2019 Game Projections
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Game projections and results on this page were published in the given season and are provided only for reference. The formula used to calculate game projections has been updated each season. Data comparisons between season results may be misleading.
Average projection error (APE) is the average delta between projected margin and actual margin for all game projections, and median projection error (MPE) is the median delta. The percentage of games won by projected winners (SU) is also provided, along with the percentage of games won by projected winners within a given expected win likelihood range. (50-55 indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was between 50 and 55 percent, 95+ indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was greater than 95 percent, etc). The percentage of games won against the spread (ATS) is also provided, along with ATS success rates according to the delta between FEI projections and betting lines (3- indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by fewer than three points, 10+ indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by more than ten points, etc), and the ATS success rate in games in which FEI projections pick the underdog to win (U).
| APE | MPE | SU | 50-55 | 55-65 | 65-75 | 75-85 | 85-95 | 95+ | ATS | 3- | 3+ | 7- | 7+ | 10- | 10+ | U | ||
| 13.0 | 10.8 |
.758 | .606 | .649 | .733 | .804 | .913 | .974 | .516 | .489 | .520 | .492 | .557 | .498 | .586 | .628 |
Game Projections identify each team's per possession scoring advantage (TA), per possession offensive advantage (OA), and per possession defensive advantage (DA) in the game, calculated from current FEI ratings. The projected win likelihood (PWL) and projected margin of victory (PM) are also provided. Remaining columns detail the results of the projections including the actual final score of the game (Final), the final scoring margin (FM), the projection error represented as the absolute value of the delta between projected margin and actual margin (PE), as well as whether the projection correctly identified the game winner (SU) and winner against the betting line (ATS).
Championship Game Projection
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Clemson | LSU | .02 | .83 | -.63 | .533 | 1.6 | L 25-42 | -17 | 18.6 | Loss | Loss |
Bowl Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Washington State | .35 | 1.61 | -.85 | .685 | 9.7 | W 31-21 | 10 | .3 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Michigan | .63 | 1.44 | .11 | .823 | 18.8 | W 35-16 | 19 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | UAB | .69 | .57 | .83 | .820 | 18.5 | W 31-17 | 14 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Minnesota | .08 | .12 | -.09 | .525 | 1.2 | L 24-31 | -7 | 8.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Boise State | Washington | .09 | .05 | .05 | .538 | 1.8 | L 7-38 | -31 | 32.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Charlotte | .33 | .93 | -.11 | .687 | 9.8 | W 31-9 | 22 | 12.2 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | Hawaii | .04 | .92 | -.76 | .533 | 1.6 | L 34-38 | -4 | 5.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| California | Illinois | .06 | -.30 | .49 | .544 | 2.1 | W 35-20 | 15 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Central Florida | Marshall | .75 | 1.02 | .63 | .853 | 21.0 | W 48-25 | 23 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | San Diego State | .09 | -.11 | .47 | .572 | 3.5 | L 11-48 | -37 | 40.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Boston College | .39 | .70 | -.07 | .680 | 9.4 | W 38-6 | 32 | 22.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | Virginia | .55 | .82 | .28 | .764 | 14.6 | W 36-28 | 8 | 6.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | SMU | .09 | .53 | -.39 | .545 | 2.2 | W 52-28 | 24 | 21.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida International | Arkansas State | .00 | .32 | -.32 | .501 | .0 | L 26-34 | -8 | 8.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida State | Arizona State | .10 | .16 | .17 | .572 | 3.6 | L 14-20 | -6 | 9.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Baylor | .19 | -.42 | .63 | .579 | 3.9 | W 26-14 | 12 | 8.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Liberty | .08 | .41 | -.30 | .537 | 1.8 | L 16-23 | -7 | 8.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Indiana | Tennessee | .07 | .44 | -.29 | .540 | 1.9 | L 22-23 | -1 | 2.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Kentucky | Virginia Tech | .04 | -.17 | .28 | .525 | 1.2 | W 37-30 | 7 | 5.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Miami (OH) | .75 | .87 | .80 | .854 | 21.1 | W 27-17 | 10 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Oklahoma | .48 | 2.09 | -1.22 | .727 | 12.2 | W 63-28 | 35 | 22.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Louisiana Tech | .11 | -.02 | .45 | .587 | 4.3 | L 0-14 | -14 | 18.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Wake Forest | .09 | -.20 | .40 | .551 | 2.5 | W 27-21 | 6 | 3.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Louisville | .14 | 1.01 | -.79 | .567 | 3.3 | L 28-38 | -10 | 13.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Navy | Kansas State | .17 | .54 | -.16 | .595 | 4.7 | W 20-17 | 3 | 1.7 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Temple | .19 | .06 | .38 | .609 | 5.5 | W 55-13 | 42 | 36.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Iowa State | .25 | .43 | .05 | .629 | 6.6 | W 33-9 | 24 | 17.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Nevada | .63 | 1.15 | .04 | .790 | 16.3 | W 30-21 | 9 | 7.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Clemson | .22 | .43 | -.10 | .601 | 5.1 | L 23-29 | -6 | 11.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Memphis | .09 | .56 | -.43 | .541 | 2.0 | W 53-39 | 14 | 12.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Eastern Michigan | .14 | -.02 | .35 | .582 | 4.1 | W 34-30 | 4 | .1 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas A&M | Oklahoma State | .09 | .43 | -.13 | .566 | 3.2 | W 24-21 | 3 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulane | Southern Mississippi | .22 | .63 | -.12 | .625 | 6.4 | W 30-13 | 17 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| USC | Iowa | -.03 | .00 | .09 | .504 | .2 | L 24-49 | -25 | 25.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Texas | .46 | .94 | .03 | .732 | 12.5 | L 10-38 | -28 | 40.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Utah State | Kent State | .08 | .67 | -.50 | .546 | 2.3 | L 41-51 | -10 | 12.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Western Michigan | .18 | .36 | -.12 | .581 | 4.0 | W 23-20 | 3 | 1.0 | Win | Push | |||
| Wisconsin | Oregon | .32 | .57 | .04 | .661 | 8.3 | L 27-28 | -1 | 9.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | Georgia State | .27 | .71 | -.32 | .622 | 6.2 | W 38-17 | 21 | 14.8 | Win | Loss |
Week 15/16 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Appalachian State | Louisiana Lafayette | -.04 | .23 | -.29 | .553 | 2.6 | W 45-38 | 7 | 4.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Hawaii | .47 | 1.32 | -.48 | .775 | 15.4 | W 31-10 | 21 | 5.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Miami (OH) | .28 | .38 | .41 | .674 | 9.1 | L 21-26 | -5 | 14.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Virginia | 1.24 | 1.31 | 1.34 | .984 | 34.2 | W 62-17 | 45 | 10.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | UAB | .58 | .36 | .71 | .817 | 18.3 | W 49-6 | 43 | 24.7 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Georgia | .32 | .91 | -.10 | .684 | 9.7 | W 37-10 | 27 | 17.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Cincinnati | .32 | .83 | -.16 | .726 | 12.2 | W 29-24 | 5 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Navy | Army | .57 | 1.16 | .02 | .776 | 15.4 | W 31-7 | 24 | 8.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Wisconsin | .58 | 1.10 | .00 | .769 | 15.0 | W 34-21 | 13 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Baylor | .19 | 1.12 | -.71 | .604 | 5.2 | W 30-23 | 7 | 1.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | Oregon | .39 | .40 | .30 | .688 | 9.9 | L 15-37 | -22 | 31.9 | Loss | Loss |
Week 14 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Wyoming | .46 | .90 | -.01 | .778 | 15.5 | W 20-6 | 14 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Auburn | .67 | 1.03 | .55 | .783 | 15.9 | L 45-48 | -3 | 18.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Troy | .63 | 1.28 | -.03 | .743 | 13.2 | W 48-13 | 35 | 21.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Arizona | .32 | .59 | .02 | .721 | 11.9 | W 24-14 | 10 | 1.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | South Alabama | .46 | .34 | .54 | .662 | 8.4 | L 30-34 | -4 | 12.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Ball State | Miami (OH) | .02 | -.23 | .43 | .603 | 5.2 | W 41-27 | 14 | 8.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | Kansas | 1.06 | 1.25 | .89 | .899 | 24.9 | W 61-6 | 55 | 30.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Colorado State | .93 | .93 | .76 | .841 | 20.1 | W 31-24 | 7 | 13.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Bowling Green | 1.33 | 1.07 | 1.62 | .990 | 39.0 | W 49-7 | 42 | 3.0 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | San Diego State | .21 | -.02 | .49 | .550 | 2.5 | L 3-13 | -10 | 12.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Central Florida | South Florida | .97 | .84 | 1.01 | .939 | 28.8 | W 34-7 | 27 | 1.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | Toledo | .32 | .77 | -.05 | .732 | 12.6 | W 49-7 | 42 | 29.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Charlotte | Old Dominion | .55 | .86 | .17 | .700 | 10.6 | W 38-22 | 16 | 5.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | South Carolina | 1.36 | .73 | 2.15 | .981 | 33.8 | W 38-3 | 35 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Texas State | .29 | .38 | .19 | .708 | 11.1 | W 24-21 | 3 | 8.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Kent State | .28 | 1.41 | -.81 | .710 | 11.2 | L 26-34 | -8 | 19.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida | Florida State | .38 | .28 | .43 | .743 | 13.2 | W 40-17 | 23 | 9.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Southern Mississippi | .48 | .58 | .33 | .784 | 16.0 | W 34-17 | 17 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | San Jose State | .21 | 1.39 | -.92 | .551 | 2.5 | L 16-17 | -1 | 3.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Georgia | Georgia Tech | 1.32 | 1.05 | 1.37 | .951 | 30.1 | W 52-7 | 45 | 14.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | Georgia Southern | .15 | .88 | -.50 | .521 | 1.0 | L 10-38 | -28 | 29.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | Army | .00 | .75 | -.67 | .582 | 4.0 | W 52-31 | 21 | 17.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Illinois | Northwestern | .36 | -.76 | 1.44 | .736 | 12.8 | L 10-29 | -19 | 31.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Purdue | .27 | .88 | -.44 | .560 | 2.9 | W 44-41 | 3 | .1 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Nebraska | .67 | .08 | 1.02 | .734 | 12.7 | W 27-24 | 3 | 9.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa State | Kansas State | .28 | .63 | -.08 | .579 | 3.9 | L 17-27 | -10 | 13.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Kentucky | Louisville | -.07 | .33 | -.53 | .526 | 1.2 | W 45-13 | 32 | 30.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Liberty | New Mexico State | .61 | 1.13 | .02 | .830 | 19.3 | W 49-28 | 21 | 1.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Louisiana Monroe | .75 | 1.85 | -.38 | .881 | 23.3 | W 31-30 | 1 | 22.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | UTSA | .97 | 1.22 | .59 | .935 | 28.4 | W 41-27 | 14 | 14.