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2021 Game Projections
:: 2023 :: 2022 :: 2021 :: 2020 :: 2019 :: 2018 :: 2017 :: 2016 :: 2015 :: 2014 :: 2013 :: 2012 :: 2011

 

Game projections and results on this page were published in the given season and are provided only for reference. The formula used to calculate game projections has been updated each season. Data comparisons between season results may be misleading.

 

Average game projection error (APE) is the average delta between the projected margin and actual margin of victory for all game projections; median projection error (MPE) is the median delta. The percentage of games won by projected winners (SU) is indicated along with the percentage of games won by projected winners within a given projected win likelihood range. (50-55 indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was between 50 and 55 percent, 95+ indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was greater than 95 percent, etc). The percentage of games won against closing betting lines (ATS) is indicated along with ATS success rates according to the delta between game projections and closing lines (3- indicates games in which the game projection and closing line differed by fewer than three points, 10+ indicates games in which the game projection and closing line differed by more than ten points, etc), and the ATS success rate in games in which game projections pick the closing line underdog to win outright (U). The percentage of game winners on on over/under totals (O/U) is also indicated.

 

2021 Game Projection Results (through Bowls)

 

APE MPE   SU 50-55 55-65 65-75 75-85 85-95 95+   ATS 3- 3+ 7- 7+ 10- 10+ U   O/U
13.2 11.1   .693 .504 .541 .741 .838 .943 .946   .483 .515 .455 .494 .417 .488 .400 .384   .513

 

Game Projections include the projected win likelihood (PWL), projected margin of victory (PM), projected points for (PPF) and against (PPA), and projected total points scored (PT) for each FBS game. The projected winner's per possession advantage overall (TA), on offense (OA), and on defense (DA) are a function of current FEI ratings. Projections include an adjustment for home field advantage. Remaining columns detail the results of each game projection including the actual final score of the game (Final), the game projection error (PE) calculated as the absolute value of the delta between projected margin and actual margin of victory, and whether the game projection correctly identified the game winner (SU), the winner against the closing betting line (ATS), and the winner against the closing over/under game total (O/U).

 

CFP Championship Projection

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Georgia Alabama .675 8.1 33.3 25.2 58.5   .42 .67 .12

 

Bowl Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Louisville .609 4.9 33.9 29.0 62.8   .25 1.03 -.46   W 31-28 1.9   Win Win Win
Alabama Cincinnati .702 9.5 34.3 24.8 59.0   .49 .86 .20   W 27-6 11.5   Win Loss Loss
Appalachian State Western Kentucky .558 2.6 31.7 29.1 60.8   .13 .72 -.34   L 38-59 23.6   Loss Loss Loss
Army Missouri .680 8.4 36.0 27.6 63.7   .43 1.47 -.20   W 24-22 6.4   Win Loss Loss
Auburn Houston .639 6.3 31.0 24.6 55.6   .32 .34 .42   L 13-17 10.3   Loss Loss Loss
BYU UAB .626 5.7 35.1 29.3 64.4   .29 1.32 -.51   L 28-31 8.7   Loss Loss Win
Coastal Carolina Northern Illinois .755 12.4 39.4 27.1 66.5   .63 1.78 -.51   W 47-41 6.4   Win Loss Win
Florida UCF .679 8.3 31.0 22.6 53.6   .43 .06 .58   L 17-29 20.3   Loss Loss Win
Fresno State UTEP .756 12.4 33.1 20.6 53.7   .64 .23 .74   W 31-24 5.4   Win Win Loss
Georgia Michigan .726 10.8 34.1 23.3 57.3   .55 .82 .53   W 34-11 12.2   Win Win Loss
Georgia State Ball State .552 2.3 28.2 25.9 54.2   .12 .09 .49   W 51-20 28.7   Win Loss Win
Iowa State Clemson .583 3.7 27.8 24.2 52.0   .19 -.20 .67   L 13-20 10.7   Loss Loss Loss
Kansas State LSU .521 .9 28.9 27.9 56.8   .05 .23 .06   W 42-20 21.1   Win Loss Win
Kentucky Iowa .601 4.5 28.6 24.0 52.6   .23 -.07 .67   W 20-17 1.5   Win Push Loss
Liberty Eastern Michigan .653 7.0 34.2 27.2 61.3   .36 1.07 -.10   W 56-20 29.0   Win Loss Win
Louisiana Marshall .541 1.8 29.8 28.0 57.8   .09 .18 -.21   W 36-21 13.2   Win Loss Win
Miami (OH) North Texas .564 2.8 29.1 26.3 55.4   .14 .05 .19   W 27-14 10.2   Win Win Win
Minnesota West Virginia .689 8.8 31.8 23.0 54.8   .45 .25 .52   W 18-6 3.2   Win Win Loss
Mississippi State Texas Tech .692 9.0 36.4 27.3 63.7   .46 1.60 -.08   L 7-34 36.0   Loss Win Loss
Nevada Western Michigan .709 9.9 35.3 25.4 60.7   .51 .79 -.24   L 24-52 37.9   Loss Loss Win
North Carolina South Carolina .623 5.6 31.1 25.5 56.5   .29 .47 .35   L 21-38 22.6   Loss Win Loss
Notre Dame Oklahoma State .535 1.5 26.2 24.7 50.9   .08 -.58 .54   L 35-37 3.5   Loss Loss Win
Ohio State Utah .690 8.9 37.8 28.9 66.7   .46 1.53 -.79   W 48-45 5.9   Win Loss Win
Oklahoma Oregon .530 1.3 32.5 31.2 63.6   .07 .63 -1.03   W 47-32 13.7   Win Loss Loss
Ole Miss Baylor .557 2.5 31.1 28.6 59.8   .13 .53 -.29   L 7-21 16.5   Loss Loss Win
Oregon State Utah State .563 2.8 33.2 30.5 63.7   .14 .93 -.74   L 13-24 13.8   Loss Win Win
Penn State Arkansas .507 .3 26.9 26.6 53.5   .01 -.37 .18   L 10-24 14.3   Loss Loss Loss
Pittsburgh Michigan State .570 3.1 30.4 27.3 57.6   .16 .35 -.01   L 21-31 13.1   Loss Loss Loss
Tennessee Purdue .531 1.4 32.3 31.0 63.3   .07 .75 -.84   L 45-48 4.4   Loss Win Loss
Toledo Middle Tennessee .653 7.0 28.4 21.3 49.7   .36 -.17 1.21   L 24-31 14.0   Loss Win Loss
Tulsa Old Dominion .640 6.4 28.6 22.2 50.9   .33 -.10 1.02   W 30-17 6.6   Win Loss Win
UTSA San Diego State .548 2.1 27.7 25.6 53.2   .11 -.02 .58   L 24-38 16.1   Loss Loss Win
Virginia Tech Maryland .643 6.6 33.6 27.1 60.7   .33 .62 -.39   L 10-54 50.6   Loss Loss Win
Wake Forest Rutgers .814 15.8 36.6 20.8 57.4   .81 1.04 .73   W 38-10 12.2   Win Loss Win
Washington State Central Michigan .705 9.7 32.9 23.2 56.2   .50 .68 .65   L 21-24 12.7   Loss Loss Loss
Wisconsin Arizona State .663 7.5 29.6 22.1 51.7   .39 -.09 .85   W 20-13 .5   Win Loss Loss
Wyoming Kent State .680 8.4 35.3 26.9 62.3   .43 1.03 -.34   W 52-38 5.6   Win Win Win

 

Week 15 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Army Navy .807 15.4 37.9 22.5 60.4   .66 1.15 .18   L 13-17 19.4   Loss Loss Loss

 

Week 14 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Appalachian State Louisiana .544 1.9 29.7 27.7 57.4   .22 .46 .16   L 16-24 9.9   Loss Win Loss
California USC .578 3.5 31.2 27.8 59.0   .05 .45 -.21   W 24-14 6.5   Win Loss Loss
Cincinnati Houston .750 12.1 32.7 20.6 53.3   .49 .23 .82   W 35-20 2.9   Win Win Win
Georgia Alabama .739 11.5 34.4 22.9 57.4   .59 .67 .38   L 24-41 28.5   Loss Loss Win
Michigan Iowa .721 10.5 31.2 20.7 51.9   .54 .15 1.04   W 42-3 28.5   Win Loss Win
Northern Illinois Kent State .539 1.7 34.8 33.1 67.9   .09 1.31 -1.29   W 41-23 16.3   Win Win Win
Oklahoma State Baylor .600 4.5 28.6 24.1 52.7   .23 -.03 .68   L 16-21 9.5   Loss Win Loss
San Diego State Utah State .638 6.3 29.3 23.0 52.2   .20 -.34 .49   L 13-46 39.3   Loss Win Win
Utah Oregon .579 3.5 33.8 30.2 64.0   .18 .97 -.77   W 38-10 24.5   Win Win Loss
UTSA Western Kentucky .516 .7 32.1 31.4 63.5   -.09 .84 -.81   W 49-41 7.3   Win Win Loss
Wake Forest Pittsburgh .560 2.7 32.2 29.5 61.7   .14 .75 -.48   L 21-45 26.7   Loss Loss Win

 

Week 13 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force UNLV .862 18.9 39.5 20.6 60.1   .84 1.38 .48   W 48-14 15.1   Win Win Win
Alabama Auburn .747 11.9 38.8 26.9 65.7   .73 1.85 -.26   W 24-22 9.9   Win Win Loss
Appalachian State Georgia Southern .921 23.1 39.5 16.4 55.8   1.05 1.13 1.17   W 27-3 .9   Win Win Loss
Arizona State Arizona .832 16.9 36.3 19.4 55.6   .74 .78 .86   W 38-15 6.1   Win Loss Push
Arkansas Missouri .806 15.4 38.8 23.4 62.3   .66 1.56 .20   W 34-17 1.6   Win Win Win
Arkansas State Texas State .544 1.9 30.8 28.9 59.7   -.03 .29 -.51   L 22-24 3.9   Loss Win Win
Army Liberty .505 .2 30.6 30.4 61.0   .14 .72 -.37   W 31-16 14.8   Win Win Loss
Ball State Buffalo .665 7.6 34.3 26.7 61.0   .27 .88 -.21   W 20-3 9.4   Win Win Loss
Baylor Texas Tech .808 15.5 39.1 23.6 62.7   .67 1.43 -.02   W 27-24 12.5   Win Loss Loss
Boise State San Diego State .626 5.7 27.1 21.4 48.4   .42 -.42 1.23   L 16-27 16.7   Loss Loss Loss
Bowling Green Ohio .513 .6 27.9 27.3 55.2   -.10 -.28 -.11   W 21-10 10.4   Win Win Loss
BYU USC .630 5.9 36.5 30.6 67.0   .43 1.80 -.61   W 35-31 1.9   Win Win Win
Cincinnati East Carolina .707 9.8 33.5 23.7 57.2   .63 .80 .53   W 35-13 12.2   Win Loss Loss
Clemson South Carolina .618 5.3 25.8 20.5 46.4   .40 -.53 1.57   W 30-0 24.7   Win Loss Loss
Coastal Carolina South Alabama .747 11.9 37.1 25.1 62.2   .74 1.31 -.04   W 27-21 5.9   Win Win Loss
Eastern Michigan Central Michigan .510 .4 32.7 32.2 64.9   .15 1.03 -.91   L 10-31 21.4   Loss Loss Loss
Florida Florida State .598 4.4 30.3 25.9 56.1   .10 .09 .06   W 24-21 1.4   Win Loss Win
Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee .557 2.5 27.2 24.7 51.8   .00 -.34 .57   L 17-27 12.5   Loss Win Loss
Fresno State San Jose State .729 11.0 29.9 19.0 48.9   .69 -.17 1.37   W 40-9 20.0   Win Win Win
Georgia Georgia Tech .990 36.3 46.5 10.2 56.8   1.98 2.29 2.12   W 45-0 8.7   Win Win Loss
Georgia State Troy .652 7.0 30.3 23.3 53.5   .23 .02 .56   W 37-10 20.0   Win Win Loss
Houston Connecticut .971 27.2 41.2 14.0 55.2   1.52 1.66 1.83   W 45-17 .8   Win Win Win
Illinois Northwestern .736 11.3 32.3 20.9 53.2   .45 .05 .65   W 47-14 21.7   Win Win Win
Iowa State TCU .841 17.6 40.8 23.2 64.0   .77 1.71 -.04   W 48-14 16.4   Win Win Win
Kansas State Texas .538 1.7 31.0 29.3 60.3   .21 .91 -.03   L 17-22 6.7   Loss Loss Loss
Louisiana UL Monroe .895 21.2 40.0 18.9 58.9   .96 1.19 .55   W 21-16 16.2   Win Win Loss
Louisiana Tech Rice .649 6.8 32.2 25.4 57.6   .47 .66 .31   L 31-35 10.8   Loss Loss Win
Louisville Kentucky .531 1.3 31.4 30.1 61.4   -.06 .52 -.67   L 21-52 32.3   Loss Win Win
Marshall Western Kentucky .581 3.6 33.0 29.5 62.5   .06 .78 -.64   L 21-53 35.6   Loss Loss Win
Memphis Tulane .597 4.3 32.3 27.9 60.2   .10 .75 -.17   W 33-28 .7   Win Win Win
Miami Duke .823 16.4 36.5 20.1 56.7   .96 1.10 .95   W 47-10 20.6   Win Loss Win
Miami (OH) Kent State .645 6.6 34.0 27.4 61.4   .46 1.07 -.10   L 47-48 7.6   Loss Loss Loss
Navy Temple .789 14.3 36.3 21.9 58.2   .86 1.11 .64   W 38-14 9.7   Win Win Win
NC State North Carolina .705 9.7 34.1 24.4 58.5   .37 .64 .09   W 34-30 5.7   Win Loss Loss
Nebraska Iowa .571 3.2 25.9 22.7 48.6   .04 -.55 1.07   L 21-28 10.2   Loss Loss Win
Nevada Colorado State .572 3.2 30.1 26.9 57.0   .29 .37 .15   W 52-10 38.8   Win Win Loss
New Mexico State Massachusetts .665 7.6 33.9 26.2 60.1   .27 .73 -.16   W 44-27 9.4   Win Win Win
Northern Illinois Western Michigan .514 .6 32.0 31.4 63.5   -.09 .48 -1.15   L 21-42 21.6   Loss Loss Win
Notre Dame Stanford .854 18.4 37.3 18.9 56.2   1.06 1.11 1.06   W 45-14 12.6   Win Loss Win
Ohio State Michigan .602 4.6 35.5 30.9 66.3   .36 1.53 -.73   L 27-42 19.6   Loss Win Win
Oklahoma State Oklahoma .692 9.0 32.7 23.7 56.4   .34 .59 .50   W 37-33 5.0   Win Push Win
Old Dominion Charlotte .710 10.0 35.4 25.4 60.8   .38 .82 -.23   W 56-34 12.0   Win Win Win
Ole Miss Mississippi State .567 3.0 32.3 29.4 61.7   .28 .63 -.61   W 31-21 7.0   Win Win Win
Oregon Oregon State .625 5.7 35.2 29.5 64.7   .17 1.28 -.61   W 38-29 3.3   Win Loss Win
Penn State Michigan State .544 1.9 27.8 25.9 53.8   .22 .02 .51   L 27-30 4.9   Loss Win Win
Pittsburgh Syracuse .635 6.2 31.8 25.7 57.5   .44 .56 .23   W 31-14 10.8   Win Loss Win
Purdue Indiana .871 19.5 36.7 17.2 53.9   .87 .64 1.09   W 44-7 17.5   Win Win Win
Rutgers Maryland .627 5.7 31.2 25.4 56.6   .17 .06 -.07   L 16-40 29.7   Loss Loss Win
SMU Tulsa .657 7.2 32.5 25.3 57.8   .25 .38 -.01   L 31-34 10.2   Loss Loss Loss
Southern Mississippi Florida International .713 10.1 30.3 20.2 50.4   .39 -.17 1.04   W 37-17 9.9   Win Loss Win
Tennessee Vanderbilt .964 26.5 44.4 17.9 62.3   1.23 1.83 .44   W 45-21 2.5   Win Win Loss
Texas A&M LSU .615 5.2 27.9 22.7 50.6   .39 -.27 .92   L 24-27 8.2   Loss Win Win
Toledo Akron .990 28.9 42.0 13.1 55.1   1.35 1.45 1.66   W 49-14 6.1   Win Win Loss
UAB UTEP .736 11.3 34.1 22.8 57.0   .45 .51 .30   W 42-25 5.7   Win Loss Win
UCF South Florida .778 13.7 36.9 23.2 60.0   .58 1.33 .44   W 17-13 9.7   Win Win Win
UCLA California .680 8.4 33.8 25.4 59.2   .30 .60 -.11   W 42-14 19.6   Win Win Win
Utah Colorado .887 20.6 39.3 18.7 58.0   .93 1.24 .81   W 28-13 5.6   Win Win Loss
Utah State New Mexico .771 13.3 33.5 20.1 53.6   .81 .57 1.10   W 35-10 11.7   Win Loss Loss
UTSA North Texas .786 14.2 35.8 21.6 57.4   .85 1.10 .80   L 23-45 36.2   Loss Loss Loss
Virginia Virginia Tech .583 3.7 33.9 30.2 64.1   .06 1.10 -.66   L 24-29 8.7   Loss Win Loss
Wake Forest Boston College .717 10.3 36.1 25.8 61.9   .65 1.34 .04   W 41-10 20.7   Win Win Win
Washington Washington State .530 1.3 26.0 24.7 50.8   -.06 -.73 .41   L 13-40 28.3   Loss Loss Win
West Virginia Kansas .832 17.0 39.5 22.5 62.0   .99 1.73 .41   W 34-28 11.0   Win Loss Win
Wisconsin Minnesota .622 5.5 28.8 23.3 52.2   .41 .02 .85   L 13-23 15.5   Loss Win Loss
Wyoming Hawaii .692 9.0 31.5 22.5 54.0   .34 .15 .60   L 14-38 33.0   Loss Win Win

