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FEI Ratings
:: 2024 :: 2023 :: 2022 :: 2021 :: 2020 :: 2019 :: 2018 :: 2017 :: 2016 :: 2015 :: 2014 :: 2013 :: 2012 :: 2011 :: 2010 :: 2009 :: 2008 :: 2007

 

Projected FEI Ratings (PFEI) are calculated from five years of opponent-adjusted possession efficiency data representing the scoring advantage per non-garbage possession a team or unit would expect to have on a neutral field against an average opponent. Regular season win total projections are calculated from individual game projections based on PFEI ratings, and represent the likelihood that a team with the given rating would win a specific number of regular season games against its set of opponents.

 

2024 PFEI Preseason Projections
:: Projected Ratings and Strength of Schedule :: Regular Season Win Total Projections :: What goes into the preseason projection model?

 

Projected FEI Ratings

  

Regular Season Win Total Projections
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
1 Georgia 1.41   .172 .408 .259 .133 .022 .005 .001 - - - - - -
2 Ohio State 1.31   .142 .386 .331 .133 .007 .001 - - - - - - -
3 Oregon 1.30   .080 .313 .335 .191 .069 .011 .001 - - - - - -
4 Michigan 1.28   .100 .299 .376 .178 .036 .010 .001 - - - - - -
5 Alabama 1.21   .066 .248 .330 .229 .101 .023 .003 - - - - - -
6 Notre Dame .95   .193 .351 .304 .127 .021 .003 .001 - - - - - -
7 LSU .93   .027 .148 .289 .268 .183 .065 .015 .003 .002 - - - -
8 Penn State .92   .025 .163 .291 .293 .153 .060 .015 - - - - - -
9 Texas .92   .016 .104 .269 .337 .202 .057 .013 .002 - - - - -
10 Oklahoma .85   .009 .056 .167 .254 .266 .165 .071 .012 - - - - -
11 Washington .84   .006 .066 .169 .285 .268 .141 .052 .013 - - - - -
12 Kansas State .82   .102 .279 .280 .222 .083 .027 .006 .001 - - - - -
13 Clemson .70   .015 .134 .251 .315 .187 .066 .031 .001 - - - - -
14 Tennessee .64   .002 .026 .121 .311 .279 .190 .056 .015 - - - - -
15 Texas A&M .63   .007 .033 .122 .236 .281 .195 .096 .026 .004 - - - -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
16 Utah .62   .040 .152 .270 .260 .177 .071 .021 .007 .002 - - - -
17 Missouri .61   .007 .062 .213 .312 .246 .117 .036 .006 .001 - - - -
18 Ole Miss .61   .002 .025 .111 .238 .299 .199 .106 .017 .003 - - - -
19 Florida State .59   .011 .058 .167 .241 .248 .171 .071 .024 .008 .001 - - -
20 USC .56   - .001 .017 .080 .175 .244 .246 .152 .069 .013 .003 - -
21 Oregon State .55   .014 .107 .263 .294 .211 .077 .030 .003 .001 - - - -
22 Auburn .49   - .003 .042 .156 .255 .318 .165 .056 .005 - - - -
23 Iowa State .49   .008 .040 .115 .221 .266 .209 .105 .026 .009 .001 - - -
24 Wisconsin .46   - .006 .032 .123 .232 .252 .235 .086 .031 .003 - - -
25 Louisville .45   .005 .026 .108 .259 .265 .202 .096 .031 .007 .001 - - -
26 Oklahoma State .43   .003 .036 .108 .215 .283 .187 .110 .047 .008 .003 - - -
27 Arizona .39   .001 .025 .082 .192 .277 .228 .134 .050 .008 .003 - - -
28 TCU .39   .002 .025 .081 .194 .233 .215 .152 .075 .017 .006 - - -
29 Florida .39   - - .006 .018 .070 .152 .246 .229 .184 .074 .018 .003 -
30 UCLA .36   - - .009 .041 .122 .243 .280 .180 .092 .026 .007 - -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
31 Kentucky .35   - - .015 .054 .207 .254 .265 .149 .048 .007 .001 - -
32 Iowa .32   - .003 .019 .064 .155 .244 .267 .144 .084 .016 .004 - -
33 Washington State .31   .004 .046 .149 .246 .306 .189 .042 .016 .002 - - - -
