SFP Ratings

FEI Ratings
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FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Ratings this week are partly (29 percent) based on weighted five-year FEI ratings. OFEI Offense ratings (OFEI) and Projected DFEI Defense ratings (DFEI) represent per-possession advantages projected for each unit. Projected losses (PL) represent the average number of losses expected based on individual game win likelihoods in regular season games. Projected season outcome distributions are also provided, represented as the percent chance of losing a given number of regular season games (0L is zero losses, 1L is one loss, etc).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2019 FEI Ratings (through Week 5)
:: Pre Championship :: W16 :: W15 :: W14 :: W13 :: W12 :: W11 :: W10 :: W9 :: W8 :: W7 :: W6 :: W5 :: W4 :: W3 :: W2 :: W1 :: Preseason

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 5-0 1.58   2.17 2 1.14 2   .4   66 29 5 - - - - - - - - - -
2 Ohio State 5-0 1.34   1.60 3 1.05 3   .7   47 39 13 1 - - - - - - - - -
3 Clemson 5-0 1.17   .98 11 1.39 1   .3   72 25 3 - - - - - - - - - -
4 Georgia 3-0 1.12   1.28 4 .86 7   1.0   34 43 18 4 1 - - - - - - - -
5 Oklahoma 3-0 1.08   2.30 1 -.10 61   1.4   21 36 28 12 3 - - - - - - - -
6 Wisconsin 4-0 .93   .82 13 .98 6   1.8   8 33 37 17 4 1 - - - - - - -
7 LSU 3-0 .91   1.24 5 .42 23   2.3   2 23 37 28 8 2 - - - - - - -
8 Central Florida 3-1 .77   1.17 6 .40 24   2.2   - 27 38 27 7 1 - - - - - - -
9 Auburn 5-0 .77   .84 12 .66 12   2.7   - 12 33 35 16 4 - - - - - - -
10 Notre Dame 3-1 .68   .65 19 .66 13   2.6   - 14 35 35 12 3 1 - - - - - -
11 Penn State 3-0 .67   .57 22 .77 10   2.9   1 9 27 34 22 6 1 - - - - - -
12 Iowa 4-0 .65   .44 35 .78 8   2.6   2 15 29 30 18 5 1 - - - - - -
13 Oregon 2-1 .64   .47 31 .77 9   3.2   - 5 25 30 24 12 3 1 - - - - -
14 Missouri 2-1 .62   .50 28 .61 14   3.1   - 4 22 40 23 8 3 - - - - - -
15 Michigan State 4-1 .60   .19 57 1.02 4   3.8   - 1 8 31 39 19 2 - - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 TCU 2-1 .58   .26 48 1.01 5   4.4   - 1 6 18 30 27 13 4 1 - - - -
17 Baylor 3-0 .54   1.14 7 -.06 56   3.3   1 7 19 31 27 12 3 - - - - - -
18 Washington 3-1 .50   .73 17 .39 25   3.2   - 7 20 35 24 11 2 1 - - - - -
19 Oklahoma State 3-1 .49   1.00 9 -.03 53   3.9   - 1 8 26 32 22 9 2 - - - - -
20 Boise State 3-0 .49   .43 36 .60 15   1.1   27 41 24 7 1 - - - - - - - -
21 Texas 3-1 .46   .99 10 -.01 52   4.6   - - 4 15 31 27 16 6 1 - - - -
22 Michigan 3-1 .46   .34 45 .49 21   5.1   - - 2 9 24 28 23 12 2 - - - -
23 SMU 5-0 .43   .80 16 .08 40   2.0   7 27 33 23 8 2 - - - - - - -
24 Cincinnati 3-1 .41   .51 27 .35 30   3.3   - 3 22 32 27 12 3 1 - - - - -
25 Utah 3-1 .41   .50 30 .46 22   3.3   - 6 21 30 27 13 3 - - - - - -
26 Mississippi State 3-2 .40   .57 23 .28 33   4.7   - - 1 10 31 35 19 4 - - - - -