 

Week 12 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Nevada .584 3.8 32.4 28.6 61.0   .32 1.03 -.06   W 41-39 1.8   Win Win Win
Alabama Arkansas .844 17.7 39.5 21.8 61.3   .78 1.42 .25   W 42-35 10.7   Win Win Win
Appalachian State Troy .777 13.7 33.8 20.2 54.0   .82 .63 1.07   W 45-7 24.3   Win Win Win
Arizona State Oregon State .525 1.1 31.8 30.7 62.5   .18 1.04 -.37   L 10-24 15.1   Loss Win Loss
Army Massachusetts .990 36.3 49.4 13.1 62.5   1.73 2.73 1.32   W 33-17 20.3   Win Win Loss
Auburn South Carolina .707 9.8 32.0 22.2 54.2   .62 .63 1.03   L 17-21 13.8   Loss Loss Loss
Ball State Central Michigan .616 5.3 31.6 26.4 58.0   .14 .41 -.02   L 17-37 25.3   Loss Loss Loss
Boise State New Mexico .984 28.4 39.8 11.4 51.2   1.32 .79 1.83   W 37-0 8.6   Win Win Loss
BYU Georgia Southern .836 17.2 39.0 21.8 60.8   1.00 1.71 .67   W 34-17 .2   Win Win Loss
Cincinnati SMU .711 10.0 34.6 24.6 59.2   .39 .76 .06   W 48-14 24.0   Win Loss Win
Coastal Carolina Texas State .921 23.1 42.2 19.1 61.2   1.05 1.55 .40   W 35-21 9.1   Win Win Loss
Colorado State Hawaii .645 6.6 29.0 22.4 51.4   .46 .02 1.04   L 45-50 11.6   Loss Loss Loss
East Carolina Navy .623 5.6 30.3 24.7 55.0   .41 .21 .44   W 38-35 2.6   Win Loss Win
Eastern Michigan Western Michigan .611 5.0 35.5 30.5 66.1   .13 .90 -1.29   W 22-21 4.0   Win Win Loss
Florida Missouri .765 12.9 37.7 24.7 62.4   .79 1.72 .34   L 23-24 13.9   Loss Loss Win
Florida State Boston College .611 5.0 30.3 25.3 55.6   .38 .45 .53   W 26-23 2.0   Win Win Loss
Georgia State Arkansas State .760 12.7 36.5 23.8 60.4   .52 1.18 .23   W 28-20 4.7   Win Win Win
Houston Memphis .715 10.2 34.3 24.1 58.3   .40 .51 .00   W 31-13 7.8   Win Win Win
Iowa Illinois .711 10.0 28.7 18.7 47.5   .39 -.45 1.41   W 33-23 .0   Win Win Win
Iowa State Oklahoma .518 .8 31.6 30.8 62.5   .17 .99 -.42   L 21-28 7.8   Loss Loss Loss
Kansas State Baylor .532 1.4 29.8 28.4 58.1   -.05 .27 -.19   L 10-20 11.4   Loss Win Loss
Kent State Akron .649 6.9 36.4 29.5 65.9   .48 1.61 -.55   W 38-0 31.1   Win Loss Win
Kentucky New Mexico State .990 31.7 46.6 14.9 61.5   1.50 2.22 1.02   W 56-16 8.3   Win Loss Win
Liberty Louisiana .560 2.6 32.0 29.4 61.4   .01 .67 -.50   L 14-42 30.6   Loss Win Win
Louisiana Tech Southern Mississippi .828 16.7 33.8 17.0 50.8   .73 .32 1.46   L 19-35 32.7   Loss Loss Win
Louisville Duke .842 17.6 36.4 18.8 55.3   1.03 .99 1.14   W 62-22 22.4   Win Loss Loss
LSU UL Monroe .924 23.3 39.5 16.1 55.6   1.07 1.03 1.12   W 27-14 10.3   Win Win Win
Marshall Charlotte .813 15.8 39.5 23.8 63.3   .93 1.71 .12   W 49-28 5.2   Win Win Win
Miami Virginia Tech .559 2.6 29.0 26.5 55.5   .01 .09 .20   W 38-26 9.4   Win Loss Win
Miami (OH) Bowling Green .790 14.4 32.7 18.3 51.1   .61 .20 1.28   W 34-7 12.6   Win Loss Win
Michigan Maryland .905 21.9 42.2 20.3 62.5   1.25 1.89 .46   W 59-18 19.1   Win Win Win
Middle Tennessee Old Dominion .601 4.5 26.5 21.9 48.4   .11 -.72 .94   L 17-24 11.5   Loss Loss Win
Minnesota Indiana .731 11.1 32.0 21.0 53.0   .69 .30 .95   W 35-14 9.9   Win Win Win
NC State Syracuse .733 11.2 32.7 21.5 54.2   .45 .24 .63   W 41-17 12.8   Win Loss Win
North Texas Florida International .681 8.4 32.1 23.6 55.7   .56 .50 .57   W 49-7 33.6   Win Loss Win
Northern Illinois Buffalo .516 .7 32.9 32.3 65.2   .16 1.19 -.81   W 33-27 5.3   Win Loss Win
Notre Dame Georgia Tech .880 20.1 39.0 18.9 58.0   .90 1.25 .82   W 55-0 34.9   Win Win Loss
Ohio State Michigan State .811 15.6 40.5 24.9 65.4   .67 1.69 -.37   W 56-7 33.4   Win Loss Win
Oklahoma State Texas Tech .778 13.7 36.9 23.2 60.2   .82 1.40 .49   W 23-0 9.3   Win Win Loss
Ole Miss Vanderbilt .990 31.0 46.4 15.4 61.8   1.46 2.04 .76   W 31-17 17.0   Win Win Win
Penn State Rutgers .804 15.2 31.4 16.2 47.6   .65 -.16 1.67   W 28-0 12.8   Win Win Loss
Pittsburgh Virginia .660 7.4 35.8 28.4 64.2   .25 1.12 -.67   W 48-38 2.6   Win Win Loss
Purdue Northwestern .808 15.5 35.8 20.3 56.1   .79 .83 .81   W 32-14 2.5   Win Win Loss
San Diego State UNLV .696 9.2 29.6 20.4 50.0   .60 -.13 1.19   W 28-20 1.2   Win Win Win
Stanford California .506 .3 26.7 26.5 53.2   -.11 -.46 .15   L 11-41 30.3   Loss Loss Win
TCU Kansas .861 18.9 43.9 25.0 68.9   .84 2.18 -.64   W 31-28 15.9   Win Win Loss
Tennessee South Alabama .860 18.8 38.5 19.7 58.2   .84 .94 .45   W 60-14 27.2   Win Loss Loss
Texas West Virginia .567 3.0 29.4 26.4 55.8   .28 .10 .13   L 23-31 11.0   Loss Loss Win
Toledo Ohio .714 10.2 32.2 22.0 54.2   .64 .47 .86   W 35-23 1.8   Win Win Loss
Tulane South Florida .557 2.5 32.3 29.8 62.1   .00 .79 -.54   W 45-14 28.5   Win Loss Loss
Tulsa Temple .886 20.6 37.2 16.7 53.9   .93 .63 1.08   W 44-10 13.4   Win Loss Win
UCF Connecticut .990 28.4 42.0 13.6 55.6   1.33 1.65 1.74   W 49-17 3.6   Win Loss Win
UCLA USC .599 4.5 34.9 30.5 65.4   .35 1.44 -.61   W 62-33 24.5   Win Loss Loss
Utah Oregon .545 2.0 32.2 30.3 62.5   -.02 .68 -.74   W 38-7 29.0   Win Loss Loss
Utah State Wyoming .678 8.3 32.5 24.2 56.7   .30 .46 .30   L 17-44 35.3   Loss Loss Win
UTEP Rice .748 12.0 32.6 20.6 53.2   .49 .14 .75   W 38-28 2.0   Win Win Win
UTSA UAB .672 8.0 33.5 25.6 59.1   .28 .72 .04   W 34-31 5.0   Win Loss Win
Wake Forest Clemson .603 4.6 30.3 25.6 55.9   .36 .35 .37   L 27-48 25.6   Loss Loss Loss
Washington Colorado .659 7.3 29.0 21.6 50.6   .50 -.04 1.15   L 17-20 10.3   Loss Loss Loss
Washington State Arizona .758 12.6 32.7 20.2 52.9   .52 .29 .97   W 44-18 13.4   Win Loss Loss
Western Kentucky Florida Atlantic .703 9.6 35.3 25.7 60.9   .37 .89 -.19   W 52-17 25.4   Win Loss Loss
Wisconsin Nebraska .700 9.4 28.8 19.4 48.2   .36 -.57 1.14   W 35-28 2.4   Win Win Win

 