34 Texas Tech .29   .002 .006 .054 .161 .250 .250 .169 .079 .021 .005 .003 - -
35 North Carolina .29   .004 .029 .110 .204 .268 .223 .110 .043 .006 .003 - - -
36 Maryland .28   - .006 .029 .120 .238 .275 .220 .089 .020 .003 - - -
37 Miami .28   .003 .017 .090 .180 .252 .240 .151 .050 .013 .004 - - -
38 UCF .26   .002 .004 .036 .124 .202 .269 .199 .117 .033 .013 .001 - -
39 West Virginia .26   - .003 .012 .045 .110 .200 .248 .214 .107 .048 .009 .004 -
40 SMU .25   .004 .030 .089 .175 .243 .236 .144 .064 .013 .001 .001 - -
41 James Madison .24   .062 .225 .333 .236 .110 .028 .006 - - - - - -
42 NC State .22   .002 .021 .061 .171 .275 .277 .126 .051 .014 .002 - - -
43 Duke .22   .001 .013 .054 .156 .230 .245 .183 .082 .032 .004 - - -
44 Boise State .20   .001 .029 .130 .246 .309 .178 .087 .018 .001 .001 - - -
45 Air Force .20   .017 .102 .194 .281 .233 .103 .055 .015 - - - - -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
46 Liberty .20   .135 .295 .331 .176 .046 .016 .001 - - - - - -
47 Kansas .18   .001 .003 .033 .084 .196 .252 .212 .136 .061 .020 .002 - -
48 Virginia Tech .17   .001 .011 .087 .184 .247 .236 .148 .057 .021 .006 .002 - -
49 California .16   - .003 .021 .075 .186 .233 .240 .150 .074 .018 - - -
50 South Carolina .16   - - .001 .008 .032 .135 .251 .285 .230 .056 .002 - -
51 Minnesota .13   - - .001 .019 .073 .143 .241 .266 .176 .062 .017 .002 -
52 Memphis .11   .012 .077 .196 .289 .237 .135 .043 .010 .001 - - - -
53 Troy .10   .004 .079 .149 .262 .270 .163 .060 .011 .002 - - - -
54 Baylor .08   - - .004 .029 .064 .152 .259 .229 .160 .079 .021 .003 -
55 Appalachian State .06   - .021 .077 .185 .247 .230 .142 .075 .020 .003 - - -
56 Mississippi State .06   - - .001 .005 .037 .109 .242 .285 .205 .098 .017 .001 -
57 Tulane .05   .002 .013 .095 .215 .319 .235 .097 .019 .005 - - - -
58 Purdue .05   - - - .001 .008 .040 .123 .271 .297 .195 .054 .011 -
59 BYU .02   - .001 .003 .008 .040 .140 .181 .273 .207 .098 .044 .005 -
60 Nebraska .02   - .001 .005 .033 .099 .200 .269 .211 .134 .040 .008 - -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
61 Illinois .02   - - - .008 .066 .147 .260 .268 .157 .074 .020 - -
62 Arkansas .01   - - .001 .001 .012 .058 .165 .270 .272 .168 .045 .008 -
63 Northwestern .01   - - - .001 .020 .074 .183 .268 .243 .152 .047 .012 -
64 Wake Forest .00   - .001 .008 .025 .095 .191 .237 .241 .146 .046 .010 - -
65 Pittsburgh -.02   - .002 .006 .029 .120 .195 .247 .228 .128 .040 .005 - -
66 Cincinnati -.03   - - .004 .010 .060 .147 .228 .238 .208 .079 .024 .002 -
67 Fresno State -.03   - .004 .033 .144 .279 .283 .174 .067 .014 .002 - - -
68 Louisiana -.05   .006 .032 .104 .203 .270 .202 .111 .051 .016 .004 .001 - -
69 Georgia Tech -.06   - - - .003 .013 .050 .149 .217 .287 .196 .075 .010 -
70 Virginia -.07   - - - .005 .029 .083 .165 .233 .258 .150 .066 .011 -
71 Arizona State -.10   - - .001 .003 .013 .051 .133 .224 .253 .193 .091 .037 .001
72 Houston -.11   - - - .002 .006 .027 .097 .201 .276 .253 .109 .026 .003
73 Rutgers -.12   - - .001 .008 .037 .087 .203 .257 .257 .117 .029 .004 -
74 Wyoming -.13   - .011 .036 .105 .209 .220 .201 .146 .066 .005 .001 - -
75 Colorado -.13   - - - .001 .014 .071 .131 .226 .246 .206 .085 .020 -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
76 South Alabama -.14   - .002 .037 .142 .230 .265 .190 .097 .034 .002 .001 - -
77 Indiana -.15   - - - .005 .026 .105 .240 .298 .231 .081 .012 .002 -
