SFP Ratings

FEI Ratings
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FEI ratings (FEI) represent the per-possession scoring advantage a team would be expected to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Ratings this week are mostly (57 percent) based on weighted five-year FEI ratings. OFEI Offense ratings (OFEI) and Projected DFEI Defense ratings (DFEI) represent per-possession advantages projected for each unit. Projected losses (PL) represent the average number of losses expected based on individual game win likelihoods in regular season games. Projected season outcome distributions are also provided, represented as the percent chance of losing a given number of regular season games (0L is zero losses, 1L is one loss, etc).

Ratings and supporting data are calculated from the results of non-garbage possessions in FBS vs. FBS games.

 

2019 FEI Ratings (through Week 3)
:: Pre Championship :: W16 :: W15 :: W14 :: W13 :: W12 :: W11 :: W10 :: W9 :: W8 :: W7 :: W6 :: W5 :: W4 :: W3 :: W2 :: W1 :: Preseason

 

Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
1 Alabama 3-0 1.42   1.65 2 1.19 2   .6   48 40 11 1 - - - - - - - - -
2 Clemson 3-0 1.21   .98 9 1.41 1   .3   72 24 4 - - - - - - - - - -
3 Georgia 2-0 .96   1.16 4 .70 9   1.6   16 35 29 15 4 1 - - - - - - -
4 Oklahoma 2-0 .90   2.05 1 -.24 81   1.7   15 32 31 14 7 1 - - - - - - -
5 Ohio State 3-0 .90   1.28 3 .53 16   1.6   15 33 33 14 4 1 - - - - - - -
6 LSU 2-0 .81   .76 10 .71 8   2.8   1 15 28 32 16 7 1 - - - - - -
7 Wisconsin 2-0 .72   .57 13 .78 5   2.7   4 16 26 29 17 7 1 - - - - - -
8 Michigan 2-0 .57   .38 34 .74 6   3.7   1 4 14 26 27 19 7 2 - - - - -
9 Notre Dame 2-0 .57   .67 11 .42 21   2.9   2 11 24 31 22 8 2 - - - - - -
10 Auburn 3-0 .56   .50 20 .62 13   3.9   - 2 10 26 29 24 8 1 - - - - -
11 Mississippi State 2-1 .56   .47 22 .72 7   4.3   - 1 7 21 31 27 11 2 - - - - -
12 Central Florida 2-0 .54   1.00 8 .18 31   1.9   11 28 33 19 7 2 - - - - - - -
13 Iowa 3-0 .50   .22 45 .70 10   3.2   1 10 20 29 23 14 3 - - - - - -
14 Missouri 1-1 .49   .56 14 .35 24   3.9   - 2 9 27 31 19 9 2 1 - - - -
15 Appalachian State 1-0 .47   .54 15 .44 20   1.6   15 34 31 16 3 1 - - - - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
16 Washington State 2-0 .43   1.02 6 -.12 69   3.2   2 7 22 29 23 12 4 1 - - - - -
17 Penn State 2-0 .42   .25 43 .63 12   3.8   1 5 13 27 27 18 6 3 - - - - -
18 Baylor 1-0 .42   1.02 7 -.19 75   3.8   1 4 12 26 26 19 9 3 - - - - -
19 Boise State 2-0 .42   .50 19 .38 23   1.6   13 34 32 16 4 1 - - - - - - -
20 Utah 2-0 .41   .20 47 .54 15   3.1   2 11 23 28 22 11 3 - - - - - -
21 Oregon 1-1 .41   .52 18 .28 28   4.2   - 1 7 21 29 24 13 4 1 - - - -
22 Florida 2-0 .40   .19 48 .50 18   3.8   - 3 10 27 28 22 8 2 - - - - -
23 Michigan State 2-1 .40   -.17 94 .94 3   4.9   - - 2 10 24 31 21 10 2 - - - -
24 Memphis 2-0 .39   .59 12 .10 42   2.7   4 15 28 27 17 8 1 - - - - - -
25 Oklahoma State 2-0 .38   1.06 5 -.26 85   3.9   - 4 11 25 27 20 11 2 - - - - -
26 Washington 1-1 .38   .39 32 .52 17   4.2   - 2 8 20 29 25 11 4 1 - - - -
27 TCU 1-0 .36   -.07 78 .81 4   4.3   - 1 7 17 29 24 14 6 2 - - - -
28 Kansas State 2-0 .33   .49 21 .12 38   4.2   - 2 8 21 28 25 10 5 1 - - - -
29 West Virginia 1-1 .32   .46 26 .14 33   5.4   - - 1 8 19 27 26 13 5 1 - - -
30 Texas A&M 1-1 .30   .44 28 .11 40   5.8   - - - 3 10 25 30 24 7 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
31 Army 2-1 .28   .40 30 .14 34   2.8   - 12 31 33 17 6 1 - - - - - -
32 Miami 0-2 .28   -.10 81 .61 14   5.0   - - 2 12 22 27 23 9 4 1 - - -