Week 11 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Colorado State .645 6.6 31.3 24.6 55.9   .46 .55 .57   W 35-21 7.4   Win Win Win
Alabama New Mexico State .990 45.5 54.4 8.9 63.2   2.20 3.26 1.68   W 59-3 10.5   Win Loss Win
Appalachian State South Alabama .841 17.5 36.5 18.9 55.4   .77 .72 .85   W 31-7 6.5   Win Loss Loss
Arizona State Washington .524 1.0 26.6 25.6 52.2   .18 -.15 .69   W 35-30 4.0   Win Win Win
Auburn Mississippi State .654 7.1 31.4 24.3 55.7   .24 -.06 .01   L 34-43 16.1   Loss Loss Win
Ball State Northern Illinois .527 1.2 31.7 30.5 62.2   .18 .94 -.41   L 29-30 2.2   Loss Win Loss
Baylor Oklahoma .521 .9 32.0 31.1 63.1   -.08 .77 -.77   W 27-14 12.1   Win Win Loss
Boise State Wyoming .833 17.0 35.2 18.2 53.4   .75 .47 1.05   W 23-13 7.0   Win Loss Loss
Central Michigan Kent State .609 4.9 33.7 28.8 62.5   .12 .76 -.66   W 54-30 19.1   Win Win Loss
Cincinnati South Florida .871 19.5 38.8 19.3 58.1   1.12 1.63 1.17   W 45-28 2.5   Win Win Loss
Clemson Connecticut .990 37.3 45.1 7.8 52.9   1.78 1.67 2.34   W 44-7 .3   Win Win Push
Coastal Carolina Georgia State .808 15.5 38.0 22.5 60.4   .67 .97 .01   L 40-42 17.5   Loss Loss Win
East Carolina Memphis .545 1.9 30.1 28.2 58.3   .22 .34 -.17   W 30-29 .9   Win Win Win
Eastern Michigan Ohio .778 13.7 38.8 25.1 63.9   .58 1.32 -.40   L 26-34 21.7   Loss Loss Loss
Florida Atlantic Old Dominion .612 5.1 28.2 23.1 51.3   .38 -.03 .99   L 16-30 19.1   Loss Win Loss
Florida State Miami .591 4.1 30.1 26.0 56.1   .08 .10 .07   W 31-28 1.1   Win Win Win
Fresno State New Mexico .866 19.2 34.3 15.1 49.5   .86 .19 1.62   W 34-7 7.8   Win Loss Win
Georgia Tennessee .881 20.2 38.6 18.4 56.9   1.16 1.42 1.21   W 41-17 3.8   Win Win Win
Georgia Southern Texas State .508 .3 27.3 26.9 54.2   .14 -.18 .21   W 38-30 7.7   Win Win Win
Georgia Tech Boston College .569 3.1 28.9 25.8 54.7   .03 -.14 .14   L 30-41 14.1   Loss Loss Loss
Houston Temple .919 23.0 39.3 16.4 55.7   1.30 1.17 1.23   W 37-8 6.0   Win Loss Loss
Indiana Rutgers .565 2.9 26.7 23.8 50.5   .02 -.39 .81   L 3-38 37.9   Loss Win Loss
Iowa Minnesota .595 4.2 26.9 22.7 49.6   .09 -.63 .76   W 27-22 .8   Win Win Win
Iowa State Texas Tech .754 12.4 37.8 25.4 63.2   .76 1.56 -.02   L 38-41 15.4   Loss Win Win
Kansas State West Virginia .709 9.9 32.4 22.6 55.0   .38 .35 .56   W 34-17 7.1   Win Win Win
Kentucky Vanderbilt .884 20.4 39.2 18.8 58.0   1.17 1.36 .92   W 34-17 3.4   Win Win Loss
Louisiana Troy .722 10.6 33.7 23.1 56.9   .67 .63 .44   W 35-21 3.4   Win Win Win
Louisiana Tech Charlotte .698 9.3 35.5 26.2 61.8   .35 1.14 -.12   W 42-32 .7   Win Win Win
Louisville Syracuse .565 2.9 29.8 26.9 56.6   .02 .09 -.05   W 41-3 35.1   Win Loss Loss
LSU Arkansas .513 .6 30.4 29.8 60.2   -.10 .33 -.60   L 13-16 3.6   Loss Push Loss
Marshall UAB .674 8.1 32.9 24.8 57.7   .29 .50 .13   L 14-21 15.1   Loss Loss Loss
Miami (OH) Buffalo .620 5.4 32.8 27.3 60.1   .15 .68 -.21   W 45-18 21.6   Win Loss Win
Michigan Penn State .617 5.3 30.1 24.8 54.8   .40 .23 .48   W 21-17 1.3   Win Win Loss
Michigan State Maryland .835 17.2 38.7 21.5 60.1   .75 1.11 .21   W 40-21 1.8   Win Win Win
Middle Tennessee Florida International .772 13.4 33.8 20.4 54.2   .56 .23 .61   W 50-10 26.6   Win Win Win
Notre Dame Virginia .619 5.4 34.8 29.4 64.2   .40 1.27 -.52   W 28-3 19.6   Win Loss Loss
Ohio State Purdue .785 14.1 37.6 23.5 61.1   .59 1.09 -.01   W 59-31 13.9   Win Loss Loss
Oklahoma State TCU .788 14.3 35.9 21.6 57.5   .61 .88 .55   W 63-17 31.7   Win Win Win
Ole Miss Texas A&M .534 1.5 29.5 28.0 57.5   -.05 .20 -.13   W 29-19 8.5   Win Win Loss
Oregon Washington State .699 9.4 33.3 23.9 57.3   .35 .46 .18   W 38-24 4.6   Win Loss Loss
Oregon State Stanford .627 5.7 34.2 28.5 62.7   .17 .84 -.62   W 35-14 15.3   Win Loss Loss
Pittsburgh North Carolina .621 5.5 34.0 28.5 62.5   .16 .88 -.54   W 30-23 1.5   Win Loss Win
San Diego State Nevada .559 2.6 26.5 23.8 50.3   .01 -.62 .63   W 23-21 .6   Win Loss Loss
SMU UCF .536 1.6 29.7 28.1 57.7   -.04 -.04 -.42   W 55-28 25.4   Win Loss Loss
South Carolina Missouri .574 3.3 31.1 27.9 59.0   .29 .70 .05   L 28-31 6.3   Loss Loss Win
Texas Kansas .990 34.2 48.4 14.3 62.7   1.62 2.29 .84   L 56-57 35.2   Loss Loss Win
Toledo Bowling Green .716 10.2 28.0 17.8 45.8   .65 -.36 1.87   W 49-17 21.8   Win Loss Loss
Tulsa Tulane .542 1.8 29.5 27.7 57.2   .22 .44 .17   W 20-13 5.2   Win Loss Loss
UCLA Colorado .777 13.6 36.0 22.4 58.4   .57 .92 .41   W 44-20 10.4   Win Loss Win
UL Monroe Arkansas State .577 3.4 33.5 30.1 63.5   .05 1.05 -.59   L 24-27 6.4   Loss Loss Win
UNLV Hawaii .518 .8 28.7 27.9 56.6   -.09 .02 -.11   W 27-13 13.2   Win Win Loss
Utah Arizona .847 17.9 37.2 19.3 56.4   1.04 1.11 1.02   W 38-29 8.9   Win Win Win
Utah State San Jose State .631 5.9 29.8 23.8 53.6   .43 .08 .61   W 48-17 25.1   Win Win Loss
UTEP North Texas .568 3.0 27.6 24.6 52.2   .28 -.01 .83   L 17-20 6.0   Loss Loss Win
UTSA Southern Mississippi .990 31.3 41.9 10.6 52.4   1.47 1.13 1.91   W 27-17 21.3   Win Win Win
Virginia Tech Duke .819 16.2 34.8 18.6 53.3   .70 .36 .95   W 48-17 14.8   Win Win Win
Wake Forest NC State .647 6.7 33.6 26.9 60.6   .22 .69 -.31   W 45-42 3.7   Win Win Loss
Western Kentucky Rice .849 18.1 39.9 21.8 61.7   1.05 1.48 .24   W 42-21 2.9   Win Loss Win
Western Michigan Akron .919 22.9 42.2 19.3 61.5   1.05 1.91 .72   W 45-40 17.9   Win Win Loss
Wisconsin Northwestern .917 22.8 35.9 13.1 49.0   1.04 .30 1.83   W 35-7 5.2   Win Loss Win

 

Week 10 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Army .581 3.6 34.3 30.7 65.0   .18 1.16 -.80   L 14-21 10.6   Loss Loss Loss
Alabama LSU .908 22.1 44.2 22.1 66.4   1.01 2.29 .03   W 20-14 16.1   Win Win Win
Appalachian State Arkansas State .835 17.2 39.0 21.9 60.9   1.00 1.81 .74   W 48-14 16.8   Win Loss Win
Arizona State USC .664 7.6 34.6 27.0 61.7   .26 1.03 -.21   W 31-16 7.4   Win Loss Win
Arkansas Mississippi State .582 3.6 28.9 25.3 54.3   .06 -.30 .08   W 31-28 .6   Win Win Win
Ball State Akron .882 20.3 39.1 18.8 57.9   1.16 1.47 1.07   W 31-25 14.3   Win Loss Win
Baylor TCU .656 7.2 33.6 26.4 60.0   .49 1.06 .19   L 28-30 9.2   Loss Win Win
Boise State Fresno State .578 3.5 28.4 24.9 53.4   .30 -.01 .57   W 40-14 22.5   Win Win Win
California Arizona .714 10.2 32.4 22.2 54.6   .64 .46 .78   L 3-10 17.2   Loss Loss Loss
Charlotte Rice .629 5.9 34.1 28.2 62.3   .17 .68 -.70   W 31-24 1.1   Win Loss Win
Cincinnati Tulsa .890 20.8 36.5 15.7 52.2   .94 .52 1.36   W 28-20 12.8   Win Win Win
Clemson Louisville .549 2.1 26.5 24.3 50.8   .23 -.30 .83   W 30-24 3.9   Win Loss Win
Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern .811 15.7 39.4 23.7 63.1   .93 1.77 .22   W 28-8 4.3   Win Loss Loss
Colorado State Wyoming .591 4.1 27.1 23.1 50.2   .33 -.18 1.09   L 17-31 18.1   Loss Loss Win
East Carolina Temple .876 19.9 38.3 18.4 56.7   .89 .88 .73   W 45-3 22.1   Win Win Loss
Florida South Carolina .816 16.0 33.8 17.9 51.7   .94 .65 1.59   L 17-40 39.0   Loss Win Win
Florida State NC State .515 .6 28.5 27.8 56.3   -.09 .02 -.04   L 14-28 14.6   Loss Loss Loss
Georgia Missouri .990 38.0 49.0 11.1 60.1   1.82 2.53 1.64   W 43-6 1.0   Win Win Loss
Houston South Florida .751 12.2 33.8 21.6 55.4   .75 .81 .94   W 54-42 .2   Win Win Win
Iowa Northwestern .783 14.0 31.3 17.3 48.7   .84 -.02 1.58   W 17-12 9.0   Win Loss Loss
Iowa State Texas .560 2.7 32.0 29.3 61.3   .01 .64 -.52   W 30-7 20.3   Win Loss Loss
Kansas State Kansas .981 28.1 44.0 16.0 60.0   1.56 2.06 1.19   W 35-10 3.1   Win Win Loss
Kentucky Tennessee .563 2.8 29.9 27.1 57.0   .02 .14 -.08   L 42-45 5.8   Loss Loss Loss
Louisiana Georgia State .784 14.0 36.0 21.9 57.9   .59 .61 .20   W 21-17 10.0   Win Loss Loss
Marshall Florida Atlantic .548 2.1 29.4 27.3 56.7   .23 .33 .19   W 28-13 12.9   Win Win Win
Miami Georgia Tech .695 9.2 33.3 24.1 57.4   .34 .61 .30   W 33-30 6.2   Win Win Loss
Miami (OH) Ohio .686 8.7 33.0 24.3 57.2   .57 .70 .43   L 33-35 10.7   Loss Loss Win
Michigan Indiana .934 24.1 40.8 16.7 57.5   1.11 1.14 .81   W 29-7 2.1   Win Win Loss
Michigan State Purdue .508 .4 26.5 26.2 52.7   .14 -.34 .38   L 29-40 11.4   Loss Win Loss
Minnesota Illinois .748 12.0 33.4 21.4 54.8   .49 .53 .79   L 6-14 20.0   Loss Win Loss
Nevada San Jose State .795 14.7 34.2 19.5 53.7   .63 .33 .84   W 27-24 11.7   Win Loss Win
New Mexico UNLV .526 1.1 28.2 27.1 55.3   -.07 -.17 -.02   L 17-31 15.1   Loss Win Win
North Texas Southern Mississippi .557 2.5 25.8 23.3 49.2   .25 -.54 .96   W 38-14 21.5   Win Loss Win
Northern Illinois Kent State .546 2.0 33.6 31.6 65.1   .23 1.10 -.89   L 47-52 7.0   Loss Loss Loss
Notre Dame Navy .844 17.7 36.6 18.9 55.5   .91 .73 .85   W 34-6 10.3   Win Loss Loss
Ohio State Nebraska .754 12.4 37.7 25.3 62.9   .76 1.42 -.10   W 26-17 3.4   Win Win Win
Oklahoma State West Virginia .658 7.3 29.2 21.9 51.1   .50 .01 1.09   W 24-3 13.7   Win Win Loss
Old Dominion Florida International .616 5.2 28.4 23.2 51.6   .39 -.13 .84   W 47-24 17.8   Win Win Win
Ole Miss Liberty .742 11.7 37.7 26.0 63.7   .47 1.30 -.39   W 27-14 1.3   Win Win Win
Oregon Washington .563 2.8 29.5 26.7 56.1   .27 .32 .29   W 26-16 7.2   Win Loss Loss
Oregon State Colorado .660 7.4 33.8 26.4 60.1   .50 .99 .09   L 34-37 10.4   Loss Win Win
Penn State Maryland .784 14.0 34.5 20.5 55.0   .84 .76 .98   W 31-14 3.0   Win Win Win
Pittsburgh Duke .872 19.6 37.2 17.6 54.8   1.13 1.04 1.31   W 54-29 5.4   Win Loss Loss
San Diego State Hawaii .694 9.1 28.9 19.7 48.6   .59 -.19 1.42   W 17-10 2.1   Win Push Loss
SMU Memphis .579 3.5 33.6 30.1 63.6   .30 1.03 -.64   L 25-28 6.5   Loss Win Win
South Alabama Troy .511 .5 25.6 25.1 50.7   .15 -.45 .71   L 24-31 7.5   Loss Loss Win
Texas A&M Auburn .544 1.9 28.3 26.4 54.7   -.03 -.24 .04   W 20-3 15.1   Win Loss Loss
Texas State UL Monroe .526 1.1 30.1 28.9 59.0   -.07 .18 -.48   W 27-19 6.9   Win Loss Loss
Toledo Eastern Michigan .601 4.5 29.4 24.9 54.3   .11 .06 .43   L 49-52 7.5   Loss Win Loss
UAB Louisiana Tech .641 6.5 30.4 24.0 54.4   .21 -.16 .18   W 52-38 7.5   Win Push Win
UCF Tulane .798 14.9 37.4 22.5 60.0   .64 1.29 .42   W 14-10 10.9   Win Loss Loss
Utah Stanford .608 4.9 31.3 26.4 57.7   .37 .68 .31   W 52-7 40.1   Win Loss Win
Utah State New Mexico State .811 15.7 37.8 22.1 59.9   .93 1.44 .58   W 35-13 6.3   Win Loss Win
UTSA UTEP .687 8.8 30.7 21.9 52.7   .57 .17 .90   W 44-23 12.2   Win Loss Loss
Virginia Tech Boston College .639 6.3 30.0 23.6 53.6   .45 .17 .69   L 3-17 20.3   Loss Loss Loss
Wake Forest North Carolina .653 7.0 36.6 29.6 66.1   .48 1.60 -.62   L 55-58 10.0   Loss Loss Loss
Western Kentucky Middle Tennessee .723 10.6 35.7 25.1 60.8   .42 1.00 -.05   W 48-21 16.4   Win Loss Loss
Western Michigan Central Michigan .728 10.9 35.3 24.4 59.7   .43 1.16 .35   L 30-42 22.9   Loss Loss Loss
Wisconsin Rutgers .733 11.2 28.0 16.8 44.8   .70 -.29 2.16   W 52-3 37.8   Win Loss Win