27 Florida 3-0 .40   .18 58 .55 16   3.8   - 1 10 27 35 21 5 1 - - - - -
28 Kansas State 2-1 .39   .29 46 .38 26   4.8   - - 3 12 25 30 21 8 1 - - - -
29 Appalachian State 3-0 .37   .80 15 .06 43   1.5   17 35 32 13 3 - - - - - - - -
30 Iowa State 1-2 .37   .54 25 .21 37   5.9   - - - 2 13 25 30 20 8 2 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Arizona State 3-1 .34   .35 44 .23 35   3.9   - 1 12 25 30 22 9 1 - - - - -
32 Memphis 3-0 .33   .37 41 .36 28   2.9   3 9 24 31 20 10 3 - - - - - -
33 Washington State 2-2 .31   1.06 8 -.48 97   5.2   - - 1 5 18 36 25 12 3 - - - -
34 Army 2-1 .28   .24 50 .24 34   3.1   - 7 27 33 23 8 2 - - - - - -
35 Duke 2-1 .28   .46 33 -.01 51   4.5   - 1 5 17 29 25 17 5 1 - - - -
36 Minnesota 3-0 .22   .37 40 .01 48   3.6   - 2 13 28 32 18 6 1 - - - - -
37 USC 3-2 .22   .38 39 .12 38   5.7   - - - 2 13 27 30 20 7 1 - - -
38 Miami 1-2 .21   -.11 85 .49 18   5.1   - - 2 9 21 29 25 11 2 1 - - -
39 Wake Forest 4-0 .21   .36 42 .05 45   3.0   1 9 26 31 22 9 2 - - - - - -
40 West Virginia 2-1 .21   .39 38 -.08 59   6.0   - - - 1 12 21 31 22 12 1 - - -
41 Indiana 2-2 .21   .50 29 -.30 84   5.1   - - - 7 20 32 29 10 2 - - - -
42 California 3-1 .20   .03 69 .32 32   4.4   - 1 5 16 30 31 14 3 - - - - -
43 San Diego State 2-1 .20   -.13 87 .49 20   2.9   - 10 27 34 20 7 2 - - - - - -
44 Pittsburgh 2-2 .19   .12 61 .49 19   4.6   - - 3 16 30 29 16 5 1 - - - -
45 Texas A&M 2-2 .18   .22 53 .12 39   6.3   - - - - 2 17 39 32 10 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 North Carolina 2-3 .14   .22 52 .04 46   5.8   - - - 2 15 28 29 19 6 1 - - -
47 South Carolina 1-3 .13   -.17 93 .38 27   7.2   - - - - 1 7 20 34 25 11 2 - -
48 Colorado 3-1 .12   .63 21 -.41 91   5.6   - - 1 5 15 25 28 20 6 - - - -
49 Utah State 2-1 .12   -.06 80 .34 31   4.4   - 1 5 21 30 27 13 3 - - - - -
50 Virginia 3-1 .11   -.07 82 .35 29   3.9   - 2 10 25 32 21 8 2 - - - - -
51 Western Michigan 2-2 .11   .72 18 -.50 98   3.9   - - 10 26 34 20 8 2 - - - - -
52 Houston 1-3 .10   .63 20 -.39 90   6.7   - - - - 4 14 26 32 18 6 - - -
53 Air Force 2-1 .09   .52 26 -.38 89   4.2   - 1 11 21 28 23 12 4 - - - - -
54 Mississippi 1-3 .09   .27 47 -.07 58   7.0   - - - - 2 7 22 34 27 8 - - -
55 Florida State 3-2 .08   .21 54 .00 49   5.5   - - - 2 13 31 36 16 2 - - - -
56 Navy 1-1 .08   .81 14 -.57 102   5.2   - - 2 7 21 27 24 13 5 1 - - -
57 Arizona 2-1 .07   .23 51 -.13 63   5.7   - - 1 3 13 25 29 20 8 1 - - -
58 Temple 2-1 .04   -.42 108 .53 17   4.8   - - 1 10 29 31 23 5 1 - - - -
59 Tulsa 2-2 .02   .02 70 .08 41   6.6   - - - 1 4 17 28 28 16 5 1 - -
60 Northwestern 1-3 .02   -.65 119 .72 11   7.2   - - - - 1 7 20 30 27 13 2 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Tulane 2-1 .02   .08 63 -.13 64   5.7   - - - 4 11 25 31 23 6 - - - -
62 Louisiana Lafayette 3-1 .01   .57 24 -.45 94   3.6   - 3 13 30 32 17 4 1 - - - - -