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Texas A&M | .71 | 1.54 | -.17 | .866 | 22.0 | W 50-7 | 43 | 21.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Marshall | Florida International | .24 | .13 | .10 | .661 | 8.3 | W 30-27 | 3 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Cincinnati | .32 | .87 | -.21 | .725 | 12.1 | W 34-24 | 10 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | Duke | .43 | -.06 | 1.05 | .669 | 8.8 | L 17-27 | -10 | 18.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Maryland | .86 | .66 | 1.12 | .918 | 26.7 | W 19-16 | 3 | 23.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Mississippi | .07 | .49 | -.38 | .604 | 5.2 | W 21-20 | 1 | 4.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | Arkansas | .73 | .69 | .74 | .781 | 15.7 | W 24-14 | 10 | 5.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Navy | Houston | .67 | 1.10 | .33 | .767 | 14.8 | W 56-41 | 15 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | UNLV | -.06 | -.37 | .24 | .540 | 1.9 | L 30-33 | -3 | 4.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| North Carolina | North Carolina State | .69 | 1.00 | .40 | .769 | 14.9 | W 41-10 | 31 | 16.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Stanford | 1.11 | 1.16 | 1.07 | .912 | 26.1 | W 45-24 | 21 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Akron | 1.25 | 1.47 | .92 | .940 | 29.0 | W 52-3 | 49 | 20.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Michigan | .79 | .76 | .81 | .805 | 17.4 | W 56-27 | 29 | 11.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | .48 | 1.80 | -.77 | .686 | 9.7 | W 34-16 | 18 | 8.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon | Oregon State | .80 | 1.97 | -.20 | .910 | 25.9 | W 24-10 | 14 | 11.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Rutgers | 1.83 | 1.65 | 1.88 | .990 | 51.3 | W 27-6 | 21 | 30.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Boston College | .10 | .10 | .01 | .610 | 5.5 | L 19-26 | -7 | 12.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Rice | UTEP | .53 | .69 | .33 | .696 | 10.4 | W 30-16 | 14 | 3.6 | Win | Win | |||
| SMU | Tulane | .23 | 1.24 | -.80 | .682 | 9.5 | W 37-20 | 17 | 7.5 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | West Virginia | .68 | .49 | .75 | .851 | 20.8 | L 17-20 | -3 | 23.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Temple | Connecticut | 1.20 | .83 | 1.43 | .986 | 34.5 | W 49-17 | 32 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Tennessee | Vanderbilt | .74 | .67 | .83 | .881 | 23.3 | W 28-10 | 18 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas | Texas Tech | .32 | .97 | -.28 | .730 | 12.4 | W 49-24 | 25 | 12.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulsa | East Carolina | .58 | 1.04 | .24 | .736 | 12.8 | W 49-24 | 25 | 12.2 | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | North Texas | .33 | .38 | .37 | .616 | 5.9 | W 26-21 | 5 | 0.9 | Win | Win | |||
| UCLA | California | -.03 | -.03 | -.07 | .550 | 2.5 | L 18-28 | -10 | 12.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Utah | Colorado | 1.28 | 1.82 | .81 | .990 | 38.1 | W 45-15 | 30 | 8.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah State | New Mexico | .58 | .76 | .41 | .723 | 12.0 | W 38-25 | 13 | 1.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia | Virginia Tech | -.10 | -.08 | -.17 | .510 | .5 | W 39-30 | 9 | 8.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Syracuse | .56 | .59 | .49 | .709 | 11.1 | L 30-39 | -9 | 20.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Washington State | .11 | 1.00 | -.62 | .645 | 7.4 | W 31-13 | 18 | 10.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | .52 | .45 | .55 | .801 | 17.1 | W 31-26 | 5 | 12.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Northern Illinois | .47 | 1.29 | -.11 | .699 | 10.5 | L 14-17 | -3 | 13.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Minnesota | .22 | .97 | -.56 | .546 | 2.2 | W 38-17 | 21 | 18.8 | Win | Loss |
Week 13 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | New Mexico | 1.36 | 1.85 | .82 | .970 | 32.3 | W 44-22 | 22 | 10.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Texas State | 1.00 | .53 | 1.49 | .952 | 30.2 | W 35-13 | 22 | 8.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | Georgia Southern | .19 | .24 | .10 | .659 | 8.2 | W 38-33 | 5 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Ball State | Kent State | .35 | 1.02 | -.21 | .628 | 6.5 | L 38-41 | -3 | 9.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Baylor | Texas | .11 | .48 | -.24 | .629 | 6.5 | W 24-10 | 14 | 7.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Utah State | .63 | .41 | .82 | .739 | 13.0 | W 56-21 | 35 | 22.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Toledo | .45 | .20 | .73 | .780 | 15.7 | W 49-30 | 19 | 3.3 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | Massachusetts | 1.98 | 2.87 | 1.06 | .990 | 48.9 | W 56-24 | 32 | 16.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| California | Stanford | .19 | .07 | .31 | .531 | 1.5 | W 24-20 | 4 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Tulane | .66 | 1.43 | -.16 | .751 | 13.7 | W 34-31 | 3 | 10.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Temple | .43 | -.06 | 1.00 | .777 | 15.4 | W 15-13 | 2 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| East Carolina | Connecticut | .59 | 1.39 | -.33 | .714 | 11.5 | W 31-24 | 7 | 4.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | UTSA | 1.32 | 1.44 | 1.02 | .953 | 30.4 | W 40-26 | 14 | 16.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | Nevada | .58 | .75 | .46 | .830 | 19.3 | L 28-35 | -7 | 26.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Texas A&M | .50 | .44 | .34 | .776 | 15.4 | W 19-13 | 6 | 9.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia State | South Alabama | .38 | .90 | -.16 | .748 | 13.5 | W 28-15 | 13 | .5 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Tech | North Carolina State | .16 | .10 | .30 | .661 | 8.3 | W 28-26 | 2 | 6.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Hawaii | San Diego State | .00 | .36 | -.27 | .582 | 4.1 | W 14-11 | 3 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Illinois | .66 | -.02 | 1.19 | .841 | 20.1 | W 19-10 | 9 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa State | Kansas | 1.09 | 1.66 | .53 | .971 | 32.5 | W 41-31 | 10 | 22.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kansas State | Texas Tech | .31 | .58 | .12 | .607 | 5.3 | W 30-27 | 3 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Troy | .50 | 1.89 | -.85 | .801 | 17.1 | W 53-3 | 50 | 32.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Monroe | Coastal Carolina | .11 | 1.09 | -.69 | .649 | 7.6 | W 45-42 | 3 | 4.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | UAB | .39 | .23 | .38 | .615 | 5.8 | L 14-20 | -6 | 11.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Louisville | Syracuse | .42 | .67 | .15 | .762 | 14.5 | W 56-34 | 22 | 7.5 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Arkansas | 1.73 | 2.71 | .76 | .990 | 49.6 | W 56-20 | 36 | 13.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Charlotte | .39 | 1.37 | -.65 | .629 | 6.5 | L 13-24 | -11 | 17.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Memphis | South Florida | .77 | .91 | .52 | .789 | 16.3 | W 49-10 | 39 | 22.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | Florida International | .59 | .55 | .73 | .736 | 12.8 | L 24-30 | -6 | 18.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Miami (OH) | Akron | 1.29 | .43 | 1.91 | .990 | 36.2 | W 20-17 | 3 | 33.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Indiana | .43 | .70 | .26 | .665 | 8.6 | W 39-14 | 25 | 16.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Michigan State | Rutgers | 1.26 | 1.02 | 1.53 | .952 | 30.2 | W 27-0 | 27 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Middle Tennessee | Old Dominion | .40 | .22 | .72 | .771 | 15.1 | W 38-17 | 21 | 5.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Minnesota | Northwestern | 1.04 | .54 | 1.59 | .895 | 24.5 | W 38-22 | 16 | 8.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | Tennessee | .04 | -.43 | .65 | .611 | 5.6 | L 20-24 | -4 | 9.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | SMU | -.04 | .73 | -.82 | .551 | 2.5 | W 35-28 | 7 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Maryland | .31 | .53 | .29 | .621 | 6.1 | W 54-7 | 47 | 40.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| New Mexico State | UTEP | .27 | .68 | -.13 | .702 | 10.7 | W 44-35 | 9 | 1.7 | Win | Win | |||
| North Texas | Rice | .25 | .37 | .05 | .553 | 2.6 | L 14-20 | -6 | 8.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Northern Illinois | Eastern Michigan | .00 | .48 | -.59 | .556 | 2.7 | L 17-45 | -28 | 30.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Boston College | .84 | 1.43 | .13 | .900 | 25.0 | W 40-7 | 33 | 8.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Bowling Green | 1.04 | 1.38 | .56 | .880 | 23.2 | W 66-24 | 42 | 18.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Penn State | .91 | 1.23 | .63 | .931 | 27.9 | W 28-17 | 11 | 16.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | TCU | .56 | 1.68 | -.44 | .829 | 19.2 | W 28-24 | 4 | 15.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | West Virginia | .78 | .99 | .50 | .796 | 16.8 | W 20-13 | 7 | 9.8 | Win | Push | |||
| Oregon | Arizona State | .79 | .91 | .78 | .818 | 18.3 | L 28-31 | -3 | 21.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| San Jose State | UNLV | .30 | .92 | -.42 | .577 | 3.8 | L 35-38 | -3 | 6.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Tulsa | Houston | .12 | .40 | .01 | .653 | 7.9 | L 14-24 | -10 | 17.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| USC | UCLA | .52 | .78 | .28 | .806 | 17.5 | W 52-35 | 17 | .5 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | Arizona | 1.28 | 1.59 | .97 | .955 | 30.6 | W 35-7 | 28 | 2.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | Liberty | .39 | .72 | -.07 | .740 | 13.0 | W 55-27 | 28 | 15.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Pittsburgh | -.02 | -.59 | .45 | .547 | 2.3 | W 28-0 | 28 | 25.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wake Forest | Duke | .25 | -.10 | .52 | .683 | 9.6 | W 39-27 | 12 | 2.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington | Colorado | .70 | 1.26 | .23 | .782 | 15.8 | L 14-20 | -6 | 21.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington State | Oregon State | .40 | 2.09 | -1.45 | .741 | 13.1 | W 54-53 | 1 | 12.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Southern Mississippi | .24 | .15 | .32 | .558 | 2.8 | W 28-10 | 18 | 15.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Purdue | 1.07 | 1.49 | .75 | .973 | 32.7 | W 45-24 | 21 | 11.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | Colorado State | .45 | .46 | .36 | .769 | 15.0 | W 17-7 | 10 | 5.0 | Win | Win |