 

Week 9 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Appalachian State UL Monroe .895 21.2 39.2 18.0 57.3   .96 1.11 .83   W 59-28 9.8   Win Loss Loss
Arizona State Washington State .754 12.3 35.0 22.6 57.6   .50 .74 .39   L 21-34 25.3   Loss Win Loss
Auburn Ole Miss .582 3.6 33.3 29.7 62.9   .06 .81 -.71   W 31-20 7.4   Win Win Win
Boise State Colorado State .597 4.3 27.6 23.3 50.9   .35 -.28 .82   W 28-19 4.7   Win Win Win
Buffalo Bowling Green .733 11.2 31.7 20.5 52.2   .45 .09 .92   L 44-56 23.2   Loss Win Win
BYU Virginia .572 3.2 33.8 30.6 64.4   .04 1.10 -.74   W 66-49 13.8   Win Win Loss
Cincinnati Tulane .890 20.8 39.4 18.6 58.1   1.19 1.55 1.11   W 31-12 1.8   Win Win Win
Clemson Florida State .741 11.6 31.8 20.2 52.0   .47 .01 .90   W 30-20 1.6   Win Win Win
Coastal Carolina Troy .906 22.0 39.9 17.9 57.8   1.00 1.03 .65   W 35-28 15.0   Win Loss Win
East Carolina South Florida .711 10.0 34.5 24.5 58.9   .39 .80 .17   W 29-14 5.0   Win Win Loss
Florida Atlantic UTEP .716 10.3 30.9 20.6 51.5   .40 -.11 .88   W 28-25 7.3   Win Win Win
Georgia Florida .788 14.3 34.9 20.6 55.5   .73 .73 .84   W 34-7 12.7   Win Win Loss
Georgia State Georgia Southern .511 .5 28.7 28.2 56.9   .15 .42 .21   W 21-14 6.5   Win Loss Loss
Houston SMU .608 4.9 31.2 26.3 57.5   .12 .28 -.05   W 44-37 2.1   Win Win Loss
Illinois Rutgers .504 .2 25.6 25.4 51.0   -.12 -.62 .47   L 14-20 6.2   Loss Loss Loss
Indiana Maryland .602 4.6 29.1 24.6 53.7   .36 .22 .73   L 35-38 7.6   Loss Win Win
Iowa Wisconsin .531 1.3 22.9 21.5 44.4   .19 -1.21 1.32   L 7-27 21.3   Loss Loss Loss
Iowa State West Virginia .760 12.7 33.9 21.2 55.1   .77 .72 .92   L 31-38 19.7   Loss Loss Win
Kansas State TCU .627 5.8 33.6 27.8 61.5   .17 .73 -.46   W 31-12 13.2   Win Win Loss
Kentucky Mississippi State .601 4.5 28.5 23.9 52.4   .36 -.20 .59   L 17-31 18.5   Loss Loss Win
Liberty Massachusetts .990 29.5 44.5 15.0 59.5   1.38 1.93 1.16   W 62-17 15.5   Win Loss Win
Louisiana Texas State .864 19.1 39.0 19.9 58.9   .85 1.11 .49   W 45-0 25.9   Win Loss Loss
Louisiana Tech Old Dominion .632 6.0 28.6 22.6 51.2   .43 .04 1.08   L 20-23 9.0   Loss Loss Win
Marshall Florida International .863 18.9 38.4 19.4 57.8   .84 1.09 .70   W 38-0 19.1   Win Loss Win
Michigan Michigan State .676 8.2 32.6 24.4 57.0   .54 .70 .48   L 33-37 12.2   Loss Loss Win
Middle Tennessee Southern Mississippi .722 10.6 31.0 20.4 51.5   .42 -.08 .91   W 35-10 14.4   Win Loss Loss
Minnesota Northwestern .633 6.1 30.1 24.1 54.2   .43 .20 .59   W 41-14 20.9   Win Loss Win
Missouri Vanderbilt .588 3.9 33.4 29.5 62.9   .33 .92 -.58   W 37-28 5.1   Win Win Loss
NC State Louisville .625 5.7 31.0 25.3 56.3   .16 .17 .12   W 28-13 9.3   Win Loss Win
Nebraska Purdue .573 3.2 28.8 25.6 54.4   .04 -.02 .34   L 23-28 8.2   Loss Win Win
Nevada UNLV .791 14.5 36.3 21.8 58.1   .61 .86 .39   W 51-20 16.5   Win Loss Win
North Texas Rice .514 .6 26.4 25.8 52.2   .16 -.50 .33   W 30-24 5.4   Win Win Win
Notre Dame North Carolina .696 9.2 33.9 24.7 58.6   .35 .64 .07   W 44-34 .8   Win Win Loss
Ohio State Penn State .677 8.2 34.8 26.6 61.3   .30 .92 -.25   W 33-24 .8   Win Win Loss
Oklahoma Texas Tech .772 13.4 39.5 26.1 65.7   .56 1.51 -.60   W 52-21 17.6   Win Loss Loss
Oklahoma State Kansas .990 32.8 44.4 11.6 56.0   1.55 1.63 1.62   W 55-3 19.2   Win Win Win
Oregon Colorado .784 14.1 33.5 19.4 52.8   .59 .39 1.08   W 52-29 8.9   Win Win Win
Oregon State California .559 2.6 31.2 28.6 59.8   .26 .61 -.23   L 25-39 16.6   Loss Loss Win
Pittsburgh Miami .713 10.1 32.0 21.9 53.8   .39 .20 .67   L 34-38 14.1   Loss Loss Loss
San Diego State Fresno State .559 2.6 24.6 22.0 46.6   .01 -1.03 1.02   L 20-30 12.6   Loss Loss Win
South Alabama Arkansas State .700 9.4 34.1 24.7 58.8   .36 .79 .18   W 31-13 8.6   Win Loss Win
Syracuse Boston College .617 5.3 30.6 25.3 55.9   .15 .16 .18   W 21-6 9.7   Win Loss Loss
Texas Baylor .512 .5 30.1 29.6 59.7   .15 .52 -.29   L 24-31 7.5   Loss Loss Win
Tulsa Navy .651 6.9 29.6 22.7 52.3   .23 -.13 .68   L 17-20 9.9   Loss Win Loss
UCF Temple .733 11.2 33.9 22.7 56.6   .70 .79 .66   W 49-7 30.8   Win Loss Win
USC Arizona .843 17.7 38.2 20.6 58.8   .78 .86 .26   W 41-34 10.7   Win Win Win
Utah UCLA .577 3.4 30.7 27.3 58.0   .05 .26 -.18   W 44-24 16.6   Win Loss Loss
Utah State Hawaii .654 7.1 31.6 24.5 56.1   .24 .32 .30   W 51-31 12.9   Win Win Loss
Virginia Tech Georgia Tech .582 3.6 29.1 25.5 54.6   .31 .17 .47   W 26-17 5.4   Win Win Win
Wake Forest Duke .891 20.9 38.5 17.5 56.0   .94 .90 .90   W 45-7 17.1   Win Win Win
Washington Stanford .538 1.7 28.3 26.6 54.9   .21 .20 .45   W 20-13 5.3   Win Win Loss
Western Kentucky Charlotte .728 10.9 40.7 29.8 70.6   .43 2.04 -1.14   W 45-13 21.1   Win Loss Win
Wyoming San Jose State .619 5.4 27.1 21.7 48.8   .40 -.49 1.09   L 21-27 11.4   Loss Loss Win

 

Week 8 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force San Diego State .709 9.9 31.5 21.7 53.2   .38 .19 .80   L 14-20 15.9   Loss Loss Loss
Alabama Tennessee .873 19.6 41.9 22.2 64.1   .88 2.01 .25   W 52-24 8.4   Win Loss Loss
Ball State Miami (OH) .636 6.2 31.0 24.8 55.8   .19 .24 .29   L 17-24 13.2   Loss Loss Loss
Buffalo Akron .772 13.4 36.7 23.3 59.9   .81 1.29 .43   W 45-10 21.6   Win Loss Loss
BYU Washington State .567 3.0 30.8 27.8 58.7   .28 .64 .06   W 21-19 1.0   Win Win Loss
California Colorado .583 3.7 27.4 23.7 51.0   .06 -.38 .70   W 26-3 19.3   Win Loss Loss
Central Michigan Northern Illinois .508 .3 29.1 28.7 57.8   -.11 .09 -.31   L 38-39 1.3   Loss Win Win
Cincinnati Navy .910 22.3 37.5 15.2 52.7   1.27 .93 1.66   W 27-20 15.3   Win Win Loss
Coastal Carolina Appalachian State .565 2.9 32.1 29.2 61.3   .27 .67 -.48   L 27-30 5.9   Loss Win Loss
Colorado State Utah State .533 1.4 27.4 26.0 53.4   .20 -.12 .45   L 24-26 3.4   Loss Win Win
Eastern Michigan Bowling Green .695 9.2 31.2 22.0 53.2   .59 .33 .93   W 55-24 21.8   Win Win Win
Florida Atlantic Charlotte .636 6.2 33.7 27.5 61.2   .44 1.07 -.06   W 38-9 22.8   Win Loss Loss
Florida State Massachusetts .990 29.5 44.0 14.4 58.4   1.38 1.86 1.33   W 59-3 26.5   Win Loss Loss
Fresno State Nevada .575 3.3 28.6 25.2 53.8   .05 -.20 .28   W 34-32 1.3   Win Win Loss
Georgia State Texas State .648 6.8 31.6 24.8 56.4   .22 .32 .24   W 28-16 5.2   Win Loss Win
Hawaii New Mexico State .780 13.8 35.0 21.1 56.1   .58 .64 .62   W 48-34 .2   Win Win Loss
Houston East Carolina .708 9.9 32.9 23.1 56.0   .38 .41 .42   W 31-24 2.9   Win Win Win
Iowa State Oklahoma State .626 5.7 29.8 24.1 53.9   .17 -.11 .35   W 24-21 2.7   Win Win Loss
Kansas State Texas Tech .586 3.9 33.4 29.6 63.0   .32 1.02 -.50   W 25-24 2.9   Win Push Loss
Liberty North Texas .816 16.0 36.0 20.0 56.0   .94 1.06 1.05   W 35-26 7.0   Win Win Push
Louisiana Arkansas State .803 15.2 39.5 24.3 63.8   .90 1.82 .12   W 28-27 14.2   Win Win Win
Louisville Boston College .648 6.8 32.5 25.7 58.2   .22 .52 .05   W 28-14 7.2   Win Win Loss
Michigan Northwestern .947 25.2 40.7 15.6 56.3   1.16 1.14 1.07   W 33-7 .8   Win Win Loss
Middle Tennessee Connecticut .735 11.3 33.8 22.5 56.3   .70 .87 .80   W 44-13 19.7   Win Loss Win
Minnesota Maryland .764 12.9 35.1 22.2 57.2   .54 .66 .40   W 34-16 5.1   Win Win Loss
Mississippi State Vanderbilt .757 12.5 33.3 20.8 54.1   .76 .77 1.18   W 45-6 26.5   Win Loss Loss
NC State Miami .541 1.8 27.7 25.9 53.5   .22 -.06 .48   L 30-31 2.8   Loss Win Loss
Notre Dame USC .714 10.1 33.8 23.7 57.5   .39 .68 .36   W 31-16 4.9   Win Win Win
Ohio Kent State .531 1.3 33.0 31.6 64.6   -.06 .94 -.94   L 27-34 8.3   Loss Loss Win
Ohio State Indiana .824 16.5 38.4 21.9 60.4   .97 1.38 .43   W 54-7 30.5   Win Loss Win
Oklahoma Kansas .990 29.3 46.3 17.0 63.2   1.62 2.37 .79   W 35-23 17.3   Win Win Win
Ole Miss LSU .615 5.2 36.2 31.0 67.2   .14 1.27 -1.17   W 31-17 8.8   Win Loss Win
Penn State Illinois .901 21.6 37.3 15.7 52.9   .98 .78 1.45   L 18-20 23.6   Loss Win Loss
Pittsburgh Clemson .518 .8 25.5 24.7 50.2   -.09 -.75 .53   W 27-17 9.2   Win Loss Loss
SMU Tulane .725 10.8 36.7 25.9 62.6   .43 1.23 -.21   W 55-26 18.2   Win Loss Loss
South Alabama UL Monroe .643 6.6 30.9 24.3 55.3   .46 .30 .46   L 31-41 16.6   Loss Win Win
South Florida Temple .590 4.0 30.3 26.3 56.7   .08 -.10 -.24   W 34-14 16.0   Win Win Loss
TCU West Virginia .667 7.7 33.0 25.2 58.2   .27 .55 .07   L 17-29 19.7   Loss Loss Loss
Texas A&M South Carolina .807 15.4 32.3 16.8 49.1   .66 -.09 1.41   W 44-14 14.6   Win Loss Win
UAB Rice .904 21.8 37.3 15.5 52.7   .99 .40 1.12   L 24-30 27.8   Loss Win Win
UCF Memphis .630 5.9 34.4 28.5 62.9   .18 .97 -.53   W 24-7 11.1   Win Win Win
UCLA Oregon .538 1.7 30.6 28.9 59.5   -.04 .36 -.41   L 31-34 4.7   Loss Loss Loss
UNLV San Jose State .507 .3 27.0 26.7 53.7   -.11 -.40 .09   L 20-27 7.3   Loss Loss Win
Utah Oregon State .571 3.1 31.6 28.5 60.1   .29 .85 -.05   L 34-42 11.1   Loss Loss Win
UTSA Louisiana Tech .580 3.6 28.5 24.9 53.4   .31 .01 .57   W 45-16 25.4   Win Loss Loss
Virginia Georgia Tech .699 9.3 35.4 26.1 61.6   .35 .97 -.24   W 48-40 1.3   Win Win Loss
Virginia Tech Syracuse .611 5.0 29.1 24.1 53.2   .13 -.16 .44   L 36-41 10.0   Loss Loss Win
Wake Forest Army .529 1.3 30.0 28.8 58.8   .19 .39 -.22   W 70-56 12.7   Win Loss Win
Washington Arizona .822 16.3 35.0 18.6 53.6   .96 .62 1.14   W 21-16 11.3   Win Win Loss
Western Kentucky Florida International .754 12.3 39.3 27.0 66.2   .75 1.86 -.37   W 34-19 2.7   Win Win Win
Western Michigan Toledo .515 .7 27.7 27.0 54.7   .16 .12 .41   L 15-34 19.7   Loss Win Loss
Wisconsin Purdue .502 .1 24.6 24.5 49.1   .13 -.56 .96   W 30-13 16.9   Win Loss Win
Wyoming New Mexico .838 17.3 34.1 16.8 50.9   .76 .22 1.33   L 3-14 28.3   Loss Win Loss

