 4.95 52 6.18 53
Air Force 8-4   -.03 70 -.05 74 .00 66 -.02 100   1.77 50 2.59 54 3.52 62 4.61 65 5.82 71
BYU 7-6   -.04 71 -.12 90 .05 47 .00 67   1.82 44 2.61 51 3.64 57 4.79 59 6.05 60
Northwestern 6-6   -.04 72 -.05 72 -.03 74 -.01 79   1.33 81 2.14 80 3.23 75 4.51 73 5.88 68
Boise State 12-1   -.04 73 -.09 79 -.01 69 .00 59   1.35 79 2.17 77 3.27 73 4.53 71 5.92 66
Connecticut 7-5   -.05 74 .06 48 -.15 98 .01 53   1.44 74 2.33 68 3.41 67 4.69 62 6.09 57
Colorado State 3-9   -.05 75 -.07 77 .00 67 -.02 102   1.69 57 2.58 55 3.63 58 4.74 61 5.96 64
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Georgia Tech 5-7   -.05 76 -.05 71 -.08 87 .01 39   1.60 61 2.40 66 3.51 63 4.80 58 6.11 54
Syracuse 6-5   -.06 77 .01 58 -.12 93 .02 28   1.04 94 1.84 92 2.83 90 4.03 91 5.36 89
Louisville 6-6   -.06 78 -.05 73 -.08 86 .01 44   1.02 95 1.87 91 2.92 88 4.15 83 5.53 79
Louisiana Monroe 4-7   -.07 79 -.09 81 -.05 78 -.02 94   1.48 70 2.18 76 3.08 82 4.12 85 5.24 93
New Mexico 1-11   -.08 80 -.10 84 -.03 75 -.01 73   1.71 56 2.44 64 3.32 71 4.44 75 5.63 77
New Mexico State 2-10   -.08 81 -.16 100 -.02 72 -.02 95   1.50 67 2.24 74 3.16 79 4.24 80 5.46 83
Navy 8-4   -.09 82 -.19 104 .01 63 .00 69   1.11 91 1.92 89 3.01 83 4.30 79 5.69 75
Memphis 1-11   -.09 83 -.14 96 -.05 79 .02 20   .91 104 1.72 95 2.79 91 4.05 89 5.46 82
TCU 12-0   -.09 84 -.11 86 -.07 83 -.03 105   1.28 83 2.02 84 2.95 87 4.14 84 5.45 84
Louisiana Lafayette 3-9   -.10 85 -.11 88 -.09 88 -.02 91   .93 103 1.67 99 2.69 96 3.92 94 5.28 91
SMU 7-7   -.10 86 -.26 115 .08 41 -.02 92   1.12 89 1.94 87 3.09 81 4.47 74 6.02 61
Army 6-6   -.11 87 -.12 89 -.09 89 -.04 115   .93 102 1.69 97 2.69 97 3.92 93 5.29 90
Idaho 5-7   -.12 88 -.13 94 -.10 92 -.01 74   1.72 55 2.47 61 3.36 69 4.38 77 5.52 81
Hawaii 9-4   -.12 89 -.23 113 -.01 68 -.01 71   1.53 66 2.28 72 3.20 77 4.33 78 5.64 76
Central Michigan 2-9   -.12 90 -.22 111 -.01 70 .00 68   1.27 85 1.95 85 2.77 94 3.79 99 4.92 105
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
San Diego State 8-4   -.12 91 -.05 75 -.17 101 -.03 107   1.60 62 2.29 70 3.11 80 4.11 86 5.26 92
Arkansas State 4-8   -.13 92 -.21 110 -.04 76 -.04 113   1.14 88 1.80 93 2.75 95 3.90 95 5.18 96
Tulsa 9-3   -.13 93 -.22 112 -.06 81 .01 51   1.24 87 1.91 90 2.77 93 3.84 96 5.06 101
Florida International 7-6   -.13 94 -.04 70 -.20 107 -.04 112   1.00 96 1.71 96 2.77 92 4.04 90 5.44 85
Tulane 3-8   -.14 95 -.17 101 -.10 90 .01 47   .61 117 1.29 115 2.17 111 3.26 112 4.54 109