Week 12 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Colorado State | .94 | 1.45 | .24 | .843 | 20.2 | W 38-21 | 17 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Mississippi State | 1.08 | 2.20 | .15 | .915 | 26.4 | W 38-7 | 31 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | Georgia State | .47 | 1.18 | -.33 | .661 | 8.3 | W 56-27 | 29 | 20.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | Oregon State | .15 | .96 | -.67 | .509 | .4 | L 34-35 | -1 | 1.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina | .31 | .98 | -.33 | .722 | 11.9 | W 28-27 | 1 | 10.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Ball State | Central Michigan | .01 | -.09 | .07 | .572 | 3.6 | L 44-45 | -1 | 4.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Boise State | New Mexico | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.07 | .986 | 34.5 | W 42-9 | 33 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Kent State | .55 | .86 | .33 | .719 | 11.8 | L 27-30 | -3 | 14.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | South Florida | .75 | .35 | 1.18 | .793 | 16.6 | W 20-17 | 3 | 13.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Wake Forest | 1.15 | 1.08 | 1.34 | .989 | 34.9 | W 52-3 | 49 | 14.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Duke | Syracuse | .51 | .10 | .93 | .802 | 17.2 | L 6-49 | -43 | 60.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Akron | .94 | .93 | .87 | .852 | 21.0 | W 42-14 | 28 | 7.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | Missouri | .40 | .24 | .57 | .641 | 7.2 | W 23-6 | 17 | 9.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Auburn | .27 | -.39 | .78 | .556 | 2.7 | W 21-14 | 7 | 4.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | UNLV | .51 | 1.29 | -.26 | .692 | 10.1 | W 21-7 | 14 | 3.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Texas | .14 | 1.20 | -.84 | .651 | 7.7 | W 23-21 | 2 | 5.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kansas State | West Virginia | .94 | .86 | 1.00 | .935 | 28.4 | L 20-24 | -4 | 32.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Vanderbilt | .49 | .33 | .75 | .694 | 10.2 | W 38-14 | 24 | 13.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | South Alabama | 1.20 | 1.24 | 1.22 | .939 | 28.8 | W 37-27 | 10 | 18.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Monroe | Georgia Southern | .13 | .76 | -.41 | .511 | .5 | L 29-51 | -22 | 22.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Marshall | .37 | .72 | .18 | .644 | 7.4 | L 10-31 | -21 | 28.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisville | North Carolina State | .58 | .95 | .25 | .725 | 12.1 | W 34-20 | 14 | 1.9 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Mississippi | 1.10 | 1.74 | .49 | .910 | 26.0 | W 58-37 | 21 | 5.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Houston | .59 | 1.29 | -.11 | .725 | 12.1 | W 45-27 | 18 | 5.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami (OH) | Bowling Green | .83 | .29 | 1.26 | .899 | 24.9 | W 44-3 | 41 | 16.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Michigan State | .28 | -.31 | .85 | .704 | 10.8 | W 44-10 | 34 | 23.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Middle Tennessee | Rice | .48 | .46 | .46 | .786 | 16.1 | L 28-31 | -3 | 19.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Iowa | .12 | .07 | .40 | .525 | 1.2 | L 19-23 | -4 | 5.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | Pittsburgh | .14 | -.35 | .59 | .500 | .0 | L 27-34 | -7 | 7.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | Massachusetts | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.84 | .990 | 51.3 | W 45-6 | 39 | 12.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Navy | -.09 | .00 | -.24 | .513 | .6 | W 52-20 | 32 | 31.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Rutgers | 2.84 | 2.97 | 2.61 | .990 | 71.4 | W 56-21 | 35 | 36.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Baylor | .27 | 1.41 | -.83 | .579 | 3.9 | W 34-31 | 3 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Kansas | .73 | 1.36 | .07 | .874 | 22.7 | W 31-13 | 18 | 4.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Arizona | .93 | 1.45 | .38 | .932 | 28.0 | W 34-6 | 28 | .0 | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Indiana | .54 | 1.05 | .09 | .816 | 18.2 | W 34-27 | 7 | 11.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | Fresno State | -.05 | -.04 | -.18 | .528 | 1.3 | W 17-7 | 10 | 8.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Southern Mississippi | UTSA | 1.11 | 1.72 | .36 | .901 | 25.1 | W 36-17 | 19 | 6.1 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Texas Tech | .36 | .28 | .43 | .619 | 6.0 | W 33-31 | 2 | 4.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | South Carolina | .20 | -.01 | .53 | .683 | 9.6 | W 30-6 | 24 | 14.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Toledo | Northern Illinois | -.07 | .16 | -.16 | .551 | 2.5 | L 28-31 | -3 | 5.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Troy | Texas State | .44 | .81 | .11 | .664 | 8.5 | W 63-27 | 36 | 27.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Tulane | Temple | .34 | .55 | .28 | .630 | 6.6 | L 21-29 | -8 | 14.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| UAB | UTEP | .91 | 1.04 | .82 | .930 | 27.9 | W 37-10 | 27 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| USC | California | .33 | .16 | .54 | .610 | 5.5 | W 41-17 | 24 | 18.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | UCLA | .92 | 1.11 | .78 | .934 | 28.3 | W 49-3 | 46 | 17.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | .20 | .20 | .14 | .528 | 1.4 | W 45-0 | 45 | 43.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Washington State | Stanford | .44 | 1.19 | -.46 | .758 | 14.2 | W 49-22 | 27 | 12.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Ohio | .22 | 1.50 | -.86 | .574 | 3.6 | W 37-34 | 3 | .6 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Nebraska | 1.28 | 1.37 | 1.15 | .952 | 30.2 | W 37-21 | 16 | 14.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Wyoming | Utah State | .41 | .45 | .38 | .646 | 7.5 | L 21-26 | -5 | 12.5 | Loss | Loss |
Week 11 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | LSU | .27 | 1.69 | -1.03 | .715 | 11.5 | L 41-46 | -5 | 16.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | South Carolina | .16 | -.23 | .64 | .528 | 1.4 | W 20-15 | 5 | 3.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Army | Massachusetts | 1.86 | 2.72 | .94 | .990 | 52.6 | W 63-7 | 56 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | TCU | .15 | .10 | .27 | .522 | 1.0 | W 29-23 | 6 | 5.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Wyoming | .18 | .44 | -.11 | .658 | 8.1 | W 20-17 | 3 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| BYU | Liberty | .33 | .77 | -.15 | .724 | 12.1 | W 31-24 | 7 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Tulsa | .87 | 1.06 | .59 | .828 | 19.1 | L 31-34 | -3 | 22.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Charlotte | UTEP | 1.08 | 2.12 | -.20 | .884 | 23.6 | W 28-21 | 7 | 16.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Connecticut | 1.46 | 1.57 | 1.37 | .990 | 42.5 | W 48-3 | 45 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | North Carolina State | 1.68 | 1.26 | 2.24 | .990 | 42.2 | W 55-10 | 45 | 2.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Colorado | Stanford | -.09 | .57 | -.71 | .528 | 1.4 | W 16-13 | 3 | 1.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida | Vanderbilt | .95 | 1.09 | .88 | .943 | 29.3 | W 56-0 | 56 | 26.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Florida International | .57 | .72 | .28 | .809 | 17.7 | W 37-7 | 30 | 12.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida State | Boston College | .18 | .65 | -.31 | .526 | 1.3 | W 38-31 | 7 | 5.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | Utah State | .29 | .31 | .36 | .721 | 11.8 | L 35-37 | -2 | 13.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Missouri | .71 | .35 | .88 | .854 | 21.1 | W 27-0 | 27 | 5.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia State | Louisiana Monroe | .34 | 1.84 | -1.17 | .609 | 5.5 | L 31-45 | -14 | 19.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | San Jose State | .24 | 1.52 | -.99 | .694 | 10.2 | W 42-40 | 2 | 8.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Tennessee | -.10 | -.54 | .49 | .538 | 1.9 | L 13-17 | -4 | 5.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Coastal Carolina | .52 | 1.17 | .14 | .726 | 12.2 | W 48-7 | 41 | 28.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | North Texas | .48 | 1.01 | -.03 | .791 | 16.4 | W 52-17 | 35 | 18.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | Louisville | -.02 | .09 | .07 | .585 | 4.2 | W 52-27 | 25 | 20.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Michigan State | Illinois | .45 | -.21 | 1.16 | .782 | 15.8 | L 34-37 | -3 | 18.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Penn State | -.11 | .17 | -.20 | .538 | 1.8 | W 31-26 | 5 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi | New Mexico State | .90 | .86 | .77 | .914 | 26.3 | W 41-3 | 38 | 11.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Duke | .43 | .05 | .78 | .650 | 7.7 | W 38-7 | 31 | 23.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Miami (OH) | .17 | .41 | -.10 | .653 | 7.9 | L 21-24 | -3 | 10.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Maryland | 2.12 | 2.33 | 1.90 | .990 | 59.8 | W 73-14 | 59 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Iowa State | .34 | 1.95 | -1.28 | .730 | 12.4 | W 42-41 | 1 | 11.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Old Dominion | UTSA | .42 | .04 | .61 | .747 | 13.5 | L 23-24 | -1 | 14.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Northwestern | .20 | -.57 | .98 | .540 | 1.9 | W 24-22 | 2 | .1 | Win | Win | |||
| San Diego State | Nevada | .74 | .24 | 1.22 | .878 | 23.1 | L 13-17 | -4 | 27.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| SMU | East Carolina | 1.25 | 2.04 | .51 | .990 | 37.1 | W 59-51 | 8 | 29.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Florida | Temple | -.11 | -.78 | .60 | .518 | .9 | L 7-17 | -10 | 10.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Southern Mississippi | UAB | .06 | .47 | -.45 | .590 | 4.5 | W 37-2 | 35 | 30.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | Kansas State | -.01 | .44 | -.53 | .558 | 2.8 | W 27-24 | 3 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas State | South Alabama | .13 | -1.05 | 1.31 | .637 | 7.0 | W 30-28 | 2 | 5.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas Tech | West Virginia | .30 | .27 | .18 | .570 | 3.5 | W 38-17 | 21 | 17.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | Kent State | .09 | .73 | -.52 | .620 | 6.1 | W 35-33 | 2 | 4.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Troy | Georgia Southern | -.01 | .68 | -.64 | .573 | 3.6 | W 49-28 | 21 | 17.4 | Win | Win | |||
| USC | Arizona State | .33 | .45 | .30 | .615 | 5.8 | W 31-26 | 5 | .8 | Win | Push | |||
| Virginia | Georgia Tech | .37 | .26 | .45 | .741 | 13.1 | W 33-28 | 5 | 8.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Virginia Tech | .41 | .67 | .16 | .645 | 7.4 | L 17-36 | -19 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Oregon State | .59 | 2.24 | -.98 | .734 | 12.7 | W 19-7 | 12 | .7 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington State | California | .53 | 1.02 | -.06 | .689 | 9.9 | L 20-33 | -13 | 22.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Arkansas | .63 | .36 | .93 | .747 | 13.5 | W 45-19 | 26 | 12.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Ball State | .19 | .35 | .03 | .664 | 8.5 | W 35-31 | 4 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Iowa | .46 | .25 | .83 | .796 | 16.8 | W 24-22 | 2 | 14.8 | Win | Loss |