 

Week 7 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Alabama Mississippi State .839 17.4 38.9 21.5 60.3   1.02 1.51 .56   W 49-9 22.6   Win Loss Loss
Appalachian State Louisiana .562 2.7 30.5 27.8 58.4   .26 .74 .22   L 13-41 30.7   Loss Win Loss
Arizona State Utah .530 1.3 28.4 27.1 55.5   .19 .22 .33   L 21-35 15.3   Loss Loss Win
Arkansas Auburn .516 .7 28.2 27.5 55.8   -.09 .01 .05   L 23-38 15.7   Loss Win Win
Ball State Eastern Michigan .505 .2 28.5 28.3 56.7   .13 .27 .12   W 38-31 6.8   Win Loss Win
Baylor BYU .572 3.2 30.8 27.6 58.5   .04 .19 -.35   W 38-24 10.8   Win Loss Win
Boise State Air Force .516 .7 29.0 28.3 57.4   -.09 -.11 -.41   L 17-24 7.7   Loss Win Loss
Buffalo Ohio .721 10.5 36.2 25.7 61.9   .41 .97 -.32   W 27-26 9.5   Win Loss Loss
Cincinnati UCF .782 13.9 34.9 20.9 55.8   .59 .51 .55   W 56-21 21.1   Win Loss Loss
Clemson Syracuse .715 10.2 29.8 19.6 49.4   .65 .09 1.53   W 17-14 7.2   Win Win Loss
Colorado Arizona .620 5.4 29.7 24.3 54.1   .15 -.11 .31   W 34-0 28.6   Win Loss Loss
Colorado State New Mexico .760 12.7 31.9 19.3 51.2   .77 .31 1.36   W 36-7 16.3   Win Win Loss
Florida LSU .663 7.5 33.5 26.0 59.5   .51 .87 .10   L 42-49 14.5   Loss Win Loss
Georgia Kentucky .897 21.3 37.3 16.0 53.4   .96 .73 1.31   W 30-13 4.3   Win Win Loss
Iowa Purdue .798 14.9 31.2 16.3 47.6   .64 -.28 1.56   L 7-24 31.9   Loss Loss Loss
Iowa State Kansas State .566 2.9 29.8 26.9 56.7   .27 .50 .36   W 33-20 10.1   Win Loss Win
Liberty UL Monroe .876 19.9 40.6 20.8 61.4   1.14 1.75 .57   L 28-31 22.9   Loss Win Win
Louisiana Tech UTEP .652 7.0 30.5 23.5 53.9   .48 .33 .78   L 3-19 23.0   Loss Loss Win
Marshall North Texas .735 11.3 32.4 21.1 53.6   .70 .44 .98   W 49-21 16.7   Win Win Loss
Memphis Navy .605 4.7 31.6 26.9 58.5   .12 .44 -.12   W 35-17 13.3   Win Loss Loss
Miami (OH) Akron .895 21.2 38.3 17.1 55.4   .96 .87 1.00   W 34-21 8.2   Win Loss Win
Michigan State Indiana .613 5.1 29.7 24.6 54.3   .38 .06 .44   W 20-15 .1   Win Win Loss
NC State Boston College .516 .7 28.2 27.5 55.7   .16 .26 .33   W 33-7 25.3   Win Loss Loss
Nebraska Minnesota .562 2.7 29.0 26.3 55.3   .26 .39 .54   L 23-30 9.7   Loss Win Win
Nevada Hawaii .727 10.9 33.8 22.9 56.7   .43 .52 .38   W 34-17 6.1   Win Loss Win
North Carolina Miami .620 5.4 31.6 26.2 57.8   .15 .31 -.09   W 45-42 2.4   Win Win Loss
Northern Illinois Bowling Green .770 13.2 32.5 19.3 51.8   .55 .13 1.05   W 34-26 5.2   Win Loss Win
Oklahoma TCU .674 8.1 35.0 26.9 61.8   .29 .82 -.45   W 52-31 12.9   Win Loss Loss
Ole Miss Tennessee .517 .8 33.5 32.8 66.3   .16 1.34 -.91   W 31-26 4.2   Win Loss Win
Oregon California .778 13.7 34.2 20.5 54.7   .58 .46 .75   W 24-17 6.7   Win Loss Loss
Rutgers Northwestern .518 .8 24.9 24.1 49.0   .16 -.84 .69   L 7-21 14.8   Loss Win Loss
San Diego State San Jose State .728 10.9 28.1 17.2 45.3   .68 -.51 1.83   W 19-13 4.9   Win Loss Loss
South Alabama Georgia Southern .527 1.2 27.3 26.1 53.4   -.07 -.32 .25   W 41-14 25.8   Win Loss Win
South Carolina Vanderbilt .777 13.7 33.7 20.0 53.6   .57 .24 .76   W 21-20 12.7   Win Win Loss
Stanford Washington State .541 1.8 29.0 27.2 56.1   .22 .16 .13   L 31-34 4.8   Loss Loss Win
Texas Oklahoma State .650 6.9 32.5 25.7 58.2   .23 .34 -.14   L 24-32 14.9   Loss Loss Win
Texas A&M Missouri .740 11.6 35.5 23.9 59.4   .72 1.15 .42   W 35-14 9.4   Win Win Loss
Texas Tech Kansas .780 13.8 39.3 25.5 64.8   .83 1.79 -.12   W 41-14 13.2   Win Loss Win
Toledo Central Michigan .662 7.5 29.2 21.8 51.0   .51 .10 1.18   L 23-26 10.5   Loss Loss Win
Troy Texas State .519 .8 26.0 25.2 51.2   .17 -.29 .76   W 31-28 2.2   Win Win Win
Tulsa South Florida .641 6.4 31.1 24.6 55.7   .45 .58 .64   W 32-31 5.4   Win Win Win
UAB Southern Mississippi .761 12.7 31.8 19.1 50.8   .77 .23 1.36   W 34-0 21.3   Win Loss Loss
Utah State UNLV .664 7.6 34.0 26.4 60.4   .51 .98 .03   W 28-24 3.6   Win Loss Win
UTSA Rice .789 14.4 33.4 19.0 52.4   .61 .15 .93   W 45-0 30.6   Win Loss Win
Virginia Duke .695 9.1 34.0 24.8 58.8   .34 .69 .07   W 48-0 38.9   Win Loss Win
Virginia Tech Pittsburgh .526 1.1 27.7 26.5 54.2   -.07 -.32 .08   L 7-28 22.1   Loss Loss Win
Washington UCLA .574 3.3 29.3 26.1 55.4   .04 -.03 .10   L 17-24 10.3   Loss Loss Loss
Western Kentucky Old Dominion .649 6.8 33.8 26.9 60.7   .47 1.08 .06   W 43-20 16.2   Win Loss Win
Western Michigan Kent State .704 9.6 37.0 27.3 64.3   .37 1.47 -.34   W 64-31 23.4   Win Win Loss
Wisconsin Army .656 7.2 29.3 22.1 51.4   .24 -.20 .81   W 20-14 1.2   Win Win Loss
Wyoming Fresno State .578 3.5 28.7 25.2 53.8   .05 -.25 .22   L 0-17 20.5   Loss Loss Loss

 