Eastern Michigan 2-10   -.14 96 -.08 78 -.19 104 -.01 80   1.04 93 1.69 98 2.62 100 3.73 100 5.00 103
Nevada 12-1   -.14 97 .00 63 -.29 112 -.02 101   1.43 76 2.13 81 3.00 84 4.10 87 5.38 86
Marshall 5-7   -.15 98 -.13 95 -.14 96 -.02 99   1.27 84 1.95 86 2.86 89 3.95 92 5.18 95
Bowling Green 2-10   -.15 99 -.05 76 -.21 110 -.03 106   .82 108 1.52 106 2.49 103 3.68 104 5.07 99
Houston 4-7   -.15 100 -.17 103 -.13 95 .00 62   .81 109 1.40 109 2.24 109 3.29 109 4.53 110
Western Kentucky 2-10   -.15 101 -.12 91 -.17 100 -.03 110   .91 105 1.56 104 2.54 102 3.72 101 5.06 100
Rice 4-8   -.16 102 -.29 119 -.02 73 -.01 83   .62 116 1.31 112 2.30 108 3.49 107 4.86 106
Central Florida 10-3   -.17 103 -.20 106 -.14 97 .00 60   .83 107 1.53 105 2.47 106 3.68 105 5.09 98
Toledo 8-5   -.17 104 -.17 102 -.17 102 -.02 93   1.50 68 2.13 82 2.98 86 4.10 88 5.36 88
Southern Mississippi 7-5   -.17 105 -.28 116 -.07 82 -.01 77   .97 99 1.65 101 2.58 101 3.71 102 4.99 104
 
Team W-L   OA Rk OOA Rk DOA Rk SOA Rk   EL Rk VGL Rk GL Rk AAL Rk AL Rk
Florida Atlantic 4-8   -.18 106 -.12 92 -.20 106 -.05 116   .78 110 1.50 107 2.49 104 3.69 103 5.06 102
Troy 8-5   -.19 107 -.16 99 -.18 103 -.05 118   .95 101 1.66 100 2.62 99 3.79 98 5.13 97
Western Michigan 5-6   -.19 108 -.14 97 -.20 108 -.03 111   .85 106 1.36 110 2.14 112 3.09 114 4.17 115
UAB 4-8   -.19 109 -.20 105 -.20 109 .01 46   .98 98 1.59 103 2.48 105 3.59 106 4.81 107
Akron 1-10   -.20 110 -.15 98 -.29 111 -.01 75   .69 113 1.33 111 2.20 110 3.27 111 4.52 111
North Texas 3-9   -.22 111 -.24 114 -.19 105 -.03 109   .53 119 1.16 119 2.03 115 3.15 113 4.47 112
Kent State 4-7   -.22 112 -.09 80 -.35 119 -.02 87   .61 118 1.20 117 1.98 118 2.98 117 4.19 114
Buffalo 1-10   -.24 113 -.28 117 -.16 99 -.01 85   .77 111 1.30 114 2.03 116 2.98 116 4.11 117
Ohio 7-5   -.25 114 -.11 87 -.34 117 -.06 120   .95 100 1.48 108 2.13 114 3.02 115 4.15 116
Temple 7-4   -.25 115 -.12 93 -.35 120 -.01 86   .65 115 1.19 118 1.93 119 2.87 118 3.99 119
Miami (OH) 10-4   -.27 116 -.20 107 -.32 114 -.02 97   1.08 92 1.73 94 2.66 98 3.84 97 5.21 94
Ball State 3-7   -.28 117 -.21 109 -.33 116 -.05 117   .75 112 1.31 113 2.01 117 2.84 119 3.84 120
Northern Illinois 10-3   -.28 118 -.21 108 -.35 118 -.03 108   .66 114 1.28 116 2.13 113 3.28 110 4.64 108
UTEP 5-7   -.29 119 -.29 118 -.30 113 -.04 114   .99 97 1.60 102 2.35 107 3.31 108 4.44 113
Middle Tennessee 5-7   -.32 120 -.31 120 -.33 115 -.05 119   .40 120 .92 120 1.71 120 2.74 120 4.02 118