Week 10 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Army | .77 | 1.56 | -.12 | .880 | 23.2 | W 17-13 | 4 | 19.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Georgia Southern | .79 | .70 | .81 | .890 | 24.1 | L 21-24 | -3 | 27.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arizona | Oregon State | .14 | 1.21 | -.91 | .644 | 7.4 | L 38-56 | -18 | 25.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | Louisiana Monroe | .15 | 1.04 | -.80 | .502 | .1 | W 48-41 | 7 | 6.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Mississippi | .67 | .08 | 1.13 | .847 | 20.5 | W 20-14 | 6 | 14.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Baylor | West Virginia | 1.15 | 1.57 | .75 | .985 | 34.2 | W 17-14 | 3 | 31.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | San Jose State | .86 | 1.04 | .60 | .826 | 18.9 | W 52-42 | 10 | 8.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boston College | Syracuse | .18 | .39 | -.03 | .528 | 1.3 | W 58-27 | 31 | 29.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Bowling Green | Akron | -.07 | -.33 | .04 | .515 | .7 | W 35-6 | 29 | 28.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Eastern Michigan | .17 | .20 | .23 | .535 | 1.7 | W 43-14 | 29 | 27.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Houston | .87 | 1.38 | .31 | .914 | 26.3 | W 44-29 | 15 | 11.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | East Carolina | 1.59 | 1.48 | 1.77 | .990 | 39.3 | W 46-43 | 3 | 36.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Troy | .11 | .91 | -.90 | .599 | 5.0 | W 36-35 | 1 | 4.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Colorado State | UNLV | .04 | .24 | -.11 | .597 | 4.9 | W 37-17 | 20 | 15.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida International | Old Dominion | .52 | .50 | .75 | .823 | 18.7 | W 24-17 | 7 | 11.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida State | Miami | .14 | -.10 | .24 | .625 | 6.4 | L 10-27 | -17 | 23.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Florida | .50 | .11 | .70 | .723 | 12.0 | W 24-17 | 7 | 5.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Hawaii | Fresno State | -.11 | .78 | -.93 | .523 | 1.1 | L 38-41 | -3 | 4.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Illinois | Rutgers | 1.08 | .72 | 1.42 | .969 | 32.2 | W 38-10 | 28 | 4.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Indiana | Northwestern | .31 | -.14 | .60 | .702 | 10.7 | W 34-3 | 31 | 20.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Kansas | .61 | 1.08 | .21 | .742 | 13.1 | W 38-10 | 28 | 14.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Liberty | Massachusetts | 1.40 | 2.29 | .50 | .980 | 33.6 | W 63-21 | 42 | 8.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Texas State | .68 | .41 | 1.13 | .874 | 22.7 | W 31-3 | 28 | 5.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Rice | .67 | .52 | .50 | .726 | 12.2 | W 20-7 | 13 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | SMU | -.05 | .60 | -.75 | .539 | 1.9 | W 54-48 | 6 | 4.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Maryland | 1.01 | .80 | 1.29 | .887 | 23.9 | W 38-7 | 31 | 7.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Middle Tennessee | Charlotte | .11 | 1.29 | -.86 | .517 | .8 | L 20-34 | -14 | 14.8 | Loss | Win | |||
| Mississippi State | Arkansas | .46 | .83 | .11 | .670 | 8.9 | W 54-24 | 30 | 21.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Navy | Connecticut | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.45 | .990 | 39.2 | W 56-10 | 46 | 6.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | New Mexico | .00 | .18 | -.17 | .573 | 3.6 | W 21-10 | 11 | 7.4 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Virginia | .21 | -.07 | .55 | .681 | 9.5 | L 31-38 | -7 | 16.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| North Texas | UTEP | 1.05 | 1.62 | .36 | .956 | 30.6 | W 52-26 | 26 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Northern Illinois | Central Michigan | .21 | .12 | .18 | .527 | 1.3 | L 10-48 | -38 | 39.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Virginia Tech | .78 | 1.03 | .47 | .887 | 23.9 | W 21-20 | 1 | 22.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon | USC | .21 | .30 | .11 | .543 | 2.1 | W 56-24 | 32 | 29.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Georgia Tech | .42 | -.08 | 1.07 | .667 | 8.7 | W 20-10 | 10 | 1.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Nebraska | .05 | -.01 | -.01 | .581 | 4.0 | W 31-27 | 4 | .0 | Win | Win | |||
| South Carolina | Vanderbilt | .48 | .08 | .86 | .786 | 16.1 | W 24-7 | 17 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Oklahoma State | .23 | .32 | .14 | .553 | 2.6 | L 27-34 | -7 | 9.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | UAB | -.02 | -.04 | -.17 | .538 | 1.8 | W 30-7 | 23 | 21.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | UTSA | 1.39 | 1.66 | 1.01 | .990 | 39.7 | W 45-14 | 31 | 8.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulane | Tulsa | .20 | .64 | -.42 | .650 | 7.7 | W 38-26 | 12 | 4.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| UCLA | Colorado | .21 | 1.03 | -.51 | .687 | 9.8 | W 31-14 | 17 | 7.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | Washington | .67 | 1.06 | .34 | .766 | 14.7 | W 33-28 | 5 | 9.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah State | BYU | -.09 | -.61 | .36 | .514 | .7 | L 14-42 | -28 | 28.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | North Carolina State | .62 | .73 | .54 | .842 | 20.2 | W 44-10 | 34 | 13.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Florida Atlantic | -.15 | -.67 | .53 | .511 | .5 | L 24-35 | -11 | 11.5 | Loss | Loss |
Week 9 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Utah State | .64 | .71 | .62 | .851 | 20.8 | W 31-7 | 24 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Arkansas | 1.89 | 2.86 | 1.18 | .990 | 55.6 | W 48-7 | 41 | 14.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | South Alabama | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.44 | .940 | 29.0 | W 30-3 | 27 | 2.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona | Stanford | .19 | .03 | .46 | .547 | 2.3 | L 31-41 | -10 | 12.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arizona State | UCLA | .38 | .24 | .42 | .616 | 5.9 | L 32-42 | -10 | 15.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | Texas State | .29 | .00 | .56 | .708 | 11.1 | W 38-14 | 24 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Army | San Jose State | .30 | .63 | -.12 | .705 | 10.9 | L 29-34 | -5 | 15.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ball State | Ohio | .15 | .44 | -.01 | .661 | 8.4 | L 21-34 | -13 | 21.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Central Michigan | .09 | -.42 | .67 | .625 | 6.3 | W 43-20 | 23 | 16.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Temple | .76 | .45 | 1.15 | .803 | 17.3 | W 63-21 | 42 | 24.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Charlotte | North Texas | -.07 | .95 | -1.28 | .507 | .3 | W 39-38 | 1 | .7 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Boston College | 1.24 | 1.14 | 1.34 | .990 | 36.5 | W 59-7 | 52 | 15.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Connecticut | Massachusetts | .74 | 1.13 | .33 | .786 | 16.1 | W 56-35 | 21 | 4.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Toledo | .27 | .72 | -.27 | .564 | 3.1 | L 34-37 | -3 | 6.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Old Dominion | .75 | .22 | 1.25 | .788 | 16.2 | W 41-3 | 38 | 21.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida International | Middle Tennessee | .45 | 1.13 | -.25 | .661 | 8.3 | L 17-50 | -33 | 41.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida State | Syracuse | .35 | .33 | .36 | .735 | 12.7 | W 35-17 | 18 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | Colorado State | .69 | .97 | .36 | .858 | 21.4 | L 31-41 | -10 | 31.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia Southern | New Mexico State | .22 | .25 | .00 | .658 | 8.2 | W 41-7 | 34 | 25.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia State | Troy | .02 | 1.15 | -1.00 | .597 | 4.8 | W 52-33 | 19 | 14.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Hawaii | New Mexico | .67 | 1.68 | -.21 | .773 | 15.2 | W 45-31 | 14 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Indiana | Nebraska | .45 | .45 | .14 | .627 | 6.5 | W 38-31 | 7 | .5 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Northwestern | .68 | -.72 | 1.95 | .751 | 13.7 | W 20-0 | 20 | 6.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Oklahoma State | .58 | 1.56 | -.33 | .832 | 19.4 | L 27-34 | -7 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Kent State | Miami (OH) | -.03 | .61 | -.59 | .566 | 3.2 | L 16-23 | -7 | 10.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Liberty | Rutgers | .84 | .47 | 1.29 | .832 | 19.4 | L 34-44 | -10 | 29.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | UTEP | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.14 | .954 | 30.4 | W 42-21 | 21 | 9.4 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Auburn | .48 | 1.18 | -.07 | .803 | 17.3 | W 23-20 | 3 | 14.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Tulsa | .67 | .58 | .59 | .742 | 13.2 | W 42-41 | 1 | 12.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Maryland | .90 | 1.34 | .63 | .937 | 28.6 | W 52-10 | 42 | 13.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | Kentucky | .74 | .45 | .91 | .775 | 15.3 | L 7-29 | -22 | 37.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | Tulane | .54 | 1.05 | .22 | .829 | 19.2 | W 41-38 | 3 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Carolina | Duke | .10 | -.13 | .28 | .616 | 5.8 | W 20-17 | 3 | 2.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Northern Illinois | Akron | .82 | .52 | .92 | .888 | 23.9 | W 49-0 | 49 | 25.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Michigan | .36 | .16 | .51 | .613 | 5.7 | L 14-45 | -31 | 36.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Wisconsin | .39 | .73 | -.02 | .746 | 13.4 | W 38-7 | 31 | 17.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Kansas State | .82 | 1.72 | .03 | .827 | 19.0 | L 41-48 | -7 | 26.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| Oregon | Washington State | .39 | 1.28 | -.29 | .774 | 15.3 | W 37-35 | 2 | 13.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Michigan State | .41 | .08 | .65 | .634 | 6.8 | W 28-7 | 21 | 14.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Miami | .19 | -.39 | .71 | .658 | 8.2 | L 12-16 | -4 | 12.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Illinois | .18 | .18 | .23 | .667 | 8.6 | L 6-24 | -18 | 26.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| San Diego State | UNLV | .63 | .25 | 1.02 | .745 | 13.3 | W 20-17 | 3 | 10.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| SMU | Houston | .75 | 1.61 | -.09 | .793 | 16.6 | W 34-31 | 3 | 13.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Carolina | Tennessee | .44 | -.37 | 1.20 | .652 | 7.8 | L 21-41 | -20 | 27.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| South Florida | East Carolina | .23 | -.09 | .48 | .544 | 2.2 | W 45-20 | 25 | 22.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Southern Mississippi | Rice | .51 | 1.09 | -.20 | .676 | 9.2 | W 20-6 | 14 | 4.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | Texas | -.14 | .26 | -.42 | .512 | .6 | W 37-27 | 10 | 9.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Mississippi State | .14 | .29 | -.03 | .640 | 7.2 | W 49-30 | 19 | 11.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas Tech | Kansas | .21 | .58 | -.19 | .539 | 1.9 | L 34-37 | -3 | 4.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| USC | Colorado | .72 | 1.38 | .10 | .784 | 16.0 | W 35-31 | 4 | 12.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah | California | .74 | .18 | 1.39 | .885 | 23.7 | W 35-0 | 35 | 11.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia | Louisville | .15 | .31 | .02 | .513 | .6 | L 21-28 | -7 | 7.6 | Loss | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Marshall | .54 | .05 | 1.09 | .710 | 11.2 | L 23-26 | -3 | 14.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Bowling Green | 1.18 | 1.61 | .88 | .990 | 35.7 | W 49-10 | 39 | 3.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Wyoming | Nevada | .87 | 1.03 | .76 | .921 | 26.9 | W 31-3 | 28 | 1.1 | Win | Win |