Week 6 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Wyoming .734 11.2 34.7 23.4 58.1   .45 .84 .38   W 24-14 1.2   Win Win Loss
Alabama Texas A&M .854 18.4 39.7 21.3 61.0   1.06 1.98 .88   L 38-41 21.4   Loss Win Win
Arizona State Stanford .662 7.5 33.3 25.8 59.0   .26 .73 .07   W 28-10 10.5   Win Loss Loss
Baylor West Virginia .622 5.5 28.5 23.0 51.5   .16 -.35 .64   W 45-20 19.5   Win Win Win
Bowling Green Akron .791 14.5 32.6 18.2 50.8   .62 .03 1.17   L 20-35 29.5   Loss Loss Win
Buffalo Kent State .606 4.8 32.7 28.0 60.7   .37 .87 -.16   L 38-48 14.8   Loss Loss Loss
BYU Boise State .618 5.3 31.2 25.9 57.1   .15 .50 .25   L 17-26 14.3   Loss Win Win
Central Michigan Ohio .527 1.2 29.2 28.0 57.2   .19 .20 -.05   W 30-27 1.8   Win Win Win
Charlotte Florida International .538 1.6 32.2 30.6 62.8   .21 .97 -.52   W 45-33 10.4   Win Loss Win
Cincinnati Temple .961 26.3 39.1 12.8 51.9   1.22 .73 1.62   W 52-3 22.7   Win Loss Loss
Coastal Carolina Arkansas State .840 17.5 41.5 24.0 65.5   1.02 2.10 .04   W 52-20 14.5   Win Loss Win
Colorado State San Jose State .668 7.8 28.4 20.7 49.1   .27 -.51 1.00   W 32-14 10.2   Win Win Win
Connecticut Massachusetts .540 1.8 31.5 29.8 61.3   .21 .78 -.39   L 13-27 15.8   Loss Win Loss
Eastern Michigan Miami (OH) .561 2.7 31.4 28.8 60.2   .01 .54 -.38   W 13-12 1.7   Win Win Loss
Florida Vanderbilt .990 28.8 42.8 14.0 56.7   1.35 1.50 1.34   W 42-0 13.2   Win Loss Win
Florida Atlantic UAB .570 3.1 28.5 25.4 53.9   .28 .06 .51   L 14-31 20.1   Loss Loss Loss
Georgia Auburn .781 13.9 34.3 20.4 54.8   .83 .78 1.05   W 34-10 10.1   Win Loss Loss
Georgia Southern Troy .503 .1 26.6 26.5 53.1   .13 -.27 .35   L 24-27 3.1   Loss Win Loss
Georgia State UL Monroe .550 2.2 29.0 26.8 55.9   .24 .23 .26   W 55-21 31.8   Win Loss Win
Georgia Tech Duke .544 1.9 28.0 26.0 54.0   .22 .02 .47   W 31-27 2.1   Win Win Win
Houston Tulane .686 8.7 34.0 25.3 59.2   .57 1.02 .32   W 40-22 9.3   Win Win Loss
Iowa Penn State .566 2.9 25.8 22.9 48.6   .02 -.89 .72   W 23-20 .1   Win Win Win
Kentucky LSU .511 .5 28.2 27.7 56.0   -.10 -.14 -.13   W 42-21 20.5   Win Loss Win
Liberty Middle Tennessee .788 14.3 37.1 22.8 60.0   .61 1.32 .45   W 41-13 13.7   Win Loss Loss
Louisville Virginia .579 3.5 33.5 30.0 63.5   .05 .90 -.75   L 33-34 4.5   Loss Loss Win
Marshall Old Dominion .837 17.3 35.7 18.5 54.2   .76 .62 1.02   W 20-13 10.3   Win Win Win
Michigan Nebraska .741 11.6 34.8 23.1 57.9   .72 .68 .27   W 32-29 8.6   Win Win Win
Michigan State Rutgers .635 6.2 28.9 22.8 51.7   .44 .15 1.08   W 31-13 11.8   Win Win Loss
Missouri North Texas .739 11.5 35.7 24.2 59.9   .46 .84 -.02   W 48-35 1.5   Win Win Loss
Nevada New Mexico State .881 20.2 39.4 19.1 58.5   .91 1.09 .55   W 55-28 6.8   Win Win Loss
North Carolina Florida State .704 9.6 34.6 24.9 59.5   .37 .80 .04   L 25-35 19.6   Loss Win Win
Notre Dame Virginia Tech .546 2.0 27.8 25.7 53.5   .23 -.07 .48   W 32-29 1.0   Win Win Win
Ohio State Maryland .905 21.9 42.4 20.4 62.8   1.00 1.75 .27   W 66-17 27.1   Win Loss Loss
Ole Miss Arkansas .616 5.2 31.7 26.5 58.3   .14 .32 -.17   W 52-51 4.2   Win Loss Loss
Oregon State Washington State .592 4.1 32.1 28.0 60.2   .34 .74 -.17   L 24-31 11.1   Loss Loss Loss
San Diego State New Mexico .894 21.1 34.4 13.3 47.6   .96 .07 1.90   W 31-7 2.9   Win Win Loss
SMU Navy .635 6.1 32.2 26.1 58.3   .44 .66 .16   W 31-24 .9   Win Win Loss
South Alabama Texas State .595 4.2 27.8 23.6 51.4   .34 -.21 .80   L 31-33 6.2   Loss Loss Loss
Southern Mississippi UTEP .565 2.9 27.1 24.3 51.4   .02 -.59 .41   L 13-26 15.9   Loss Loss Loss
Tennessee South Carolina .688 8.8 30.5 21.7 52.3   .33 .02 .83   W 45-20 16.2   Win Loss Loss
Texas Oklahoma .600 4.5 34.1 29.6 63.7   .23 1.06 -.63   L 48-55 11.5   Loss Loss Loss
Texas Tech TCU .518 .8 30.6 29.9 60.5   -.09 .41 -.58   L 31-52 21.8   Loss Loss Win
Toledo Northern Illinois .687 8.7 31.0 22.2 53.2   .32 .13 .74   L 20-22 10.7   Loss Win Loss
Tulsa Memphis .525 1.1 29.6 28.5 58.0   -.07 .22 -.22   W 35-29 4.9   Win Loss Loss
UCF East Carolina .691 9.0 35.2 26.2 61.4   .33 1.12 -.05   W 20-16 5.0   Win Win Win
UCLA Arizona .759 12.6 35.8 23.2 59.0   .77 1.14 .48   W 34-16 5.4   Win Loss Win
USC Utah .543 1.9 27.9 26.0 53.9   -.03 -.41 .05   L 26-42 17.9   Loss Win Win
Wake Forest Syracuse .671 8.0 30.8 22.8 53.6   .53 .34 .86   W 40-37 5.0   Win Loss Loss
Western Kentucky UTSA .567 3.0 30.3 27.3 57.6   .03 .19 -.16   L 46-52 9.0   Loss Win Loss
Western Michigan Ball State .695 9.2 33.8 24.7 58.5   .34 .80 .26   L 20-45 34.2   Loss Win Win
Wisconsin Illinois .712 10.0 29.7 19.7 49.4   .64 .17 1.60   W 24-0 14.0   Win Loss Loss

 

Week 5 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force New Mexico .863 19.0 38.2 19.2 57.4   1.10 1.32 1.01   W 38-10 9.0   Win Win Win
Alabama Ole Miss .830 16.8 43.1 26.3 69.4   .73 2.37 -.55   W 42-21 4.2   Win Win Win
Appalachian State Georgia State .749 12.1 33.3 21.2 54.5   .74 .53 .86   W 45-16 16.9   Win Win Loss
Army Ball State .746 11.9 35.4 23.5 58.9   .73 1.09 .46   L 16-28 23.9   Loss Loss Loss
Boise State Nevada .804 15.2 34.9 19.7 54.6   .65 .46 .77   L 31-41 25.2   Loss Loss Loss
BYU Utah State .707 9.8 35.5 25.7 61.2   .63 1.36 .22   W 34-20 4.2   Win Win Win
California Washington State .639 6.3 31.4 25.1 56.4   .20 .24 .15   L 6-21 21.3   Loss Win Loss
Clemson Boston College .841 17.5 36.0 18.4 54.4   .77 .77 1.12   W 19-13 11.5   Win Loss Loss
Coastal Carolina UL Monroe .865 19.1 40.4 21.2 61.6   .85 1.48 .25   W 59-6 33.9   Win Loss Win
Eastern Michigan Northern Illinois .581 3.6 33.0 29.4 62.5   .31 1.07 -.34   L 20-27 10.6   Loss Loss Win
Florida Kentucky .673 8.0 32.2 24.2 56.5   .54 .60 .50   L 13-20 15.0   Loss Loss Win
Florida Atlantic Florida International .783 14.0 33.9 19.9 53.8   .59 .38 .86   W 58-21 23.0   Win Win Win
Florida State Syracuse .580 3.5 28.0 24.4 52.4   .06 -.21 .57   W 33-30 .5   Win Win Win
Fresno State Hawaii .669 7.8 31.8 24.0 55.7   .52 .55 .61   L 24-27 10.8   Loss Win Win
Georgia Arkansas .861 18.8 35.9 17.1 52.9   .84 .65 1.32   W 37-0 18.2   Win Win Loss
Georgia Southern Arkansas State .526 1.1 30.3 29.1 59.4   -.07 .33 -.42   W 59-33 24.9   Win Loss Loss
Georgia Tech Pittsburgh .531 1.3 27.0 25.7 52.7   -.06 -.47 .26   L 21-52 32.3   Loss Loss Loss
Illinois Charlotte .662 7.5 34.1 26.5 60.6   .26 .64 -.37   W 24-14 2.5   Win Push Loss
Iowa Maryland .711 10.0 28.7 18.7 47.4   .64 -.36 1.53   W 51-14 27.0   Win Win Loss
Iowa State Kansas .971 27.2 43.1 15.8 58.9   1.27 1.76 1.12   W 59-7 24.8   Win Loss Win
Kent State Bowling Green .691 9.0 32.5 23.5 56.0   .33 .33 .33   W 27-20 2.0   Win Win Loss
Louisiana South Alabama .713 10.1 32.5 22.4 54.9   .64 .54 .79   W 20-18 8.1   Win Win Loss
LSU Auburn .563 2.8 30.6 27.8 58.5   .02 .46 -.08   L 19-24 7.8   Loss Win Loss
Marshall Middle Tennessee .761 12.7 36.1 23.4 59.5   .78 1.22 .46   L 28-34 18.7   Loss Loss Win
Memphis Temple .727 10.9 34.4 23.5 57.9   .68 .82 .41   L 31-34 13.9   Loss Win Loss
Miami Virginia .587 3.9 31.8 27.9 59.6   .07 .47 -.33   L 28-30 5.9   Loss Loss Win
Miami (OH) Central Michigan .600 4.5 29.3 24.8 54.1   .10 -.11 .30   W 28-17 6.5   Win Win Win
Michigan Wisconsin .635 6.2 29.4 23.3 52.7   .44 -.11 .61   W 38-17 14.8   Win Win Win
Michigan State Western Kentucky .735 11.3 34.6 23.3 57.8   .45 .60 .19   W 48-31 5.7   Win Win Loss
Missouri Tennessee .542 1.8 30.9 29.0 59.9   -.03 .31 -.54   L 24-62 39.8   Loss Win Loss
NC State Louisiana Tech .722 10.6 31.9 21.3 53.3   .42 .14 .74   W 34-27 3.6   Win Win Loss
Nebraska Northwestern .571 3.1 26.2 23.1 49.3   .03 -.54 .93   W 56-7 45.9   Win Loss Loss
North Carolina Duke .721 10.5 35.1 24.6 59.6   .41 .97 .18   W 38-7 20.5   Win Loss Win
Notre Dame Cincinnati .558 2.5 27.0 24.5 51.5   .00 -.56 .41   L 13-24 13.5   Loss Loss Loss
Ohio Akron .762 12.8 36.2 23.5 59.7   .78 1.37 .57   W 34-17 4.2   Win Win Loss
Ohio State Rutgers .770 13.2 35.1 21.9 57.0   .80 1.13 .91   W 52-13 25.8   Win Loss Loss
Oklahoma Kansas State .522 .9 29.0 28.1 57.0   .17 .38 .15   W 37-31 5.1   Win Win Win
Oklahoma State Baylor .619 5.4 29.6 24.2 53.9   .15 .04 .51   W 24-14 4.6   Win Win Loss
Oregon Stanford .626 5.7 32.5 26.8 59.3   .42 .91 .18   L 24-31 12.7   Loss Win Loss
Penn State Indiana .777 13.6 34.4 20.8 55.2   .57 .45 .63   W 24-0 10.4   Win Win Loss
Purdue Minnesota .601 4.5 29.4 24.9 54.3   .11 -.13 .24   L 13-20 11.5   Loss Loss Loss
San Jose State New Mexico State .803 15.2 32.1 17.0 49.1   .65 -.08 1.41   W 37-31 9.2   Win Win Loss
SMU South Florida .785 14.1 37.2 23.1 60.3   .60 1.18 .23   W 41-17 9.9   Win Loss Win
South Carolina Troy .661 7.4 27.5 20.1 47.7   .25 -.75 1.07   W 23-14 1.6   Win Win Loss
Southern Mississippi Rice .507 .3 25.7 25.4 51.1   .14 -.49 .59   L 19-24 5.3   Loss Loss Loss
Texas TCU .715 10.2 35.8 25.6 61.5   .65 1.18 -.01   W 32-27 5.2   Win Win Win
Texas A&M Mississippi State .648 6.8 28.6 21.8 50.3   .22 -.61 .63   L 22-26 10.8   Loss Win Win
Toledo Massachusetts .927 23.6 40.5 17.0 57.5   1.33 1.70 1.38   W 45-7 14.4   Win Loss Loss
Tulane East Carolina .507 .3 29.8 29.5 59.3   .14 .49 -.22   L 29-52 23.3   Loss Win Loss
Tulsa Houston .582 3.7 28.8 25.1 54.0   .06 .05 .50   L 10-45 38.7   Loss Loss Loss
UAB Liberty .540 1.7 30.4 28.6 59.0   -.04 .21 -.45   L 12-36 25.7   Loss Win Loss
UCF Navy .744 11.8 34.5 22.7 57.2   .73 .93 .68   L 30-34 15.8   Loss Win Win
UCLA Arizona State .582 3.7 30.6 27.0 57.6   .06 .23 -.12   L 23-42 22.7   Loss Loss Win
USC Colorado .609 4.9 30.0 25.1 55.0   .38 .17 .38   W 37-14 18.1   Win Loss Win
UTEP Old Dominion .520 .9 26.6 25.7 52.2   -.08 -.48 .34   W 28-21 6.1   Win Loss Win
UTSA UNLV .761 12.7 34.0 21.3 55.3   .52 .40 .55   W 24-17 5.7   Win Win Win
Vanderbilt Connecticut .804 15.3 37.0 21.8 58.8   .65 1.23 .62   W 30-28 13.3   Win Loss Win
Wake Forest Louisville .686 8.7 33.0 24.3 57.3   .32 .49 .22   W 37-34 5.7   Win Loss Loss
Washington Oregon State .621 5.5 33.2 27.7 60.9   .41 1.09 .01   L 24-27 8.5   Loss Loss Loss
West Virginia Texas Tech .577 3.4 30.4 27.0 57.4   .05 .13 -.17   L 20-23 6.4   Loss Win Loss
Western Michigan Buffalo .547 2.0 31.8 29.7 61.5   .23 .99 -.20   W 24-17 5.0   Win Push Loss

 