78 San Jose State -.16   - .002 .013 .072 .154 .255 .271 .149 .064 .018 .002 - -
79 Toledo -.16   .005 .043 .172 .242 .264 .168 .072 .028 .006 - - - -
80 Western Kentucky -.17   - .004 .056 .140 .287 .262 .167 .066 .016 .002 - - -
81 UTSA -.18   - .014 .072 .203 .271 .232 .132 .060 .012 .004 - - -
82 Michigan State -.18   - - - .001 .009 .050 .137 .268 .287 .168 .065 .015 -
83 Coastal Carolina -.19   - .004 .011 .064 .127 .237 .265 .182 .077 .025 .008 - -
84 Jacksonville State -.20   - .016 .085 .213 .288 .210 .127 .048 .012 .001 - - -
85 Boston College -.20   - .001 .001 .002 .018 .066 .173 .260 .261 .156 .056 .005 .001
86 Miami (OH) -.20   - .003 .051 .137 .228 .283 .199 .063 .034 .002 - - -
87 Stanford -.21   - - - - .005 .032 .087 .194 .256 .232 .140 .047 .007
88 Ohio -.22   .001 .014 .075 .186 .268 .230 .145 .062 .016 .003 - - -
89 Syracuse -.24   - .001 .006 .025 .082 .168 .250 .239 .153 .059 .016 .001 -
90 Marshall -.24   - .002 .006 .050 .150 .276 .254 .160 .075 .023 .004 - -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
91 San Diego State -.31   - .001 .003 .015 .063 .170 .245 .267 .159 .058 .017 .002 -
92 UNLV -.34   - - .003 .017 .072 .146 .243 .234 .175 .089 .016 .005 -
93 Georgia State -.35   - .001 .011 .058 .133 .216 .253 .196 .089 .036 .006 .001 -
94 Army -.35   - .003 .016 .079 .159 .262 .231 .140 .082 .023 .004 .001 -
95 Florida Atlantic -.37   .002 .032 .106 .175 .238 .239 .119 .067 .018 .004 - - -
96 Vanderbilt -.43   - - - - - - .007 .066 .165 .341 .302 .113 .006
97 Georgia Southern -.44   - - - .006 .014 .058 .119 .254 .280 .170 .081 .018 -
98 Arkansas State -.45   - - .002 .016 .039 .138 .223 .268 .189 .097 .025 .003 -
99 Texas State -.45   - .001 .007 .044 .099 .216 .209 .219 .121 .066 .016 .002 -
100 Navy -.46   - - .007 .012 .073 .163 .269 .219 .169 .070 .015 .003 -
101 Buffalo -.46   - .006 .042 .163 .254 .243 .183 .082 .024 .002 .001 - -
102 Utah State -.48   - - - .004 .028 .087 .224 .292 .218 .114 .026 .007 -
103 Middle Tennessee -.49   - - .003 .017 .048 .128 .249 .291 .165 .080 .017 .002 -
104 Northern Illinois -.50   - .001 .008 .035 .123 .250 .257 .200 .091 .030 .005 - -
105 UAB -.51   - .001 .006 .043 .113 .205 .267 .207 .114 .037 .006 .001 -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
106 Colorado State -.51   - - .002 .005 .022 .119 .197 .285 .223 .105 .036 .005 .001
107 Tulsa -.52   - .001 .009 .030 .101 .168 .240 .220 .148 .060 .018 .005 -
108 Old Dominion -.52   - - - .003 .009 .054 .115 .213 .239 .223 .106 .035 .003
109 South Florida -.52   - - .001 .008 .033 .105 .193 .274 .222 .123 .040 .001 -
110 East Carolina -.53   - .001 .004 .031 .082 .162 .233 .237 .159 .066 .021 .004 -
111 Rice -.59   - - .002 .019 .062 .150 .219 .258 .179 .085 .023 .003 -
112 Bowling Green -.59   - - - .007 .072 .193 .241 .264 .143 .064 .014 .002 -
113 North Texas -.60   - - - - .012 .056 .138 .218 .291 .181 .086 .018 -
114 Sam Houston -.60   - - - .015 .052 .154 .216 .272 .188 .074 .022 .007 -
115 Western Michigan -.61   - - .001 .012 .074 .182 .247 .234 .159 .070 .020 .001 -
116 Ball State -.62   - - .001 .007 .032 .106 .211 .259 .222 .113 .035 .014 -
117 New Mexico State -.62   - .001 .002 .011 .032 .124 .227 .284 .195 .098 .023 .001 .002
118 Central Michigan -.65   - - .001 .013 .053 .133 .243 .241 .188 .089 .032 .007 -
119 Southern Mississippi -.66   - - - - .005 .027 .099 .201 .253 .228 .139 .043 .005
120 Hawaii -.67   - - .002 - .016 .077 .172 .282 .245 .154 .042 .010 -
 