Week 8 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Hawaii | .33 | 1.18 | -.80 | .571 | 3.5 | W 56-26 | 30 | 26.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Alabama | Tennessee | 2.02 | 2.77 | 1.49 | .990 | 58.7 | W 35-13 | 22 | 36.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Louisiana Monroe | .48 | 1.39 | -.54 | .779 | 15.6 | W 52-7 | 45 | 29.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Arkansas | 1.21 | 1.15 | 1.23 | .936 | 28.5 | W 51-10 | 41 | 12.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Ball State | Toledo | .00 | -.30 | .38 | .583 | 4.1 | W 52-14 | 38 | 33.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | Oklahoma State | .38 | .90 | -.06 | .641 | 7.2 | W 45-27 | 18 | 10.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | BYU | .77 | .42 | 1.00 | .788 | 16.2 | L 25-28 | -3 | 19.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Boston College | North Carolina State | -.14 | .02 | -.23 | .506 | .3 | W 45-24 | 21 | 20.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Buffalo | Akron | 1.11 | .89 | 1.35 | .912 | 26.1 | W 21-0 | 21 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| California | Oregon State | .72 | 1.66 | -.32 | .865 | 22.0 | L 17-21 | -4 | 26.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Central Florida | East Carolina | 1.79 | 2.01 | 1.41 | .990 | 50.1 | W 41-28 | 13 | 37.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Central Michigan | Bowling Green | .97 | .88 | 1.10 | .872 | 22.5 | W 38-20 | 18 | 4.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Tulsa | .56 | .10 | .91 | .809 | 17.7 | W 24-13 | 11 | 6.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Louisville | 1.02 | 1.28 | .95 | .899 | 24.9 | W 45-10 | 35 | 10.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia Southern | .71 | .88 | .53 | .774 | 15.3 | L 27-30 | -3 | 18.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Duke | Virginia | .40 | .17 | .71 | .649 | 7.7 | L 14-48 | -34 | 41.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida | South Carolina | .11 | -.82 | 1.17 | .505 | .3 | W 38-27 | 11 | 10.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Marshall | .64 | .65 | .65 | .848 | 20.6 | L 31-36 | -5 | 25.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida International | UTEP | 1.13 | 1.81 | .55 | .985 | 34.3 | W 32-17 | 15 | 19.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | UNLV | .43 | .32 | .32 | .747 | 13.5 | W 56-27 | 29 | 15.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Kentucky | 1.08 | .98 | .89 | .952 | 30.3 | W 21-0 | 21 | 9.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Georgia State | Army | -.15 | .61 | -.62 | .530 | 1.4 | W 28-21 | 7 | 5.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | Connecticut | 1.41 | 1.67 | 1.17 | .983 | 34.0 | W 24-17 | 7 | 27.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Maryland | .59 | 1.11 | -.06 | .713 | 11.4 | W 34-28 | 6 | 5.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa | Purdue | .67 | .29 | .94 | .847 | 20.5 | W 26-20 | 6 | 14.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Iowa State | Texas Tech | .79 | 1.22 | .46 | .817 | 18.3 | W 34-24 | 10 | 8.3 | Win | Push | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Arkansas State | .25 | .96 | -.27 | .588 | 4.4 | W 37-20 | 17 | 12.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Southern Mississippi | .23 | .98 | -.59 | .675 | 9.1 | W 45-30 | 15 | 5.9 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Mississippi State | 1.06 | 2.47 | -.30 | .901 | 25.1 | W 36-13 | 23 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Tulane | -.09 | .39 | -.39 | .547 | 2.3 | W 47-17 | 30 | 27.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Georgia Tech | .62 | .48 | .78 | .842 | 20.2 | L 21-28 | -7 | 27.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Miami (OH) | Northern Illinois | .06 | -.28 | .39 | .601 | 5.0 | W 27-24 | 3 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Minnesota | Rutgers | 1.73 | 1.86 | 1.65 | .990 | 42.9 | W 42-7 | 35 | 7.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi | Texas A&M | -.09 | -.02 | -.11 | .531 | 1.5 | L 17-24 | -7 | 8.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Vanderbilt | 1.59 | 1.58 | 1.51 | .990 | 38.2 | L 14-21 | -7 | 45.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | South Florida | .95 | .81 | 1.24 | .948 | 29.8 | W 35-3 | 32 | 2.2 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Virginia Tech | .68 | 1.04 | .29 | .761 | 14.4 | L 41-43 | -2 | 16.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| North Texas | Middle Tennessee | .41 | .88 | -.19 | .748 | 13.5 | W 33-30 | 3 | 10.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio | Kent State | .07 | .77 | -.71 | .595 | 4.7 | W 45-38 | 7 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Northwestern | 1.58 | .83 | 2.32 | .990 | 38.5 | W 52-3 | 49 | 10.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | West Virginia | 1.27 | 2.37 | .22 | .990 | 37.6 | W 52-14 | 38 | .4 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Washington | .39 | .14 | .65 | .636 | 6.9 | W 35-31 | 4 | 2.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Michigan | .54 | -.01 | .98 | .802 | 17.2 | W 28-21 | 7 | 10.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Syracuse | .54 | -.19 | 1.42 | .722 | 11.9 | W 27-20 | 7 | 4.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Rice | UTSA | .55 | .66 | .47 | .713 | 11.4 | L 27-31 | -4 | 15.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| San Diego State | San Jose State | .71 | .53 | .94 | .780 | 15.7 | W 27-17 | 10 | 5.7 | Win | Win | |||
| SMU | Temple | .66 | .39 | 1.05 | .864 | 21.9 | W 45-21 | 24 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Stanford | UCLA | .21 | .55 | -.35 | .649 | 7.6 | L 16-34 | -18 | 25.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| TCU | Kansas State | .38 | -.07 | .91 | .640 | 7.2 | L 17-24 | -7 | 14.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas | Kansas | 1.11 | 1.68 | .58 | .977 | 33.2 | W 50-48 | 2 | 31.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Troy | South Alabama | .72 | .88 | .61 | .877 | 23.0 | W 37-13 | 24 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | Old Dominion | .60 | .27 | 1.09 | .847 | 20.6 | W 38-14 | 24 | 3.4 | Win | Win | |||
| USC | Arizona | .22 | .50 | -.05 | .679 | 9.3 | W 41-14 | 27 | 17.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah | Arizona State | .32 | .45 | .42 | .748 | 13.5 | W 21-3 | 18 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah State | Nevada | .77 | .74 | .82 | .890 | 24.1 | W 36-10 | 26 | 1.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Florida State | .25 | .65 | -.21 | .687 | 9.8 | W 22-20 | 2 | 7.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington State | Colorado | .28 | 2.03 | -1.56 | .696 | 10.4 | W 41-10 | 31 | 20.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | Charlotte | .67 | 1.05 | .46 | .870 | 22.4 | W 30-14 | 16 | 6.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Eastern Michigan | .51 | 1.29 | -.02 | .720 | 11.8 | L 27-34 | -7 | 18.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Illinois | 1.90 | 2.08 | 1.84 | .990 | 47.8 | L 23-24 | -1 | 48.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | New Mexico | 1.02 | 1.63 | .43 | .956 | 30.7 | W 23-10 | 13 | 17.7 | Win | Loss |
Week 7 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | Fresno State | .15 | .08 | .00 | .620 | 6.1 | W 43-24 | 19 | 12.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Alabama | Texas A&M | 1.54 | 2.37 | .96 | .990 | 39.1 | W 47-28 | 19 | 20.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | Louisiana Lafayette | .18 | 1.25 | -.82 | .537 | 1.8 | W 17-7 | 10 | 8.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Washington State | .09 | .83 | -.71 | .610 | 5.5 | W 38-34 | 4 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Army | Western Kentucky | .26 | -.09 | .65 | .574 | 3.7 | L 8-17 | -9 | 12.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Baylor | Texas Tech | .93 | 1.61 | .26 | .934 | 28.2 | W 33-30 | 3 | 25.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Hawaii | .48 | .63 | .16 | .771 | 15.1 | W 59-37 | 22 | 6.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Michigan | New Mexico State | .55 | .63 | .24 | .793 | 16.6 | W 42-28 | 14 | 2.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | Houston | .35 | .84 | -.09 | .621 | 6.1 | W 38-23 | 15 | 8.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Florida State | 1.10 | .92 | 1.20 | .969 | 32.2 | W 45-14 | 31 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Georgia State | .54 | 1.67 | -.87 | .786 | 16.1 | L 21-31 | -10 | 26.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Colorado State | New Mexico | .14 | .91 | -.48 | .525 | 1.2 | W 35-21 | 14 | 12.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Duke | Georgia Tech | .76 | .63 | .80 | .879 | 23.1 | W 41-23 | 18 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Ball State | .24 | .10 | .24 | .672 | 9.0 | L 23-29 | -6 | 15.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Middle Tennessee | .70 | .92 | .29 | .852 | 20.9 | W 28-13 | 15 | 5.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida International | Charlotte | .10 | 1.04 | -.76 | .632 | 6.7 | W 48-23 | 25 | 18.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | South Carolina | 1.03 | .67 | 1.17 | .945 | 29.4 | L 17-20 | -3 | 32.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Rutgers | 1.21 | 1.48 | .61 | .979 | 33.6 | W 35-0 | 35 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | West Virginia | .49 | 1.02 | .11 | .699 | 10.5 | W 38-14 | 24 | 13.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Kent State | Akron | .41 | .66 | .25 | .655 | 8.0 | W 26-3 | 23 | 15.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Arkansas | .36 | .52 | .21 | .741 | 13.1 | W 24-20 | 4 | 9.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Monroe | Texas State | .21 | .63 | .04 | .576 | 3.8 | W 24-14 | 10 | 6.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Massachusetts | 1.61 | 2.05 | .87 | .990 | 44.4 | W 69-21 | 48 | 3.6 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Florida | .66 | .77 | .42 | .842 | 20.2 | W 42-28 | 14 | 6.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Old Dominion | .07 | -.23 | .23 | .590 | 4.5 | W 31-17 | 14 | 9.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | Temple | .38 | -.19 | 1.06 | .644 | 7.4 | L 28-30 | -2 | 9.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Miami | Virginia | .00 | -.29 | .26 | .567 | 3.3 | W 17-9 | 8 | 4.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Illinois | .71 | .38 | 1.11 | .783 | 15.9 | W 42-25 | 17 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Minnesota | Nebraska | .37 | .38 | .17 | .725 | 12.1 | W 34-7 | 27 | 14.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi State | Tennessee | .72 | 1.02 | .57 | .794 | 16.6 | L 10-20 | -10 | 26.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Mississippi | .59 | .43 | .60 | .815 | 18.2 | W 38-27 | 11 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Navy | Tulsa | .17 | .58 | -.11 | .538 | 1.8 | W 45-17 | 28 | 26.2 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina State | Syracuse | .18 | .03 | .32 | .657 | 8.1 | W 16-10 | 6 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| North Texas | Southern Mississippi | .27 | 1.02 | -.44 | .578 | 3.9 | L 27-45 | -18 | 21.9 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | USC | .51 | .50 | .40 | .788 | 16.2 | W 30-27 | 3 | 13.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio | Northern Illinois | .34 | .26 | .38 | .728 | 12.3 | L 36-39 | -3 | 15.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Texas | .58 | 2.33 | -1.12 | .781 | 15.8 | W 34-27 | 7 | 8.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon | Colorado | .63 | 1.00 | .21 | .839 | 19.9 | W 45-3 | 42 | 22.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Iowa | .18 | -.17 | .67 | .547 | 2.3 | W 17-12 | 5 | 2.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Maryland | .01 | .19 | -.22 | .570 | 3.4 | W 40-14 | 26 | 22.6 | Win | Win | |||
| San Diego State | Wyoming | .19 | -.40 | .69 | .654 | 7.9 | W 26-22 | 4 | 3.9 | Win | Win | |||
| San Jose State | Nevada | .11 | .68 | -.24 | .520 | .9 | L 38-41 | -3 | 3.9 | Loss | Push | |||