33 Texas 2-1 .27   .54 16 .05 45   5.5   - - 2 6 17 26 27 16 5 1 - - -
34 Minnesota 2-0 .25   .10 59 .33 25   3.9   - 3 10 25 30 20 9 3 - - - - -
35 Arizona State 2-0 .25   .32 37 .06 44   3.9   1 3 12 23 28 20 10 2 1 - - - -
36 Utah State 0-1 .22   .34 35 .21 30   4.7   - - 4 16 27 28 14 8 3 - - - -
37 Cincinnati 2-1 .21   .16 53 .32 27   4.4   - 1 7 17 31 24 14 5 1 - - - -
38 North Carolina State 1-1 .20   .44 27 -.01 54   4.7   - - 5 16 27 27 18 6 1 - - - -
39 Iowa State 0-1 .18   .27 40 .12 37   6.2   - - - 2 11 20 26 24 13 4 - - -
40 Florida State 1-2 .18   .09 60 .13 36   6.1   - - - 2 10 20 32 23 11 2 - - -
41 Virginia 2-0 .18   -.03 73 .40 22   3.4   1 6 19 29 25 15 4 1 - - - - -
42 Northwestern 1-1 .16   -.33 106 .67 11   6.0   - - 1 3 11 22 29 20 11 2 1 - -
43 USC 2-1 .16   .21 46 .14 35   5.8   - - 1 4 14 22 28 20 9 2 - - -
44 Temple 1-0 .14   -.02 72 .32 26   3.9   1 3 11 22 29 20 10 4 - - - - -
45 Mississippi 1-1 .14   .39 33 -.07 63   6.2   - - - 1 7 21 31 26 13 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
46 Indiana 1-1 .13   .26 42 -.15 71   5.3   - - 2 6 16 29 26 15 5 1 - - -
47 Stanford 1-2 .12   .30 39 .00 52   6.3   - - - 2 8 18 26 29 13 4 - - -
48 San Diego State 2-0 .10   -.34 107 .46 19   2.9   2 13 23 28 21 10 3 - - - - - -
49 Pittsburgh 1-2 .08   .10 58 .11 39   5.9   - - - 4 10 22 28 23 11 2 - - -
50 Western Michigan 1-1 .08   .46 25 -.40 99   4.0   - 2 9 24 29 23 10 3 - - - - -
51 South Carolina 0-2 .07   .15 54 -.09 65   7.9   - - - - - 3 11 22 32 24 7 1 -
52 Kentucky 2-1 .05   .08 62 .10 41   5.4   - - 1 5 21 27 28 14 4 - - - -
53 Ohio 0-2 .04   .46 24 -.30 91   4.4   - - 5 19 30 25 15 5 1 - - - -
54 Houston 0-2 .04   .46 23 -.33 94   6.1   - - - 3 10 21 28 24 10 4 - - -
55 Wake Forest 3-0 .04   .05 67 .02 48   4.3   - 1 6 21 30 23 14 4 1 - - - -
56 Nebraska 2-1 .04   .17 49 -.02 59   6.3   - - - 1 8 22 26 24 14 4 1 - -
57 Air Force 1-0 .03   .40 31 -.34 95   4.0   1 3 10 22 28 22 10 3 1 - - - -
58 California 2-0 .03   -.15 89 .22 29   5.1   - 1 2 9 23 30 22 11 2 - - - -
59 Duke 1-1 .01   .16 52 -.12 70   5.8   - - 1 5 14 22 25 19 11 3 - - -
60 Virginia Tech 1-1 .01   -.10 80 -.02 56   5.6   - - 1 4 15 27 28 17 7 1 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
61 Arizona 1-1 .01   .24 44 -.29 90   6.2   - - - 2 9 21 27 25 12 4 - - -
62 Colorado 2-1 .00   .15 55 -.10 66   6.5   - - - 2 6 14 25 29 16 7 1 - -
63 Tennessee 0-2 .00   -.13 88 -.06 62   8.1   - - - - 1 1 9 22 29 26 11 1 -
64 Maryland 1-1 .00   .03 68 .00 51   6.5   - - - 1 6 16 28 28 15 5 1 - -
65 Fresno State 0-2 .00   .06 64 .16 32   5.0   - - 1 9 24 31 22 9 3 1 - - -
66 Southern Mississippi 1-1 -.01   -.15 90 -.08 64   4.7   - - 3 14 30 27 17 8 1 - - - -
67 Louisiana Tech 1-1 -.01   -.09 79 .00 50   3.7   - 3 13 29 31 17 6 1 - - - - -
68 Texas Tech 1-1 -.03   .41 29 -.48 102   7.0   - - - 1 3 11 20 28 23 11 3 - -
69 BYU 2-1 -.03   -.07 76 .00 53   5.1   - - 2 7 21 30 26 11 3 - - - -
70 UCLA 0-3 -.04   .16 51 -.26 84   8.2   - - - - - 2 8 21 26 24 14 4 1
71 Georgia Southern 0-2 -.04   .05 65 -.27 86   5.3   - - 1 5 20 29 27 13 4 1 - - -
72 North Carolina 2-1 -.06   .03 69 -.23 79   6.3   - - - 1 7 19 30 25 15 3 - - -
73 Georgia Tech 1-1 -.06   .32 36 -.34 96   6.4   - - - 1 5 18 26 26 17 6 1 - -
74 Syracuse 1-2 -.06   -.18 96 .01 49   6.4   - - - 1 7 16 27 26 16 6 1 - -
75 SMU 3-0 -.07   .16 50 -.28 88   4.8   - 1 4 12 25 28 19 9 2 - - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
76 Troy 0-1 -.07   -.11 82 -.02 57   5.2   - 1 2 9 19 26 25 13 4 1 - - -
77 Purdue 1-2 -.08   .13 56 -.24 80   7.6   - - - - 1 4 16 26 28 17 7 1 -