Rk Team PFEI   12W 11W 10W 9W 8W 7W 6W 5W 4W 3W 2W 1W 0W
121 Louisiana Tech -.67   - - - .013 .034 .131 .242 .244 .195 .098 .039 .003 .001
122 Nevada -.74   - - - - - .007 .034 .087 .203 .306 .251 .101 .011
123 Eastern Michigan -.79   - - .001 .009 .024 .100 .207 .258 .221 .131 .041 .008 -
124 UL Monroe -.82   - - - - - .001 .016 .076 .209 .281 .286 .111 .020
125 Charlotte -.85   - - - - - .007 .018 .094 .220 .286 .244 .112 .019
126 New Mexico -.86   - - - - - .004 .014 .069 .160 .295 .298 .138 .022
127 UTEP -.90   - - - .002 .004 .020 .076 .191 .295 .224 .146 .035 .007
128 Temple -.91   - - - - .001 .002 .030 .089 .183 .281 .240 .148 .026
129 Connecticut -.94   - - - .001 .004 .013 .046 .182 .265 .283 .159 .044 .003
130 Florida International -.94   - - - .002 .008 .022 .101 .178 .276 .244 .121 .043 .005
131 Kennesaw State -1.00   - - - - .001 .009 .022 .099 .225 .280 .254 .092 .018
132 Kent State -1.06   - - - - - .007 .036 .108 .204 .318 .232 .079 .016
133 Akron -1.21   - - - - - - .005 .032 .104 .239 .356 .210 .054
134 Massachusetts -1.28   - - - - - - .001 .009 .104 .284 .381 .194 .027