| South Florida | BYU | -.04 | -.53 | .23 | .520 | 1.0 | W 27-23 | 4 | 3.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | Bowling Green | 1.17 | 1.74 | .58 | .927 | 27.5 | L 7-20 | -13 | 40.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tulane | Connecticut | 1.47 | 1.51 | 1.22 | .990 | 41.2 | W 49-7 | 42 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | UTSA | 1.16 | 1.45 | 1.07 | .938 | 28.7 | W 33-14 | 19 | 9.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | Oregon State | .68 | 2.13 | -.46 | .793 | 16.6 | W 52-7 | 45 | 28.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Vanderbilt | UNLV | .40 | .58 | -.06 | .729 | 12.3 | L 10-34 | -24 | 36.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Louisville | .29 | .83 | -.23 | .712 | 11.3 | L 59-62 | -3 | 14.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Arizona | .31 | .77 | -.05 | .607 | 5.4 | W 51-27 | 24 | 18.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Miami (OH) | .45 | .88 | .00 | .775 | 15.3 | W 38-16 | 22 | 6.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Michigan State | .53 | .18 | .84 | .804 | 17.4 | W 38-0 | 38 | 20.6 | Win | Win |
Week 6 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Arkansas State | Georgia State | .58 | 1.07 | .16 | .730 | 12.4 | L 38-52 | -14 | 26.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Army | Tulane | .26 | .37 | .16 | .698 | 10.5 | L 33-42 | -9 | 19.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Florida | .37 | .29 | .49 | .628 | 6.5 | L 13-24 | -11 | 17.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Baylor | Kansas State | .15 | .76 | -.35 | .526 | 1.3 | W 31-12 | 19 | 17.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | UNLV | 1.19 | 1.37 | .97 | .930 | 27.9 | W 38-13 | 25 | 2.9 | Win | Push | |||
| Central Florida | Cincinnati | .37 | .82 | -.11 | .620 | 6.1 | L 24-27 | -3 | 9.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Colorado | Arizona | .05 | .75 | -.63 | .599 | 5.0 | L 30-35 | -5 | 10.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Duke | Pittsburgh | .08 | -.03 | -.13 | .572 | 3.5 | L 30-33 | -3 | 6.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan | .21 | .05 | .56 | .567 | 3.3 | L 16-42 | -26 | 29.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida International | Massachusetts | 1.02 | 1.91 | -.19 | .935 | 28.4 | W 44-0 | 44 | 15.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Tennessee | 1.43 | 1.61 | 1.37 | .990 | 35.4 | W 43-14 | 29 | 6.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | South Alabama | .50 | .57 | .26 | .666 | 8.6 | W 20-17 | 3 | 5.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Michigan | .20 | -.05 | .44 | .536 | 1.7 | L 3-10 | -7 | 8.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Liberty | New Mexico State | .47 | .66 | .20 | .664 | 8.5 | W 20-13 | 7 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Louisville | Boston College | .08 | .19 | -.28 | .581 | 4.0 | W 41-39 | 2 | 2.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Utah State | .80 | .90 | .48 | .880 | 23.2 | W 42-6 | 36 | 12.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Marshall | Middle Tennessee | .16 | .38 | -.12 | .508 | .4 | L 13-24 | -11 | 11.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Maryland | Rutgers | .55 | .50 | .67 | .718 | 11.7 | W 48-7 | 41 | 29.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Louisiana Monroe | .72 | 1.30 | .10 | .775 | 15.3 | W 52-33 | 19 | 3.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Virginia Tech | .54 | .18 | .88 | .810 | 17.7 | L 35-42 | -7 | 24.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Illinois | .43 | .64 | .22 | .770 | 15.0 | W 40-17 | 23 | 8.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi | Vanderbilt | .35 | .78 | -.02 | .744 | 13.3 | W 31-6 | 25 | 11.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | Troy | .63 | .84 | .19 | .824 | 18.8 | W 42-10 | 32 | 13.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Navy | Air Force | -.01 | 1.19 | -1.09 | .581 | 4.0 | W 34-25 | 9 | 5.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Nebraska | Northwestern | -.08 | -.79 | .71 | .539 | 1.9 | W 13-10 | 3 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina | Georgia Tech | .32 | .42 | .12 | .587 | 4.3 | W 38-22 | 16 | 11.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Northern Illinois | Ball State | .08 | -.08 | .09 | .593 | 4.6 | L 20-27 | -7 | 11.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Bowling Green | 1.82 | 2.09 | 1.44 | .990 | 51.2 | W 52-0 | 52 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Buffalo | .16 | .43 | -.19 | .505 | .2 | W 21-20 | 1 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Michigan State | .74 | .58 | .86 | .877 | 23.0 | W 34-10 | 24 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Kansas | 1.38 | 2.83 | .03 | .982 | 33.9 | W 45-20 | 25 | 8.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | .67 | 1.64 | -.23 | .767 | 14.8 | L 35-45 | -10 | 24.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Oregon | California | .45 | .15 | .75 | .776 | 15.4 | W 17-7 | 10 | 5.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Penn State | Purdue | .77 | .81 | .66 | .883 | 23.5 | W 35-7 | 28 | 4.5 | Win | Win | |||
| San Diego State | Colorado State | .76 | .77 | .60 | .780 | 15.7 | W 24-10 | 14 | 1.7 | Win | Win | |||
| San Jose State | New Mexico | -.02 | .75 | -.75 | .567 | 3.3 | W 32-21 | 11 | 7.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| SMU | Tulsa | .41 | .72 | .06 | .756 | 14.1 | W 43-37 | 6 | 8.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Florida | Connecticut | .68 | .51 | .78 | .756 | 14.1 | W 48-22 | 26 | 11.9 | Win | Win | |||
| TCU | Iowa State | .21 | .04 | .47 | .555 | 2.7 | L 24-49 | -25 | 27.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Temple | East Carolina | .81 | .29 | 1.39 | .820 | 18.5 | W 27-17 | 10 | 8.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas | West Virginia | .25 | 1.07 | -.40 | .586 | 4.3 | W 42-31 | 11 | 6.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| UAB | Rice | .72 | .82 | .71 | .879 | 23.2 | W 35-20 | 15 | 8.2 | Win | Win | |||
| UCLA | Oregon State | .47 | 1.61 | -.62 | .789 | 16.3 | L 31-48 | -17 | 33.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| UTEP | UTSA | .19 | .17 | .20 | .665 | 8.5 | L 16-26 | -10 | 18.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Washington | Stanford | .58 | 1.04 | .35 | .746 | 13.4 | L 13-23 | -10 | 23.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Old Dominion | .38 | .26 | .43 | .621 | 6.1 | W 20-3 | 17 | 10.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Toledo | .40 | 1.35 | -.53 | .642 | 7.3 | L 24-31 | -7 | 14.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Kent State | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.39 | .990 | 40.1 | W 48-0 | 48 | 7.9 | Win | Win |
Week 5 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Air Force | San Jose State | .69 | 1.08 | .20 | .855 | 21.2 | W 41-24 | 17 | 4.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Akron | Massachusetts | .40 | .60 | .00 | .613 | 5.7 | L 29-37 | -8 | 13.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Alabama | Mississippi | 1.40 | 1.92 | .84 | .990 | 40.5 | W 59-31 | 28 | 12.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Coastal Carolina | .77 | 1.43 | .16 | .892 | 24.3 | W 56-37 | 19 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona | UCLA | .08 | .54 | -.44 | .603 | 5.2 | W 20-17 | 3 | 2.2 | Win | Push | |||
| Auburn | Mississippi State | .11 | -.06 | .15 | .610 | 5.5 | W 56-23 | 33 | 27.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Baylor | Iowa State | .24 | .99 | -.58 | .680 | 9.4 | W 23-21 | 2 | 7.4 | Win | Win | |||
| California | Arizona State | -.10 | -.03 | -.11 | .527 | 1.3 | L 17-24 | -7 | 8.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Connecticut | 1.54 | 2.31 | .81 | .990 | 44.6 | W 56-21 | 35 | 9.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Marshall | .30 | .18 | .52 | .602 | 5.1 | W 52-14 | 38 | 32.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | North Carolina | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.40 | .955 | 30.5 | W 21-20 | 1 | 29.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Charlotte | .11 | .43 | -.08 | .506 | .3 | W 45-27 | 18 | 17.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida State | North Carolina State | -.03 | .12 | -.28 | .543 | 2.1 | W 31-13 | 18 | 15.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Fresno State | New Mexico State | .84 | 1.22 | .59 | .836 | 19.7 | W 30-17 | 13 | 6.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia Southern | Louisiana Lafayette | .06 | .63 | -.71 | .577 | 3.8 | L 24-37 | -13 | 16.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Houston | North Texas | .17 | .77 | -.36 | .529 | 1.4 | W 46-25 | 21 | 19.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Middle Tennessee | .83 | .62 | .84 | .892 | 24.3 | W 48-3 | 45 | 20.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Liberty | New Mexico | .31 | .55 | -.05 | .707 | 11.0 | W 17-10 | 7 | 4.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Monroe | South Alabama | .52 | .96 | -.01 | .795 | 16.7 | W 30-17 | 13 | 3.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Rice | .78 | .88 | .63 | .798 | 16.9 | W 23-20 | 3 | 13.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Navy | .48 | 1.30 | -.57 | .765 | 14.7 | W 35-23 | 12 | 2.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami (OH) | Buffalo | -.06 | .26 | -.51 | .522 | 1.1 | W 34-20 | 14 | 12.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Rutgers | 1.09 | .69 | 1.36 | .964 | 31.6 | W 52-0 | 52 | 20.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Indiana | .42 | .15 | .84 | .781 | 15.8 | W 40-31 | 9 | 6.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Purdue | .34 | .39 | .18 | .597 | 4.9 | W 38-31 | 7 | 2.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Hawaii | .12 | .63 | -.53 | .615 | 5.8 | L 3-54 | -51 | 56.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | Virginia | .47 | .22 | .54 | .767 | 14.8 | W 35-20 | 15 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Nebraska | 1.00 | 1.32 | .62 | .873 | 22.7 | W 48-7 | 41 | 18.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma | Texas Tech | 1.07 | 2.79 | -.62 | .969 | 32.2 | W 55-16 | 39 | 6.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Oklahoma State | Kansas State | .00 | .94 | -.94 | .570 | 3.4 | W 26-13 | 13 | 9.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Old Dominion | East Carolina | .22 | .55 | -.14 | .675 | 9.1 | L 21-24 | -3 | 12.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Maryland | .42 | .28 | .55 | .649 | 7.6 | W 59-0 | 59 | 51.4 | Win | Win | |||