Week 4 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Florida Atlantic .624 5.6 30.5 24.9 55.4   .16 .05 .18   W 31-7 18.4   Win Win Loss
Alabama Southern Mississippi .990 39.2 48.7 9.6 58.3   1.88 2.38 1.88   W 63-14 9.8   Win Loss Win
Appalachian State Marshall .654 7.1 31.0 23.9 54.8   .24 .22 .47   W 31-30 6.1   Win Loss Loss
Arizona State Colorado .697 9.3 31.0 21.8 52.8   .35 .02 .72   W 35-13 12.7   Win Loss Win
Army Miami (OH) .740 11.6 35.6 24.0 59.6   .47 .99 .20   W 23-10 1.4   Win Win Loss
Auburn Georgia State .953 25.6 40.6 15.0 55.6   1.18 1.10 1.19   W 34-24 15.6   Win Win Loss
Ball State Toledo .517 .7 28.0 27.3 55.3   -.09 -.13 .02   L 12-22 10.7   Loss Loss Win
Boise State Utah State .680 8.4 32.9 24.5 57.4   .55 .64 .32   W 27-3 15.6   Win Loss Win
Boston College Missouri .520 .9 30.4 29.6 60.0   -.08 .34 -.54   W 41-34 6.1   Win Loss Win
Buffalo Old Dominion .773 13.4 33.7 20.3 54.0   .81 .76 1.19   W 35-34 12.4   Win Loss Win
BYU South Florida .915 22.7 39.2 16.5 55.7   1.03 1.08 1.15   W 35-27 14.7   Win Loss Win
Central Michigan Florida International .705 9.7 32.5 22.7 55.2   .37 .37 .54   W 31-27 5.7   Win Win Win
Charlotte Middle Tennessee .602 4.6 31.5 26.9 58.4   .11 .42 -.12   W 42-39 1.6   Win Win Win
Clemson NC State .787 14.3 32.3 18.0 50.3   .85 .44 1.68   L 21-27 20.3   Loss Loss Win
Coastal Carolina Massachusetts .990 30.1 47.6 17.5 65.1   1.42 2.60 .62   W 53-3 19.9   Win Loss Win
Duke Kansas .755 12.4 33.5 21.1 54.6   .51 .30 .60   W 52-33 6.6   Win Loss Loss
Eastern Michigan Texas State .655 7.1 31.7 24.6 56.3   .24 .34 .28   W 59-21 30.9   Win Loss Loss
Florida Tennessee .836 17.2 36.6 19.4 56.0   .75 .93 .93   W 38-14 6.8   Win Loss Win
Fresno State UNLV .889 20.7 38.5 17.7 56.2   .93 .96 .92   W 38-30 12.7   Win Win Loss
Georgia Vanderbilt .990 28.9 41.8 12.9 54.7   1.60 1.64 1.93   W 62-0 33.1   Win Loss Win
Hawaii New Mexico State .651 6.9 31.0 24.0 55.0   .48 .43 .65   W 41-21 13.1   Win Loss Win
Houston Navy .721 10.5 32.2 21.7 53.9   .41 .06 .53   W 28-20 2.5   Win Win Win
Indiana Western Kentucky .576 3.4 28.7 25.4 54.1   .30 .19 .61   W 33-31 1.4   Win Win Loss
Iowa Colorado State .914 22.6 34.3 11.7 46.1   1.03 -.15 2.03   W 24-14 12.6   Win Win Loss
Iowa State Baylor .581 3.6 28.5 24.9 53.4   .31 .10 .68   L 29-31 5.6   Loss Win Win
Kentucky South Carolina .617 5.3 28.7 23.4 52.1   .40 .12 .97   W 16-10 .7   Win Win Loss
Liberty Syracuse .508 .4 28.3 28.0 56.3   .14 .40 .33   L 21-24 3.4   Loss Win Loss
Louisiana Georgia Southern .742 11.7 35.4 23.7 59.2   .72 1.06 .37   W 28-20 3.7   Win Win Loss
Louisiana Tech North Texas .792 14.5 35.0 20.5 55.4   .62 .63 .76   W 24-17 7.5   Win Loss Win
Louisville Florida State .520 .9 29.6 28.7 58.3   .17 .40 -.09   W 31-23 7.1   Win Win Win
LSU Mississippi State .630 5.9 29.7 23.8 53.4   .43 .17 .73   W 28-25 2.9   Win Win Win
Maryland Kent State .635 6.1 33.3 27.2 60.5   .19 .58 -.40   W 37-16 14.9   Win Loss Win
Memphis UTSA .737 11.4 34.9 23.5 58.3   .46 .74 .23   L 28-31 14.4   Loss Loss Win
Michigan Rutgers .936 24.3 39.1 14.9 54.0   1.12 1.11 1.54   W 20-13 17.3   Win Loss Loss
Michigan State Nebraska .656 7.2 30.8 23.6 54.5   .24 -.07 .27   W 23-20 4.2   Win Push Win
Minnesota Bowling Green .990 29.9 42.5 12.6 55.0   1.40 1.46 1.67   L 10-14 33.9   Loss Win Loss
New Mexico UTEP .545 2.0 29.0 27.1 56.1   .23 .34 .31   L 13-20 9.0   Loss Win Loss
North Carolina Georgia Tech .757 12.5 36.2 23.6 59.8   .64 1.13 .30   L 22-45 35.5   Loss Win Loss
Northwestern Ohio .699 9.3 32.9 23.6 56.5   .35 .40 .30   W 35-6 19.7   Win Loss Loss
Ohio State Akron .990 47.4 55.0 7.6 62.6   2.30 3.26 1.82   W 59-7 4.6   Win Loss Win
Oklahoma West Virginia .766 13.0 35.5 22.5 58.0   .54 .84 .41   W 16-13 10.0   Win Win Loss
Oklahoma State Kansas State .529 1.3 28.0 26.8 54.8   -.06 -.14 .13   W 31-20 9.7   Win Loss Win
Oregon Arizona .900 21.5 39.3 17.8 57.0   .98 1.24 1.02   W 41-19 .5   Win Win Loss
Purdue Illinois .742 11.7 34.1 22.4 56.6   .47 .67 .55   W 13-9 7.7   Win Loss Loss
TCU SMU .672 8.0 32.8 24.8 57.5   .28 .46 .13   L 34-42 16.0   Loss Win Loss
Texas Texas Tech .712 10.1 35.2 25.2 60.4   .39 .83 -.13   W 70-35 24.9   Win Win Loss
Texas A&M Arkansas .626 5.7 29.0 23.3 52.3   .29 -.09 .71   L 10-20 15.7   Loss Loss Loss
Troy UL Monroe .702 9.5 33.1 23.5 56.6   .61 .69 .56   L 16-29 22.5   Loss Win Loss
Tulane UAB .593 4.1 30.1 26.0 56.0   .09 .14 .13   L 21-28 11.1   Loss Loss Loss
Tulsa Arkansas State .726 10.8 33.8 22.9 56.7   .43 .69 .54   W 41-34 3.8   Win Win Loss
UCLA Stanford .524 1.1 30.8 29.7 60.5   .18 .79 -.19   W 35-24 9.9   Win Loss Loss
USC Oregon State .718 10.4 35.6 25.3 60.9   .41 .89 -.18   L 27-45 28.4   Loss Loss Loss
Utah Washington State .742 11.7 33.5 21.9 55.4   .47 .44 .57   W 24-13 .7   Win Win Loss
Wake Forest Virginia .507 .3 29.6 29.3 59.0   .14 .45 -.20   W 37-17 19.7   Win Win Win
Washington California .796 14.8 34.5 19.8 54.3   .63 .50 .87   W 31-24 7.8   Win Loss Win
Western Michigan San Jose State .673 8.0 33.5 25.4 58.9   .28 .73 .10   W 23-3 12.0   Win Win Win
Wisconsin Notre Dame .613 5.1 28.0 22.9 50.9   .26 -.29 .82   L 13-41 33.1   Loss Win Win
Wyoming Connecticut .981 28.0 42.4 14.4 56.8   1.56 1.80 1.64   W 24-22 26.0   Win Win Loss

 

Week 3 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Utah State .817 16.0 35.3 19.3 54.6   .69 .65 .96   L 45-49 20.0   Loss Loss Win
Alabama Florida .748 12.0 37.0 25.0 62.0   .74 1.54 .24   W 31-29 10.0   Win Win Win
Arkansas Georgia Southern .715 10.2 31.7 21.5 53.3   .40 .07 .66   W 45-10 24.8   Win Loss Loss
Army Connecticut .990 30.8 45.7 14.9 60.5   1.45 2.07 1.08   W 52-21 .2   Win Win Win
Baylor Kansas .762 12.8 33.0 20.3 53.3   .78 .55 1.14   W 45-7 25.2   Win Loss Win
Boise State Oklahoma State .533 1.4 28.5 27.0 55.5   -.05 -.24 -.13   L 20-21 2.4   Loss Win Win
Boston College Temple .630 5.9 31.6 25.7 57.3   .43 .48 .20   W 28-3 19.1   Win Loss Loss
BYU Arizona State .576 3.4 30.7 27.3 57.9   .05 .32 -.09   W 27-17 6.6   Win Win Loss
Charlotte Georgia State .513 .6 31.2 30.6 61.8   .15 .75 -.52   L 9-20 11.6   Loss Loss Win
Cincinnati Indiana .627 5.8 28.8 23.0 51.8   .42 .02 .94   W 38-24 8.2   Win Win Win
Clemson Georgia Tech .981 28.1 40.5 12.4 52.9   1.31 1.17 1.84   W 14-8 22.1   Win Loss Loss
Coastal Carolina Buffalo .504 .2 29.7 29.5 59.2   .13 .42 -.29   W 28-25 2.8   Win Win Loss
Eastern Michigan Massachusetts .883 20.3 40.3 20.0 60.3   1.16 1.74 .80   W 42-28 6.3   Win Win Win
Georgia South Carolina .964 26.5 38.1 11.5 49.6   1.23 .72 2.10   W 40-13 .5   Win Win Win
Iowa Kent State .934 24.1 39.9 15.8 55.8   1.11 .96 1.00   W 30-7 1.1   Win Win Loss
Iowa State UNLV .900 21.6 39.5 17.9 57.4   1.23 1.48 1.18   W 48-3 23.4   Win Loss Loss
Kansas State Nevada .764 12.9 33.4 20.5 53.9   .53 .32 .77   W 38-17 8.1   Win Win Win
Liberty Old Dominion .820 16.2 35.3 19.1 54.3   .70 .64 1.00   W 45-17 11.8   Win Loss Win
Louisiana Ohio .673 8.0 35.5 27.5 63.1   .28 1.07 -.48   W 49-14 27.0   Win Loss Win
LSU Central Michigan .817 16.0 35.9 19.9 55.9   .69 .76 .79   W 49-21 12.0   Win Loss Loss
Marshall East Carolina .796 14.8 34.6 19.8 54.4   .63 .38 .74   L 38-42 18.8   Loss Loss Loss
Maryland Illinois .537 1.6 29.6 28.0 57.6   .21 .51 .16   W 20-17 1.4   Win Win Win
Memphis Mississippi State .563 2.8 30.2 27.4 57.7   .02 .29 -.07   W 31-29 .8   Win Win Win
Miami Michigan State .587 3.9 28.5 24.7 53.2   .07 -.13 .48   L 17-38 24.9   Loss Win Win
Michigan Northern Illinois .905 21.9 39.8 17.9 57.7   1.00 1.13 .76   W 63-10 31.1   Win Loss Win
Minnesota Colorado .503 .1 29.2 29.0 58.2   .13 .35 -.13   W 30-0 29.9   Win Win Loss
North Carolina Virginia .606 4.7 31.7 26.9 58.6   .12 .43 -.15   W 59-39 15.3   Win Loss Loss
Northwestern Duke .584 3.7 27.0 23.3 50.3   .32 -.12 1.12   L 23-30 10.7   Loss Loss Win
Notre Dame Purdue .667 7.8 32.0 24.3 56.3   .27 .35 .28   W 27-13 6.2   Win Win Win
Ohio State Tulsa .863 19.0 39.0 20.1 59.1   .84 1.24 .55   W 41-20 2.0   Win Win Loss
Oklahoma Nebraska .813 15.8 37.0 21.3 58.3   .68 .84 .34   W 23-16 8.8   Win Win Win
Ole Miss Tulane .637 6.2 33.1 26.8 59.9   .19 .68 -.18   W 61-21 33.8   Win Loss Loss
Penn State Auburn .555 2.4 28.1 25.7 53.8   .00 -.22 .26   W 28-20 5.6   Win Loss Loss
Pittsburgh Western Michigan .660 7.4 33.3 25.9 59.2   .25 .46 -.22   L 41-44 10.4   Loss Win Win
San Jose State Hawaii .545 2.0 30.4 28.4 58.8   .23 .62 .00   W 17-13 2.0   Win Win Win
SMU Louisiana Tech .564 2.8 28.8 26.0 54.9   .27 .28 .53   W 39-37 .8   Win Win Loss
Stanford Vanderbilt .715 10.2 34.4 24.2 58.7   .65 .99 .41   W 41-23 7.8   Win Loss Win
Texas Rice .921 23.1 38.7 15.6 54.2   1.05 .92 1.31   W 58-0 34.9   Win Loss Win
Texas A&M New Mexico .931 23.8 38.6 14.8 53.4   1.09 .84 1.41   W 34-0 10.2   Win Loss Loss
Texas Tech Florida International .833 17.0 36.2 19.1 55.3   .75 .86 1.01   W 54-21 16.0   Win Loss Win
Toledo Colorado State .723 10.6 33.6 22.9 56.5   .42 .52 .41   L 6-22 26.6   Loss Win Win
Troy Southern Mississippi .619 5.4 30.5 25.1 55.5   .40 .35 .45   W 21-9 6.6   Win Loss Loss
UAB North Texas .568 3.0 29.3 26.3 55.6   .28 .26 .34   W 40-6 31.0   Win Loss Win
UCF Louisville .663 7.5 34.3 26.8 61.1   .51 1.22 .11   L 35-42 14.5   Loss Loss Loss
UCLA Fresno State .732 11.1 32.8 21.7 54.5   .44 .43 .76   L 37-40 14.1   Loss Loss Loss
USC Washington State .569 3.1 31.9 28.8 60.7   .28 .84 -.18   W 45-14 27.9   Win Loss Loss
Utah San Diego State .575 3.3 24.7 21.4 46.1   .29 -.72 1.43   L 31-33 5.3   Loss Win Win
UTSA Middle Tennessee .590 4.0 31.1 27.0 58.1   .08 .22 -.24   W 27-13 10.0   Win Loss Win
Virginia Tech West Virginia .605 4.7 28.5 23.8 52.3   .37 .07 .88   L 21-27 10.7   Loss Loss Loss
Wake Forest Florida State .623 5.6 30.7 25.1 55.8   .16 .16 .20   W 35-14 15.4   Win Win Win
Washington Arkansas State .751 12.2 36.0 23.8 59.8   .50 1.11 .28   W 52-3 36.8   Win Loss Loss
Wyoming Ball State .593 4.1 29.5 25.3 54.8   .09 -.13 .13   W 45-12 28.9   Win Loss Win