63 North Carolina State 2-2 -.01   .02 71 -.03 54   5.8   - - - 3 12 26 30 20 8 1 - - -
64 UCLA 1-4 -.01   .17 59 -.18 67   7.8   - - - - - 2 11 27 32 20 7 1 -
65 Troy 1-2 -.01   .42 37 -.34 87   5.3   - - - 5 17 32 29 13 3 1 - - -
66 Kentucky 2-3 -.02   .01 73 .00 50   6.0   - - - - 5 25 38 23 8 1 - - -
67 Fresno State 1-2 -.02   -.15 91 .22 36   4.9   - - 1 10 26 32 22 7 2 - - - -
68 Arkansas State 2-2 -.02   .01 72 .06 44   4.0   - - 8 28 30 24 9 1 - - - - -
69 Florida Atlantic 2-2 -.02   -.02 75 -.08 60   4.0   - - 9 27 32 25 6 1 - - - - -
70 Coastal Carolina 2-2 -.05   .46 32 -.65 107   4.7   - - 3 14 26 30 19 7 1 - - - -
71 Nebraska 3-2 -.06   -.07 81 .06 42   6.3   - - - 1 6 18 31 28 14 2 - - -
72 Louisiana Tech 3-1 -.07   -.13 88 -.11 62   3.0   - 6 26 37 24 6 1 - - - - - -
73 Louisville 1-2 -.08   .00 74 -.30 82   7.0   - - - - 2 11 22 30 23 10 2 - -
74 Stanford 2-3 -.08   .04 66 -.30 83   7.6   - - - - 1 4 13 28 31 19 4 - -
75 North Texas 1-3 -.08   .04 65 -.21 74   5.4   - - - 4 18 32 31 11 4 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 UAB 2-1 -.09   .05 64 -.05 55   3.3   - 4 22 33 26 11 3 1 - - - - -
77 Ohio 0-3 -.09   .19 56 -.33 85   5.5   - - - 4 19 30 27 16 3 1 - - -
78 Purdue 1-3 -.10   .10 62 -.24 76   8.1   - - - - - 1 9 20 31 25 12 2 -
79 Wyoming 3-1 -.10   -.19 94 .03 47   4.4   - - 3 15 35 31 14 2 - - - - -
80 Southern Mississippi 2-2 -.16   .17 60 -.60 103   5.1   - - 1 7 23 32 25 10 2 - - - -
81 Boston College 2-2 -.16   -.02 76 -.19 68   6.8   - - - - 2 11 25 34 22 6 - - -
82 Georgia Tech 1-2 -.18   -.08 83 -.20 71   7.2   - - - - 2 7 19 27 28 15 2 - -
83 Western Kentucky 2-1 -.19   -.34 101 -.14 65   4.7   - 1 3 14 24 29 20 7 2 - - - -
84 Texas Tech 1-2 -.19   .20 55 -.64 106   8.0   - - - - - 2 7 21 36 25 9 - -
85 Eastern Michigan 2-1 -.19   -.15 92 -.15 66   4.1   - 1 8 23 28 24 11 4 1 - - - -
86 Hawaii 3-1 -.19   .36 43 -.65 108   5.0   - - 3 8 23 30 23 10 3 - - - -
87 Syracuse 2-2 -.19   -.31 98 -.07 57   6.5   - - - 1 4 15 29 29 17 5 - - -
88 Maryland 1-2 -.20   -.05 78 -.24 78   7.4   - - - - 1 5 18 31 31 12 2 - -
89 Illinois 2-2 -.21   -.21 96 -.27 80   7.7   - - - - 1 3 11 26 36 20 3 - -
90 Buffalo 1-3 -.25   -.14 90 -.24 77   5.6   - - - 3 15 29 31 17 4 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Vanderbilt 1-3 -.26   -.06 79 -.51 99   7.5   - - - - 1 4 13 32 33 15 2 - -
92 Toledo 2-1 -.29   .03 67 -.63 105   4.6   - - 5 16 27 28 16 7 1 - - - -
93 Kansas 1-3 -.30   -.14 89 -.53 100   8.7   - - - - - - 2 9 27 40 22 - -
94 Tennessee 0-3 -.31   -.52 114 -.33 86   9.2   - - - - - - 1 6 18 34 31 10 -
95 BYU 2-3 -.32   -.37 102 -.20 70   6.4   - - - - 3 16 32 35 13 1 - - -
96 Virginia Tech 1-2 -.32   -.39 104 -.29 81   7.3   - - - - 1 5 17 32 32 13 - - -
97 Liberty 2-2 -.34   -.43 109 -.19 69   4.4   - - 3 18 35 29 13 2 - - - - -
98 Florida International 0-3 -.34   .03 68 -.81 114   6.4   - - - - 5 16 31 28 15 5 - - -