| SMU | South Florida | .20 | .41 | .09 | .552 | 2.5 | W 48-21 | 27 | 24.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Carolina | Kentucky | -.04 | -.07 | -.20 | .525 | 1.2 | W 24-7 | 17 | 15.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Southern Mississippi | UTEP | .91 | .77 | .65 | .900 | 25.0 | W 31-13 | 18 | 7.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Stanford | Oregon State | .64 | 1.56 | -.12 | .763 | 14.5 | W 31-28 | 3 | 11.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | Kansas | .71 | .37 | 1.07 | .872 | 22.6 | W 51-14 | 37 | 14.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Temple | Georgia Tech | .12 | .04 | .10 | .621 | 6.1 | W 24-2 | 22 | 15.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Arkansas | .52 | .68 | .32 | .747 | 13.5 | W 31-27 | 4 | 9.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Toledo | BYU | -.11 | .32 | -.51 | .517 | .8 | W 28-21 | 7 | 6.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Troy | Arkansas State | .13 | .17 | -.03 | .621 | 6.1 | L 43-50 | -7 | 13.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Washington State | -.08 | .41 | -.70 | .510 | .5 | W 38-13 | 25 | 24.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Utah State | Colorado State | .82 | 1.46 | .09 | .897 | 24.7 | W 34-24 | 10 | 14.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Vanderbilt | Northern Illinois | .13 | .17 | .12 | .640 | 7.2 | W 24-18 | 6 | 1.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia Tech | Duke | -.08 | .00 | -.27 | .514 | .7 | L 10-45 | -35 | 35.7 | Loss | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Boston College | .21 | .17 | .17 | .533 | 1.6 | W 27-24 | 3 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington | USC | .25 | .52 | .07 | .702 | 10.7 | W 28-14 | 14 | 3.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Western Kentucky | UAB | .00 | -.08 | -.31 | .521 | 1.0 | W 20-13 | 7 | 6.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Michigan | Central Michigan | .51 | .68 | .32 | .798 | 16.9 | W 31-15 | 16 | .9 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Northwestern | .90 | .31 | 1.37 | .918 | 26.7 | W 24-15 | 9 | 17.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | UNLV | .35 | .43 | .21 | .730 | 12.4 | W 53-17 | 36 | 23.6 | Win | Win |
Week 4 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Southern Mississippi | 1.43 | 1.73 | 1.34 | .990 | 43.0 | W 49-7 | 42 | 1.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Appalachian State | North Carolina | .52 | .78 | .41 | .713 | 11.3 | W 34-31 | 3 | 8.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Colorado | .25 | .42 | -.09 | .673 | 9.0 | L 31-34 | -3 | 12.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Arkansas | San Jose State | .58 | .60 | .47 | .817 | 18.3 | L 24-31 | -7 | 25.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Auburn | Texas A&M | .26 | .39 | .19 | .578 | 3.8 | W 28-20 | 8 | 4.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | Rice | 1.21 | 1.97 | .51 | .942 | 29.1 | W 21-13 | 8 | 21.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boise State | Air Force | .39 | .84 | -.02 | .756 | 14.1 | W 30-19 | 11 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Boston College | Rutgers | .41 | .08 | .82 | .655 | 8.0 | W 30-16 | 14 | 6.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Pittsburgh | .46 | .89 | .08 | .674 | 9.1 | L 34-35 | -1 | 10.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Charlotte | 1.57 | 1.48 | 1.70 | .990 | 45.6 | W 52-10 | 42 | 3.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Coastal Carolina | Massachusetts | .34 | 1.05 | -.59 | .581 | 4.0 | W 62-28 | 34 | 30.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida | Tennessee | .41 | .25 | .64 | .767 | 14.8 | W 34-3 | 31 | 16.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida State | Louisville | .39 | .48 | .25 | .747 | 13.5 | W 35-24 | 11 | 2.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Notre Dame | .39 | .73 | .04 | .752 | 13.8 | W 23-17 | 6 | 7.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Houston | Tulane | .19 | .51 | -.09 | .538 | 1.8 | L 31-38 | -7 | 8.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Connecticut | 1.11 | 1.63 | .40 | .965 | 31.7 | W 38-3 | 35 | 3.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa State | Louisiana Monroe | .48 | .95 | .04 | .791 | 16.4 | W 72-20 | 52 | 35.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kent State | Bowling Green | .20 | .25 | -.02 | .650 | 7.7 | W 62-20 | 42 | 34.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Florida International | .11 | .43 | -.11 | .640 | 7.1 | W 43-31 | 12 | 4.9 | Win | Win | |||
| LSU | Vanderbilt | .96 | 1.01 | .75 | .853 | 21.0 | W 66-38 | 28 | 7.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Miami | Central Michigan | .77 | .06 | 1.44 | .886 | 23.8 | W 17-12 | 5 | 18.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Northwestern | .24 | -.84 | 1.28 | .552 | 2.5 | W 31-10 | 21 | 18.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi | California | .11 | .17 | .08 | .630 | 6.6 | L 20-28 | -8 | 14.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Mississippi State | Kentucky | .51 | .36 | .65 | .799 | 17.0 | W 28-13 | 15 | 2.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | South Carolina | .42 | .65 | .20 | .766 | 14.7 | W 34-14 | 20 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Nebraska | Illinois | .28 | .59 | .15 | .603 | 5.2 | W 42-38 | 4 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | UTEP | .64 | .29 | .75 | .723 | 12.0 | W 37-21 | 16 | 4.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| New Mexico | New Mexico State | .11 | .41 | -.17 | .629 | 6.5 | W 55-52 | 3 | 3.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Carolina State | Ball State | .77 | 1.14 | .39 | .887 | 23.9 | W 34-23 | 11 | 12.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| North Texas | UTSA | .65 | .49 | .73 | .844 | 20.3 | W 45-3 | 42 | 21.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Louisiana Lafayette | .36 | 1.35 | -.60 | .742 | 13.2 | L 25-45 | -20 | 33.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Miami (OH) | 1.19 | 1.64 | .70 | .989 | 34.8 | W 76-5 | 71 | 36.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oregon | Stanford | .29 | .52 | -.02 | .574 | 3.7 | W 21-6 | 15 | 11.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Syracuse | Western Michigan | -.14 | .21 | -.45 | .501 | .1 | W 52-33 | 19 | 18.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | SMU | .42 | .21 | .65 | .768 | 14.8 | L 38-41 | -3 | 17.8 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Temple | Buffalo | .51 | .63 | .25 | .675 | 9.1 | L 22-38 | -16 | 25.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas | Oklahoma State | -.11 | .80 | -1.01 | .514 | .7 | W 36-30 | 6 | 5.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas State | Georgia State | .14 | .27 | -.05 | .634 | 6.8 | W 37-34 | 3 | 3.8 | Win | Push | |||
| Toledo | Colorado State | .37 | 1.26 | -.58 | .617 | 5.9 | W 41-35 | 6 | .1 | Win | Win | |||
| Troy | Akron | .58 | .18 | .97 | .720 | 11.8 | W 35-7 | 28 | 16.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | Wyoming | .20 | -.02 | .36 | .663 | 8.5 | W 24-21 | 3 | 5.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| UAB | South Alabama | .59 | .68 | .56 | .835 | 19.6 | W 35-3 | 32 | 12.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | USC | .25 | .06 | .33 | .549 | 2.4 | L 23-30 | -7 | 9.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah State | San Diego State | .12 | -.12 | .55 | .519 | .9 | W 23-17 | 6 | 5.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Virginia | Old Dominion | .77 | .88 | .65 | .888 | 23.9 | W 28-17 | 11 | 12.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington | BYU | .41 | .39 | .59 | .664 | 8.5 | W 45-19 | 26 | 17.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington State | UCLA | .47 | 1.28 | -.28 | .790 | 16.4 | L 63-67 | -4 | 20.4 | Loss | Win | |||
| West Virginia | Kansas | .79 | .96 | .54 | .800 | 17.1 | W 29-24 | 5 | 12.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Wisconsin | Michigan | .15 | -.17 | .40 | .638 | 7.0 | W 35-14 | 21 | 14.0 | Win | Win |
Week 3 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | South Carolina | 1.26 | 1.61 | .95 | .952 | 30.2 | W 47-23 | 24 | 6.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arizona | Texas Tech | .01 | .77 | -.86 | .562 | 3.0 | W 28-14 | 14 | 11.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas | Colorado State | .40 | .76 | -.17 | .735 | 12.7 | W 55-34 | 21 | 8.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Army | UTSA | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.16 | .909 | 25.9 | W 31-13 | 18 | 7.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Kent State | 1.15 | .90 | 1.52 | .989 | 34.8 | W 55-16 | 39 | 4.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Boston College | Kansas | .61 | .26 | .93 | .835 | 19.6 | L 24-48 | -24 | 43.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Buffalo | Liberty | .22 | .65 | .05 | .583 | 4.1 | L 17-35 | -18 | 22.1 | Loss | Win | |||
| California | North Texas | .26 | .16 | .39 | .700 | 10.6 | W 23-17 | 6 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Central Florida | Stanford | .21 | .60 | -.23 | .668 | 8.7 | W 45-27 | 18 | 9.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Central Michigan | Akron | .04 | -.80 | .83 | .586 | 4.3 | W 45-24 | 21 | 16.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Charlotte | Massachusetts | .33 | .50 | -.17 | .691 | 10.1 | W 52-17 | 35 | 24.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Cincinnati | Miami (OH) | .44 | .38 | .41 | .763 | 14.5 | W 35-13 | 22 | 7.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Syracuse | 1.12 | .92 | 1.35 | .916 | 26.5 | W 41-6 | 35 | 8.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado | Air Force | -.01 | .42 | -.39 | .573 | 3.6 | L 23-30 | -7 | 10.6 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Florida | Kentucky | .37 | .01 | .56 | .603 | 5.2 | W 29-21 | 8 | 2.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida Atlantic | Ball State | .22 | .56 | -.01 | .564 | 3.1 | W 41-31 | 10 | 6.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Georgia | Arkansas State | .94 | 1.03 | .72 | .928 | 27.7 | W 55-0 | 55 | 27.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Illinois | Eastern Michigan | .11 | -.02 | -.09 | .584 | 4.2 | L 31-34 | -3 | 7.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Iowa | Iowa State | .40 | .14 | .60 | .632 | 6.7 | W 18-17 | 1 | 5.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Tech | Bowling Green | .66 | .91 | .29 | .744 | 13.3 | W 35-7 | 28 | 14.7 | Win | Win | |||
| Memphis | South Alabama | 1.08 | 1.39 | .52 | .883 | 23.5 | W 42-6 | 36 | 12.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Arizona State | .19 | -.15 | .50 | .661 | 8.3 | L 7-10 | -3 | 11.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Middle Tennessee | Duke | -.13 | -.06 | -.13 | .511 | .5 | L 18-41 | -23 | 23.5 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Minnesota | Georgia Southern | .17 | .14 | .17 | .652 | 7.8 | W 35-32 | 3 | 4.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi State | Kansas State | .44 | .53 | .48 | .786 | 16.1 | L 24-31 | -7 | 23.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Navy | East Carolina | .07 | .69 | -.44 | .621 | 6.1 | W 42-10 | 32 | 25.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | Northern Illinois | .11 | .01 | .25 | .632 | 6.7 | W 44-8 | 36 | 29.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Northwestern | UNLV | .66 | .52 | .76 | .849 | 20.7 | W 30-14 | 16 | 4.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Notre Dame | New Mexico | 1.22 | 1.30 | .96 | .988 | 34.7 | W 66-14 | 52 | 17.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio | Marshall | .22 | .39 | .12 | .559 | 2.9 | L 31-33 | -2 | 4.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Indiana | .60 | 1.16 | .22 | .749 | 13.6 | W 51-10 | 41 | 27.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | UCLA | .75 | 2.09 | -.48 | .801 | 17.1 | W 48-14 | 34 | 16.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Tulsa | .44 | 1.17 | -.23 | .666 | 8.6 | W 40-21 | 19 | 10.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Pittsburgh | .40 | .35 | .51 | .762 | 14.5 | W 17-10 | 7 | 7.5 | Win | Win | |||
| San Diego State | New Mexico State | .87 | .59 | 1.01 | .823 | 18.7 | W 31-10 | 21 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| SMU | Texas State | .26 | .13 | .36 | .694 | 10.2 | W 47-17 | 30 | 19.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| TCU | Purdue | .18 | .03 | .33 | .528 | 1.3 | W 34-13 | 21 | 19.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Temple | Maryland | .10 | -.04 | .21 | .617 | 5.9 | W 20-17 | 3 | 2.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Texas | Rice | .85 | 1.11 | .79 | .887 | 23.9 | W 48-13 | 35 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Troy | Southern Mississippi | -.02 | -.40 | .50 | .581 | 4.0 | L 42-47 | -5 | 9.0 | Loss | Loss | |||