 

Week 2 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Air Force Navy .707 9.8 34.1 24.4 58.5   .62 .79 .24   W 23-3 10.2   Win Win Loss
Appalachian State Miami .505 .2 26.7 26.4 53.1   .14 -.10 .53   L 23-25 2.2   Loss Win Win
Arizona State UNLV .922 23.2 40.5 17.3 57.7   1.06 1.20 .82   W 37-10 3.8   Win Win Loss
Army Western Kentucky .724 10.7 31.6 20.9 52.4   .42 .03 .81   W 38-35 7.7   Win Loss Loss
Boise State UTEP .946 25.1 40.2 15.1 55.3   1.16 1.16 1.30   W 54-13 15.9   Win Win Loss
Boston College Massachusetts .957 26.0 42.8 16.8 59.6   1.45 1.99 1.21   W 45-28 9.0   Win Win Win
Buffalo Nebraska .616 5.2 30.5 25.2 55.7   .39 .42 .48   L 3-28 30.2   Loss Loss Loss
BYU Utah .500 .0 26.6 26.6 53.3   -.12 -.31 .28   W 26-17 9.0   Win Win Loss
Coastal Carolina Kansas .766 13.0 35.0 22.0 56.9   .54 .72 .52   W 49-22 14.0   Win Loss Win
Colorado State Vanderbilt .647 6.7 32.1 25.3 57.4   .22 .33 .03   L 21-24 9.7   Loss Loss Loss
Florida South Florida .930 23.8 39.4 15.6 55.0   1.34 1.29 1.50   W 42-20 1.8   Win Win Loss
Florida Atlantic Georgia Southern .520 .9 25.5 24.6 50.1   -.08 -.67 .61   W 38-6 31.1   Win Loss Loss
Florida International Texas State .544 1.9 28.4 26.5 55.0   -.03 -.14 .08   L 17-23 7.9   Loss Win Win
Georgia UAB .925 23.4 36.8 13.5 50.3   1.07 .58 1.82   W 56-7 25.6   Win Win Win
Houston Rice .658 7.3 29.2 21.9 51.1   .50 -.02 1.03   W 44-7 29.7   Win Loss Win
Iowa Iowa State .510 .4 26.0 25.6 51.6   .15 -.48 .49   W 27-17 9.6   Win Win Loss
Kentucky Missouri .608 4.9 30.0 25.1 55.0   .12 .05 .27   W 35-28 2.1   Win Loss Loss
Memphis Arkansas State .652 7.0 33.4 26.4 59.8   .48 .84 .01   W 55-50 2.0   Win Loss Loss
Michigan Washington .577 3.4 30.6 27.2 57.8   .05 .04 -.35   W 31-10 17.6   Win Loss Loss
Minnesota Miami (OH) .746 11.9 35.5 23.6 59.1   .48 1.00 .31   W 31-26 6.9   Win Win Win
Mississippi State NC State .534 1.5 27.4 25.9 53.3   -.05 -.30 .30   W 24-10 12.5   Win Win Win
New Mexico New Mexico State .727 10.9 33.5 22.6 56.2   .43 .44 .41   W 34-25 1.9   Win Win Win
North Carolina Georgia State .815 15.9 38.1 22.2 60.3   .69 1.13 .19   W 59-17 26.1   Win Loss Loss
Notre Dame Toledo .815 15.9 36.8 20.9 57.7   .69 .88 .51   W 32-29 12.9   Win Win Win
Ohio State Oregon .819 16.2 38.5 22.4 60.9   .70 1.35 .28   L 28-35 23.2   Loss Loss Win
Oklahoma State Tulsa .721 10.5 31.8 21.3 53.1   .41 .03 .66   W 28-23 5.5   Win Loss Push
Oregon State Hawaii .639 6.3 33.7 27.4 61.1   .20 .74 -.37   W 45-27 11.7   Win Loss Loss
Penn State Ball State .775 13.5 34.3 20.7 55.0   .57 .43 .65   W 44-13 17.5   Win Loss Win
Purdue Connecticut .869 19.4 38.2 18.8 57.0   1.12 1.34 1.11   W 49-0 29.6   Win Loss Loss
San Diego State Arizona .560 2.6 26.2 23.6 49.8   .26 -.47 .88   W 38-14 21.4   Win Win Win
SMU North Texas .821 16.3 38.9 22.6 61.5   .71 1.42 .23   W 35-12 6.7   Win Loss Win
South Alabama Bowling Green .776 13.6 32.5 18.9 51.4   .82 .33 1.34   W 22-19 10.6   Win Win Loss
South Carolina East Carolina .592 4.1 30.4 26.3 56.6   .33 .51 .37   W 20-17 1.1   Win Push Loss
Syracuse Rutgers .622 5.5 28.1 22.6 50.7   .16 -.32 .84   L 7-17 15.5   Loss Loss Loss
TCU California .748 12.0 30.8 18.8 49.6   .49 -.26 1.13   W 34-32 10.0   Win Loss Win
Temple Akron .689 8.8 30.6 21.7 52.3   .58 .44 1.25   W 45-24 12.2   Win Win Win
Tennessee Pittsburgh .501 .0 24.8 24.8 49.6   -.12 -.75 .65   L 34-41 7.0   Loss Loss Loss
Texas Arkansas .761 12.8 35.6 22.9 58.5   .78 1.15 .60   L 21-40 31.8   Loss Loss Win
Texas A&M Colorado .743 11.8 33.8 22.0 55.8   .60 .57 .62   W 10-7 8.8   Win Win Loss
Troy Liberty .582 3.6 31.0 27.4 58.4   .06 .28 -.25   L 13-21 11.6   Loss Loss Win
USC Stanford .760 12.7 35.2 22.6 57.8   .52 .77 .38   L 28-42 26.7   Loss Win Win
Virginia Illinois .716 10.3 33.2 22.9 56.2   .40 .60 .57   W 42-14 17.7   Win Loss Win
Virginia Tech Middle Tennessee .833 17.0 36.5 19.5 56.0   .75 .77 .77   W 35-14 4.0   Win Loss Loss
Wisconsin Eastern Michigan .847 17.9 36.2 18.3 54.4   .79 .64 .98   W 34-7 9.1   Win Loss Loss
Wyoming Northern Illinois .587 3.9 26.7 22.8 49.5   .32 -.40 1.03   W 50-43 3.1   Win Push Win

 

Week 1 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Alabama Miami .917 22.8 41.3 18.4 59.7   1.17 1.69 .88   W 44-13 8.2   Win Win Win
Appalachian State East Carolina .839 17.4 36.4 19.0 55.4   .89 .87 .99   W 33-19 3.4   Win Win Win
Arkansas Rice .694 9.1 30.7 21.6 52.2   .34 -.04 .78   W 38-17 11.9   Win Loss Win
Army Georgia State .585 3.8 30.5 26.7 57.2   .32 .37 .11   W 43-10 29.2   Win Win Win
Auburn Akron .990 37.2 44.7 7.5 52.3   1.78 1.37 2.18   W 60-10 12.8   Win Win Loss
Baylor Texas State .824 16.4 34.5 18.1 52.6   .97 .63 1.39   W 29-20 7.4   Win Loss Loss
BYU Arizona .832 16.9 37.4 20.5 57.9   .87 1.13 .70   W 24-16 8.9   Win Loss Loss
California Nevada .652 7.0 29.8 22.8 52.6   .23 -.08 .66   L 17-22 12.0   Loss Loss Loss
Cincinnati Miami (OH) .735 11.3 31.6 20.3 51.9   .45 .06 .96   W 49-14 23.7   Win Loss Win
Clemson Georgia .638 6.3 29.7 23.4 53.1   .32 .13 .77   L 3-10 13.3   Loss Loss Loss
Duke Charlotte .625 5.7 30.7 25.1 55.8   .42 .31 .35   L 28-31 8.7   Loss Win Win
Florida Florida Atlantic .827 16.7 35.6 18.9 54.5   .73 .56 .88   W 35-14 4.3   Win Win Loss
Georgia Tech Northern Illinois .576 3.4 29.0 25.6 54.6   .05 -.08 .22   L 21-22 4.4   Loss Win Win
Illinois UTSA .717 10.3 32.9 22.6 55.4   .40 .27 .39   L 30-37 17.3   Loss Loss Win
Iowa Indiana .686 8.7 29.7 21.0 50.6   .32 -.37 .80   W 34-6 19.3   Win Win Loss
Kansas State Stanford .598 4.4 31.8 27.4 59.1   .23 .52 -.16   W 24-7 12.6   Win Win Loss
Kentucky UL Monroe .862 18.9 37.9 19.1 57.0   .84 .85 .63   W 45-10 16.1   Win Loss Win
LSU UCLA .645 6.7 32.1 25.4 57.5   .47 .59 .26   L 27-38 17.7   Loss Loss Loss
Michigan Western Michigan .698 9.3 36.3 27.0 63.4   .35 1.00 -.62   W 47-14 23.7   Win Loss Win
Mississippi State Louisiana Tech .744 11.8 32.3 20.5 52.8   .48 .18 .88   W 35-34 10.8   Win Win Win
Missouri Central Michigan .631 5.9 30.6 24.7 55.2   .18 .05 .22   W 34-24 4.1   Win Win Win
Navy Marshall .578 3.5 29.3 25.8 55.0   .05 -.01 .20   L 7-49 45.5   Loss Loss Win
NC State South Florida .687 8.7 31.3 22.5 53.8   .32 .06 .55   W 45-0 36.3   Win Loss Win
Northwestern Michigan State .626 5.7 25.7 20.0 45.7   .17 -.96 1.29   L 21-38 22.7   Loss Loss Win
Notre Dame Florida State .784 14.0 34.4 20.3 54.7   .84 .74 1.03   W 41-38 11.0   Win Loss Win
Ohio Syracuse .660 7.4 32.0 24.6 56.6   .25 .40 .26   L 9-29 27.4   Loss Loss Loss
Ohio State Minnesota .835 17.2 39.7 22.5 62.3   1.00 1.71 .34   W 45-31 3.2   Win Push Win
Oklahoma Tulane .869 19.4 40.1 20.7 60.8   .87 1.44 .39   W 40-35 14.4   Win Win Loss
Ole Miss Louisville .549 2.2 33.1 30.9 64.0   .11 .98 -.76   W 43-24 16.8   Win Loss Win
Oregon Fresno State .764 12.9 34.0 21.1 55.1   .53 .47 .67   W 31-24 5.9   Win Win Win
Pittsburgh Massachusetts .990 34.2 44.5 10.3 54.9   1.62 1.55 1.79   W 51-7 9.8   Win Loss Loss
Purdue Oregon State .596 4.3 33.2 28.9 62.1   .09 .83 -.49   W 30-21 4.7   Win Loss Win
San Diego State New Mexico State .966 26.8 38.4 11.7 50.1   1.24 .61 1.90   W 28-10 8.8   Win Win Win
Southern Mississippi South Alabama .503 .1 26.9 26.7 53.6   .13 -.15 .39   L 7-31 24.1   Loss Loss Win
Temple Rutgers .513 .6 25.0 24.4 49.4   .15 -.45 .98   L 14-61 47.6   Loss Loss Loss
Tennessee Bowling Green .965 26.6 39.7 13.1 52.8   1.24 .99 1.68   W 38-6 5.4   Win Win Win
Texas Louisiana .691 8.9 33.9 25.0 58.9   .33 .61 -.03   W 38-18 11.1   Win Win Loss
Texas A&M Kent State .849 18.1 40.6 22.5 63.0   .80 1.61 .07   W 41-10 12.9   Win Loss Win
Texas Tech Houston .516 .7 29.0 28.3 57.4   .03 .22 -.08   W 38-21 16.3   Win Win Win
UCF Boise State .590 4.0 31.5 27.4 58.9   .08 .55 -.08   W 36-31 1.0   Win Win Loss
USC San Jose State .764 12.9 35.3 22.4 57.7   .53 .78 .41   W 30-7 10.1   Win Loss Win
Virginia Tech North Carolina .521 .9 30.4 29.5 59.9   -.08 .30 -.55   W 17-10 6.1   Win Win Win
Wake Forest Old Dominion .854 18.4 36.0 17.7 53.7   .81 .66 1.16   W 42-10 13.6   Win Win Win
Washington State Utah State .750 12.1 36.4 24.4 60.8   .49 1.03 -.02   L 23-26 15.1   Loss Win Win
West Virginia Maryland .615 5.2 29.3 24.1 53.5   .39 .16 .71   L 24-30 11.2   Loss Loss Win
Wisconsin Penn State .638 6.3 28.9 22.7 51.6   .20 -.27 .69   L 10-16 12.3   Loss Loss Loss

 

Week 0 Game Projections

 

Projected Winner Projected Loser PWL PM PPF PPA PT   TA OA DA   Final PE   SU ATS O/U
Fresno State Connecticut .859 18.7 38.0 19.3 57.3   .83 1.06 .79   W 45-0 26.3   Win Loss Win
Nebraska Illinois .573 3.2 28.8 25.6 54.4   .29 .20 .54   L 22-30 11.2   Loss Win Push
New Mexico State UTEP .643 6.5 31.7 25.2 56.9   .21 .38 .17   L 3-30 33.5   Loss Loss Win
UCLA Hawaii .659 7.3 33.7 26.4 60.2   .25 .71 -.20   W 44-10 26.7   Win Loss Win