78 Tulsa 1-2 -.09   -.05 75 -.11 67   6.8   - - - 1 6 12 24 25 20 10 2 - -
79 South Florida 0-2 -.10   -.23 101 -.02 58   6.7   - - - 1 5 13 27 28 17 7 2 - -
80 Boston College 1-1 -.11   -.19 99 .08 43   6.5   - - - 1 6 16 26 28 16 6 1 - -
81 Western Kentucky 1-1 -.11   -.13 85 -.22 77   5.3   - - 2 8 19 27 23 14 6 1 - - -
82 Arkansas State 1-2 -.12   -.13 87 .03 47   4.8   - - 3 17 25 30 17 7 1 - - - -
83 Marshall 1-1 -.12   -.27 104 .04 46   4.8   - 1 5 12 23 30 18 8 3 - - - -
84 Florida International 0-2 -.13   .11 57 -.51 105   5.8   - - 1 4 15 25 28 18 8 1 - - -
85 Arkansas 1-1 -.14   -.13 86 -.18 73   7.2   - - - - 1 5 19 30 31 13 1 - -
86 Tulane 1-1 -.15   -.24 102 -.04 61   6.3   - - - 2 8 19 25 26 16 4 - - -
87 Vanderbilt 0-2 -.15   -.04 74 -.25 82   7.6   - - - - 1 4 14 27 30 19 4 1 -
88 Toledo 0-1 -.19   .26 41 -.56 107   4.9   - - 5 13 24 25 20 10 2 1 - - -
89 UAB 1-0 -.20   -.07 77 -.12 68   3.7   1 5 13 25 29 18 8 1 - - - - -
90 Florida Atlantic 1-2 -.20   -.15 91 -.21 76   5.5   - - 1 8 17 25 24 17 6 2 - - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
91 Navy 1-0 -.21   .52 17 -.77 116   5.8   - - 1 4 13 22 27 21 9 2 1 - -
92 Louisville 1-1 -.21   -.12 84 -.38 98   7.4   - - - - 1 5 18 29 27 16 4 - -
93 Northern Illinois 0-2 -.23   -.50 115 -.01 55   6.4   - - - 2 7 18 26 25 15 6 1 - -
94 North Texas 0-2 -.23   -.19 98 -.31 92   5.9   - - - 3 11 23 28 21 11 3 - - -
95 Illinois 2-1 -.25   -.18 95 -.42 100   7.5   - - - - 1 6 12 28 30 19 4 - -
96 Nevada 1-1 -.27   -.35 108 -.25 83   5.3   - - 2 6 21 29 26 13 3 - - - -
97 Middle Tennessee 0-2 -.28   -.12 83 -.33 93   6.6   - - - 1 4 15 25 26 21 7 1 - -
98 Miami (OH) 0-2 -.29   -.16 92 -.36 97   6.6   - - - - 4 14 30 28 16 7 1 - -
99 Wyoming 2-0 -.29   -.47 113 -.04 60   5.1   - - 2 11 23 27 23 12 2 - - - -
100 Louisiana Monroe 0-1 -.29   .09 61 -.68 112   6.5   - - - 1 6 16 28 26 16 6 1 - -
101 Louisiana Lafayette 1-1 -.31   .30 38 -.88 120   6.0   - - - 3 9 22 29 23 10 3 1 - -
102 Eastern Michigan 2-1 -.35   -.38 110 -.18 74   4.8   - - 4 11 25 29 20 9 2 - - - -
103 Charlotte 1-1 -.37   -.30 105 -.51 104   6.3   - - - 2 11 18 26 25 13 5 - - -
104 Buffalo 0-2 -.37   .07 63 -.65 110   6.4   - - - 1 6 19 26 25 16 6 1 - -
105 Hawaii 2-1 -.41   .00 71 -.86 119   6.6   - - - 1 5 14 27 28 17 7 1 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
106 Liberty 1-2 -.44   -.49 114 -.43 101   5.5   - - - 4 17 31 30 15 3 - - - -
107 Kansas 1-1 -.47   -.40 112 -.50 103   8.6   - - - - - 1 3 11 26 38 21 - -
108 Central Michigan 1-1 -.49   -.83 127 -.17 72   6.3   - - - 2 8 18 28 25 14 4 1 - -
109 Texas State 0-3 -.51   -.83 126 -.23 78   7.8   - - - - 1 3 12 24 30 22 7 1 -
110 Rutgers 1-1 -.52   -.74 125 -.27 87   8.9   - - - - - - 2 9 24 31 26 8 -
111 UNLV 0-2 -.54   -.21 100 -.79 118   7.9   - - - - 1 3 11 23 32 21 7 2 -
112 Coastal Carolina 1-1 -.56   -.17 93 -.94 122   6.7   - - - 1 3 14 27 27 20 7 1 - -
113 Colorado State 0-2 -.56   .02 70 -1.00 126   8.2   - - - - - 2 7 18 30 28 12 3 -
114 Ball State 0-2 -.56   -.39 111 -.70 113   8.1   - - - - - 3 8 22 28 25 11 3 -
115 Oregon State 0-2 -.58   .05 66 -1.34 129   9.8   - - - - - - 1 2 8 22 40 27 -
116 Kent State 0-2 -.59   -.73 124 -.52 106   7.9   - - - - - 3 10 22 30 24 9 2 -
117 Old Dominion 0-1 -.59   -.25 103 -.91 121   7.5   - - - - 2 6 16 23 30 15 7 1 -
118 East Carolina 0-2 -.59   -.53 117 -.65 109   7.7   - - - - - 3 14 27 29 21 6 - -
119 Akron 0-3 -.65   -.99 128 -.29 89   8.6   - - - - - 1 6 15 25 28 18 6 1
120 Georgia State 1-1 -.65   -.18 97 -1.09 127   7.4   - - - - 1 7 14 29 30 17 2 - -
 