99 Arkansas 1-3 -.35   -.24 97 -.44 93   8.8   - - - - - - 1 7 27 43 22 - -
100 Miami (OH) 1-3 -.36   -.46 111 -.26 79   6.2   - - - 1 6 21 33 27 10 2 - - -
101 Marshall 1-2 -.37   -.32 99 -.44 92   6.0   - - - 3 11 23 30 20 12 1 - - -
102 South Florida 0-3 -.38   -.58 117 -.23 75   8.1   - - - - - 1 7 20 36 25 10 1 -
103 Louisiana Monroe 1-2 -.38   .25 49 -.93 118   6.9   - - - - 2 12 20 34 23 7 2 - -
104 Central Michigan 1-3 -.39   -.71 120 -.20 72   6.2   - - - 1 8 20 32 25 12 2 - - -
105 Charlotte 1-3 -.40   -.04 77 -.85 115   6.5   - - - 1 4 18 30 27 15 4 1 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 Northern Illinois 0-3 -.42   -.55 115 -.37 88   7.5   - - - - 1 5 17 25 30 14 7 1 -
107 Oregon State 0-3 -.48   .44 34 -1.44 128   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 7 24 41 27 -
108 Kent State 1-2 -.48   -.41 107 -.46 95   6.9   - - - - 2 11 23 30 23 9 2 - -
109 Georgia Southern 0-3 -.50   -.40 105 -.75 112   7.8   - - - - - 2 11 27 32 20 7 1 -
110 Ball State 0-3 -.50   -.45 110 -.47 96   7.9   - - - - 1 4 10 22 31 21 10 1 -
111 Middle Tennessee 0-3 -.53   -.33 100 -.70 109   7.6   - - - - 1 4 14 26 30 18 6 1 -
112 Texas State 1-3 -.55   -.94 125 -.21 73   7.9   - - - - - 1 10 24 36 24 5 - -
113 Old Dominion 0-3 -.56   -.57 116 -.60 104   7.7   - - - - 1 4 11 27 30 19 7 1 -
114 Colorado State 0-4 -.56   -.11 86 -.90 117   8.8   - - - - - - 2 8 26 35 24 5 -
115 Georgia State 1-2 -.60   -.10 84 -1.05 123   7.5   - - - - 1 6 13 30 31 16 3 - -
116 Nevada 2-2 -.62   -.51 113 -.87 116   6.7   - - - - 3 11 29 36 17 4 - - -
117 UNLV 0-3 -.71   -.37 103 -.94 119   8.7   - - - - - - 3 12 24 31 25 5 -
118 New Mexico 1-2 -.71   -.20 95 -1.23 127   7.9   - - - - - 2 10 24 32 25 7 - -
119 San Jose State 1-2 -.72   -.48 112 -.94 120   8.0   - - - - - 1 10 22 35 25 7 - -
120 Rutgers 1-3 -.75   -.92 124 -.55 101   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 6 22 42 29 -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 East Carolina 1-2 -.77   -.86 123 -.71 111   7.6   - - - - - 1 12 32 39 16 - - -
122 Rice 0-5 -.80   -.76 121 -.77 113   9.5   - - - - - - 1 5 16 29 28 18 3
123 New Mexico State 0-5 -.81   -.40 106 -1.09 125   9.1   - - - - - - 1 5 20 37 30 7 -
124 Akron 0-5 -.87   -1.01 126 -.71 110   10.0   - - - - - - - 2 10 24 30 27 7
125 South Alabama 0-4 -1.00   -1.01 128 -.96 121   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 6 24 42 27 -
126 UTEP 0-3 -1.01   -1.04 129 -.98 122   8.9   - - - - - - 1 10 24 36 23 6 -
127 Connecticut 0-3 -1.05   -1.01 127 -1.09 124   9.5   - - - - - - - 2 11 34 38 15 -
128 Bowling Green 0-3 -1.14   -.78 122 -1.44 129   9.8   - - - - - - - 1 6 24 43 26 -
129 UTSA 0-3 -1.20   -1.18 130 -1.22 126   9.9   - - - - - - - 1 6 24 43 26 -
130 Massachusetts 1-3 -1.36   -.61 118 -1.88 130   9.2   - - - - - - - 1 13 45 41 - -