| USC | BYU | .15 | .20 | .17 | .519 | .9 | L 27-30 | -3 | 3.9 | Loss | Win | |||
| Virginia | Florida State | -.11 | -.44 | .37 | .533 | 1.6 | W 31-24 | 7 | 5.4 | Win | Push | |||
| Wake Forest | North Carolina | .05 | .31 | -.16 | .604 | 5.2 | W 24-18 | 6 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington | Hawaii | .78 | 1.09 | .75 | .912 | 26.2 | W 52-20 | 32 | 5.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Washington State | Houston | .34 | 1.26 | -.54 | .615 | 5.8 | W 31-24 | 7 | 1.2 | Win | Win | |||
| West Virginia | North Carolina State | .04 | .41 | -.42 | .581 | 4.0 | W 44-27 | 17 | 13.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Western Kentucky | Louisville | .23 | .48 | -.02 | .622 | 6.2 | L 21-38 | -17 | 23.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Western Michigan | Georgia State | .57 | 1.30 | -.29 | .811 | 17.8 | W 57-10 | 47 | 29.2 | Win | Win |
Week 2 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | New Mexico State | 2.11 | 2.38 | 1.76 | .990 | 59.2 | W 62-10 | 52 | 7.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Appalachian State | Charlotte | 1.00 | .69 | 1.37 | .954 | 30.5 | W 56-41 | 15 | 15.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Arkansas State | UNLV | .37 | .71 | .09 | .632 | 6.7 | W 43-17 | 26 | 19.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Auburn | Tulane | .84 | .53 | 1.06 | .902 | 25.2 | W 24-6 | 18 | 7.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Baylor | UTSA | .91 | .98 | .73 | .921 | 27.0 | W 63-14 | 49 | 22.0 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Marshall | .56 | .45 | .63 | .815 | 18.1 | W 14-7 | 7 | 11.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Central Florida | Florida Atlantic | .57 | .94 | .15 | .711 | 11.3 | W 48-14 | 34 | 22.7 | Win | Loss | |||
| Clemson | Texas A&M | .79 | .83 | .69 | .890 | 24.1 | W 24-10 | 14 | 10.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado | Nebraska | -.05 | .11 | -.21 | .545 | 2.2 | W 34-31 | 3 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| Florida International | Western Kentucky | .02 | .42 | -.50 | .567 | 3.3 | L 14-20 | -6 | 9.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida State | Louisiana Monroe | .66 | .69 | .47 | .839 | 19.9 | W 45-44 | 1 | 18.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Fresno State | Minnesota | -.22 | -.42 | .35 | .503 | .1 | L 35-38 | -3 | 3.1 | Loss | Push | |||
| Georgia Tech | South Florida | .08 | .62 | -.34 | .628 | 6.5 | W 14-10 | 4 | 2.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Hawaii | Oregon State | .23 | 1.21 | -.84 | .674 | 9.1 | W 31-28 | 3 | 6.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Illinois | Connecticut | .71 | 1.43 | -.14 | .763 | 14.5 | W 31-23 | 8 | 6.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Rutgers | .96 | .44 | 1.41 | .937 | 28.6 | W 30-0 | 30 | 1.4 | Win | Win | |||
| Kansas | Coastal Carolina | -.06 | .43 | -.34 | .568 | 3.3 | L 7-12 | -5 | 8.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Kansas State | Bowling Green | .74 | 1.07 | .23 | .865 | 22.0 | W 52-0 | 52 | 30.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Kentucky | Eastern Michigan | .47 | .15 | .68 | .773 | 15.2 | W 38-17 | 21 | 5.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Louisiana Lafayette | Liberty | .15 | .72 | -.43 | .644 | 7.4 | W 35-14 | 21 | 13.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Texas | .63 | .36 | .66 | .717 | 11.6 | W 45-38 | 7 | 4.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Miami | North Carolina | .35 | .12 | .67 | .625 | 6.3 | L 25-28 | -3 | 9.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Michigan | Army | .29 | .41 | .11 | .704 | 10.8 | W 24-21 | 3 | 7.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Western Michigan | .21 | .10 | .45 | .689 | 9.9 | W 51-17 | 34 | 24.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Mississippi | Arkansas | .18 | .63 | -.15 | .676 | 9.2 | W 31-17 | 14 | 4.8 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi State | Southern Mississippi | .55 | .20 | 1.19 | .841 | 20.1 | W 38-15 | 23 | 2.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Missouri | West Virginia | .10 | .38 | -.19 | .621 | 6.1 | W 38-7 | 31 | 24.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Ohio State | Cincinnati | .51 | .81 | .26 | .805 | 17.4 | W 42-0 | 42 | 24.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Oregon | Nevada | .39 | .49 | .31 | .755 | 14.0 | W 77-6 | 71 | 57.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Penn State | Buffalo | .65 | .71 | .43 | .838 | 19.8 | W 45-13 | 32 | 12.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| Pittsburgh | Ohio | -.06 | .44 | -.68 | .525 | 1.2 | W 20-10 | 10 | 8.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Purdue | Vanderbilt | -.02 | .22 | -.30 | .557 | 2.8 | W 42-24 | 18 | 15.2 | Win | Loss | |||
| SMU | North Texas | -.02 | .09 | -.19 | .552 | 2.5 | W 49-27 | 22 | 19.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Stanford | USC | .12 | .26 | .07 | .505 | .3 | L 20-45 | -25 | 25.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Syracuse | Maryland | .16 | .04 | .22 | .507 | .3 | L 20-63 | -43 | 43.3 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | BYU | .14 | .03 | .10 | .623 | 6.2 | L 26-29 | -3 | 9.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Texas Tech | UTEP | .89 | 1.14 | .37 | .904 | 25.4 | W 38-3 | 35 | 9.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tulsa | San Jose State | .41 | .38 | .45 | .646 | 7.5 | W 34-16 | 18 | 10.5 | Win | Win | |||
| UAB | Akron | .35 | .01 | .92 | .645 | 7.4 | W 31-20 | 11 | 3.6 | Win | Loss | |||
| UCLA | San Diego State | .02 | -.17 | .19 | .580 | 4.0 | L 14-23 | -9 | 13.0 | Loss | Win | |||
| Utah | Northern Illinois | .46 | -.25 | 1.04 | .768 | 14.9 | W 35-17 | 18 | 3.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Virginia Tech | Old Dominion | .70 | .95 | .19 | .846 | 20.5 | W 31-17 | 14 | 6.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Wake Forest | Rice | .61 | .72 | .60 | .745 | 13.4 | W 41-21 | 20 | 6.6 | Win | Push | |||
| Washington | California | .49 | .12 | 1.03 | .810 | 17.7 | L 19-20 | -1 | 18.7 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | Central Michigan | 1.02 | .44 | 1.53 | .952 | 30.2 | W 61-0 | 61 | 30.8 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wyoming | Texas State | .14 | -.29 | .73 | .527 | 1.3 | W 23-14 | 9 | 7.7 | Win | Loss |
Week 1 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Alabama | Duke | 1.37 | 1.50 | 1.15 | .990 | 35.8 | W 42-3 | 39 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Arizona State | Kent State | .68 | .88 | .63 | .872 | 22.6 | W 30-7 | 23 | .4 | Win | Win | |||
| Arkansas State | SMU | .21 | .29 | .28 | .692 | 10.1 | L 30-37 | -7 | 17.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Army | Rice | .96 | 1.42 | .69 | .953 | 30.3 | W 14-7 | 7 | 23.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Auburn | Oregon | .30 | .48 | .16 | .660 | 8.3 | W 27-21 | 6 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Boise State | Florida State | .16 | .23 | .37 | .621 | 6.1 | W 36-31 | 5 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Boston College | Virginia Tech | -.17 | -.31 | .24 | .517 | .8 | W 35-28 | 7 | 6.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Cincinnati | UCLA | .19 | .33 | .10 | .670 | 8.9 | W 24-14 | 10 | 1.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Clemson | Georgia Tech | 1.11 | 1.42 | .66 | .968 | 32.1 | W 52-14 | 38 | 5.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Colorado | Colorado State | .46 | .67 | .08 | .708 | 11.1 | W 52-31 | 21 | 9.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Eastern Michigan | Coastal Carolina | .10 | .51 | -.07 | .515 | .7 | W 30-23 | 7 | 6.3 | Win | Loss | |||
| Florida International | Tulane | .29 | .29 | .00 | .545 | 2.2 | L 14-42 | -28 | 30.2 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Georgia | Vanderbilt | 1.00 | 1.23 | .68 | .872 | 22.5 | W 30-6 | 24 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Illinois | Akron | .18 | -.15 | .30 | .635 | 6.9 | W 42-3 | 39 | 32.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| Indiana | Ball State | .61 | .88 | .34 | .788 | 16.2 | W 34-24 | 10 | 6.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Iowa | Miami (OH) | .59 | .28 | .85 | .825 | 18.9 | W 38-14 | 24 | 5.1 | Win | Win | |||
| Kentucky | Toledo | .13 | .46 | -.21 | .635 | 6.9 | W 38-24 | 14 | 7.1 | Win | Loss | |||
| LSU | Georgia Southern | .60 | .61 | .60 | .834 | 19.6 | W 55-3 | 52 | 32.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Memphis | Mississippi | .20 | .86 | -.71 | .641 | 7.2 | W 15-10 | 5 | 2.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan | Middle Tennessee | .74 | .57 | .77 | .868 | 22.3 | W 40-21 | 19 | 3.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Michigan State | Tulsa | .54 | .12 | .95 | .811 | 17.8 | W 28-7 | 21 | 3.2 | Win | Win | |||
| Mississippi State | Louisiana Lafayette | .92 | 1.34 | .59 | .900 | 25.0 | W 38-28 | 10 | 15.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Missouri | Wyoming | .73 | .43 | .96 | .776 | 15.4 | L 31-37 | -6 | 21.4 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Nebraska | South Alabama | .83 | 1.12 | .38 | .894 | 24.5 | W 35-21 | 14 | 10.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Nevada | Purdue | -.02 | .00 | -.16 | .546 | 2.2 | W 34-31 | 3 | .8 | Win | Win | |||
| North Carolina State | East Carolina | .62 | .98 | .31 | .845 | 20.4 | W 34-6 | 28 | 7.6 | Win | Win | |||
| Notre Dame | Louisville | .79 | 1.16 | .53 | .817 | 18.2 | W 35-17 | 18 | .2 | Win | Win | |||
| Ohio State | Florida Atlantic | .99 | 1.46 | .46 | .945 | 29.4 | W 45-21 | 24 | 5.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma | Houston | .72 | 2.09 | -.68 | .871 | 22.5 | W 49-31 | 18 | 4.5 | Win | Loss | |||
| Oklahoma State | Oregon State | .76 | 1.93 | -.29 | .806 | 17.5 | W 52-36 | 16 | 1.5 | Win | Win | |||
| Pittsburgh | Virginia | .00 | -.11 | .05 | .563 | 3.1 | L 14-30 | -16 | 19.1 | Loss | Loss | |||
| Rutgers | Massachusetts | .30 | .23 | .15 | .690 | 10.0 | W 48-21 | 27 | 17.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| South Carolina | North Carolina | .25 | .64 | -.07 | .640 | 7.2 | L 20-24 | -4 | 11.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Stanford | Northwestern | .05 | -.18 | .39 | .611 | 5.6 | W 17-7 | 10 | 4.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Syracuse | Liberty | .53 | .46 | .60 | .700 | 10.6 | W 24-0 | 24 | 13.4 | Win | Loss | |||
| Tennessee | Georgia State | .78 | 1.07 | .35 | .881 | 23.3 | L 30-38 | -8 | 31.3 | Loss | Win | |||
| Texas | Louisiana Tech | .11 | .12 | .33 | .655 | 8.0 | W 45-14 | 31 | 23.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| Texas A&M | Texas State | .79 | .80 | .85 | .900 | 25.0 | W 41-7 | 34 | 9.0 | Win | Loss | |||
| USC | Fresno State | .15 | -.11 | .15 | .614 | 5.7 | W 31-23 | 8 | 2.3 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah | BYU | .36 | -.01 | .57 | .602 | 5.1 | W 30-12 | 18 | 12.9 | Win | Win | |||
| Utah State | Wake Forest | .37 | .42 | .48 | .646 | 7.5 | L 35-38 | -3 | 10.5 | Loss | Win | |||
| Washington State | New Mexico State | 1.08 | 1.63 | .52 | .968 | 32.1 | W 58-7 | 51 | 18.9 | Win | Loss | |||
| Wisconsin | South Florida | .60 | .47 | .70 | .728 | 12.3 | W 49-0 | 49 | 36.7 | Win | Win |
Week 0 Game Projections
| Projected Winner |
Projected Loser | TA | OA | DA | PWL | PM | Final | FM | PE | SU | ATS | |||
| Arizona | Hawaii | .35 | .54 | -.12 | .675 | 10.2 | L 38-45 | -7 | 17.2 | Loss | Win | |||
| Florida | Miami | .24 | -.23 | .41 | .623 | 5.6 | W 24-20 | 4 | 1.6 | Win | Win |