Rk Team Rec FEI   OFEI Rk DFEI Rk   PL   0L 1L 2L 3L 4L 5L 6L 7L 8L 9L 10L 11L 12L
121 New Mexico 0-1 -.70   -.53 118 -.78 117   7.8   - - - - 1 4 15 20 29 21 8 2 -
122 San Jose State 0-1 -.72   -.66 121 -.73 114   8.7   - - - - - 1 3 13 22 33 20 8 -
123 South Alabama 0-2 -.79   -.68 122 -.75 115   8.9   - - - - - - 3 9 22 30 28 8 -
124 Rice 0-3 -.79   -.70 123 -.96 124   9.8   - - - - - - 1 3 13 22 30 24 7
125 Bowling Green 0-2 -.79   -.50 116 -.98 125   8.7   - - - - - 1 4 11 26 31 21 6 -
126 New Mexico State 0-3 -.81   -.61 120 -.94 123   8.7   - - - - - - 3 13 26 30 23 5 -
127 UTSA 0-2 -.89   -1.04 130 -.68 111   8.8   - - - - - 1 3 11 23 33 23 6 -
128 Massachusetts 0-2 -.89   -.35 109 -1.21 128   8.6   - - - - - 1 4 14 27 33 18 3 -
129 UTEP 0-1 -.91   -1.00 129 -.64 108   8.2   - - - - - 1 8 20 28 27 13 3 -
130 Connecticut 0-1 -.97   -.55 119 -1.37 130   9.6   - - - - - - - 2 11 28 40 19 -